SUMMER SCHOOL 2016 FINLAND Systems Analysis Laboratory.

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Presentation transcript:

SUMMER SCHOOL 2016 FINLAND Systems Analysis Laboratory

48 PARTICIPANTS 25 COUNTRIES 13 SPEAKERS WELCOME 48 PARTICIPANTS 25 COUNTRIES 13 SPEAKERS THIS IS OR HISTORY AND FUTURE IN THE MAKING

BEHAVIORAL OPERATIONAL RESEARCH OUTBURSTING INTEREST ”OR IS NOT MATHEMATICS ONLY” C. WEST CHURCHMAN RUSSELL L. ACKOFF 2013 Introduction of the term by Hämäläinen, Luoma & Saarinen in EJOR 2014 First conference stream in BOR BOR Website for collaboration 2015 EURO Keynote Raimo P. Hämäläinen 2016 Special Issue on BOR in EJOR BOR Summer School BOR Handbook 201? EURO working group in BOR

CONFERENCES 2014 IFORS Barcelona, 8 sessions 2015 EURO Glasgow, 9 sessions Keynote Raimo P. Hämäläinen 2016 EURO Poznan, 10 sessions BOR sessions have been among the most attended ones.

SCHEDULE MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY PROBLEM STRUCTURING DAY DECISION DAY MIND AND BRAIN DAY FUTURES DAY SIMULATION DAY OUTING DAY

PROBLEM STRUCTURING DAY L. ALBERTO FRANCO LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY, UK WHAT IS BEHAVIOURAL OPERATIONAL RESEARCH? PROBLEM STRUCTURING INTERVENTIONS: CONTENT AND PROCESS WORKSHOP: GROUP PROBLEM STRUCTURING BEHAVIOURAL ISSUES IN FACILITATED MODELLING WORKSHOPS

DECISION DAY JEFFREY KEISLER GILBERTO MONTIBELLER JYRKI WALLENIUS UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS BOSTON, USA VISITING FULLBRIGHT SCHOLAR, AALTO UNIVERSITY MODELLING PRINCIPLES IN DECISION ANALYSIS GILBERTO MONTIBELLER LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY, UK BEHAVIOURAL AND COGNITIVE BIASES IN DECISION AND RISK ANALYSIS JYRKI WALLENIUS AALTO UNIVERSITY, FINLAND BEHAVIOURAL ISSUES IN MULTICRITERIA OPTIMIZATION

MIND AND BRAIN DAY KONSTANTINOS KATSIKOPOULOS ESA SAARINEN LAURI MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR HUMAN DEVELOPMENT, GERMANY HEURISTICS IN HUMAN BEHAVIOUR AND DECISION-MAKING ESA SAARINEN AALTO UNIVERSITY, FINLAND SYSTEMS INTELLIGENCE LAURI PARKKONEN AALTO UNIVERSITY, FINLAND THE BRAIN BASIS OF SOCIAL INTERACTION: METHODS, PARADIGMS AND RESULTS

AALTO NEUROIMAGING CENTER AMI Center Transcranial Magnetic Simulation (TMS) Magnetoencephalography (MEG)

FUTURES DAY AHTI SALO PAUL GOODWIN ILKKA LEPPÄNEN AALTO UNIVERSITY, FINLAND FORESIGHT AND HORIZON SCANNING PAUL GOODWIN UNIVERSITY OF BATH, UK BEHAVIOURAL ISSUES IN FORECASTING ILKKA LEPPÄNEN AALTO UNIVERSITY, FINLAND EXPERIMENTAL GAMES AND ECONOMICS

SIMULATION DAY STEWART ROBINSON TUOMAS LAHTINEN LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY, UK INTRODUCTION TO SIMULATION METHODS MODELING BEHAVIOUR IN SIMULATION WORKSHOP: SIMULATION TUOMAS LAHTINEN AALTO UNIVERSITY, FINLAND WORKSHOP: AN EXPERIMENT IN DECISION MAKING HOW TO DESIGN AND ANALYZE EXPERIMENTS PATH DEPENDENCE

OUTING DAY Cruising in the Helsinki archipelago onboard Doris II Fortress Island of Suomenlinna

RESEARCH PITCHES MONDAY: Aseguel Engin: Effects Of Information Representation On Decision Making Mariia Kozlova: Investment Analysis And Decision Support Under Uncertainty Andrei Matveenko: Logit, CES, And Rational Inattention Alice Aubert: Constructing Preferences: Let's Play A Serious Game! Alex Kharlamov: Exploring The Impact Of Planner's Behaviour And Policy On Planning Performance THURSDAY: Hilya Arini, Tim Bedford, John Quigley & Calvin Burns: Developing A Conceptual Model Of Trust Behaviour In Emergency Evacuation: A Comparative Case Study In Canada And Indonesia Sara Hasani: Simulation As A Validation Tool - A Scenario Based Analysis Of Disaster Haiyan Irene Pluchinotta: Supporting Policy Design: Lessons Learned From Water Management In The Apulia Region (Italy) Katharina Burger: Understanding And Evaluating The Mediation Of Offline Collective Action By Online Problem-Structuring Via Smart City(zenship) Applications Giovanna Fancello: Multicriteria Evaluation In Space. The Case of Tourist In Alghero. Valentina Ferretti: Behavioural issues in spatial decision-making processes

RESEARCH POSTERS All week Poster Sessions Tuesday coffee breaks 10:30-11:00 15:00-15:30 Meet presenters at the posters THURSDAY PANEL on RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES in BOR

BOR SUMMER SCHOOL ORGANIZING TEAM PROFESSOR DOCTORAL STUDENT Behavioural decision analysis and path dependence DOCTORAL STUDENT Organizational Systems Intelligence

MONDAY Room M1. 09.00 - 09.30 Raimo P. Hämäläinen Welcome 09.30 - 10.30 L. Alberto Franco: What is Behavioural Operational Research Walk to room U9(U271) 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break 11:00 - 12:30 L. Alberto Franco: Problem structuring interventions: content and process 12:30 - 13.30 Lunch. Campus restaurants map here. 13.30 - 15.30 L. Alberto Franco: Workshop: Group problem structuring 15.00 - 15.30 Coffee break 15.30 - 16.15 L. Alberto Franco: Workshop: Group problem structuring 16.15 - 17.00 L. Alberto Franco: Workshop: Group problem structuring 17.00 - 18.00 Researchpitches by Aseguel Engin, Mariia Kozlova, Andrei Matveenko, Alice Aubert, Alex Kharlamov. Walk to Lounge, 5th floor, BIZ School 18.15 - Get together at Aalto University premises. Drinks and snacks available.

TUESDAY Room M1 09.00 - 10.30 Jeffrey Keisler: Modelling principles in Decision Analysis 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break & Poster session 11.00 - 12.30 Gilberto Montibeller: Behavioural and cognitive biases in decision and risk analysis 12:30 - 13.30 Lunch. Campus restaurants map here. 13.30 - 15.00 Gilberto Montibeller: Behavioural and cognitive biases in decision and risk analysis 15.00 - 15.30 Coffee break & Poster session 15.30 - 16.15 Jyrki Wallenius: Behavioural issues in multicriteria optimization Walk to room U351 16.15 - 17.15 Tuomas Lahtinen: Workshop - An experiment in decision making 17.30 - 18.30 The First International BOR Mölkky Tournament

WEDNESDAY Room M1 09.00 - 10.30 Konstantinos Katsikopoulos: Heuristics in human behaviour and decision-making 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break 11.00 - 12.30 Konstantinos Katsikopoulos: Heuristics in human behaviour and decision-making 12:30 - 13.30 Lunch. Campus restaurants map here. 13.30 - 15.00 Esa Saarinen: Systems Intelligence 15.00 - 15.30 Coffee break 15.30 - 16.30 Lauri Parkkonen: The brain basis of social interaction: methods, paradigms and results 16.45 - 18.20 Visit to the Aalto Neuroimaging center

THURSDAY Room M1 09.00 - 10.30 Paul Goodwin: Behavioural issues in forecasting 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break 11.00 - 12.30 Paul Goodwin: Behavioural issues in forecasting 12:30 - 13.30 Lunch. Campus restaurants map here. 13.30 - 14.15 Ahti Salo: Foresight and horizon scanning 14.15 - 15.00 Ilkka Leppänen: Experimental games and economics 15.00 - 15.30 Coffee break 15.30 - 16.30 Panel: Want to become a BOR scholar? Future research and collaboration opportunities in BOR 16.30 - 17.45 Research pitches by Hilya Arini, Sara Hasani, Irene Pluchinotta, Katharina Burger, Giovanna Fancello, Valentina Ferretti.

FRIDAY Room M1 09.00 - 09.45 Tuomas Lahtinen: How to design and analyze experiments 09.45 - 10.30 Tuomas Lahtinen: Path dependence. Preread material. 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break 11.00 - 11.45 Stewart Robinson: Introduction to simulation methods. Slides. Prereads for the lectures of Stewart Robinson. 11.45 - 12.30 Stewart Robinson: Modeling behaviour in simulation. Slides. 12:30 - 13.30 Lunch. Campus restaurants map here. Walk to room U351 13.30 - 15.00 Stewart Robinson: Workshop: Simulation 15.00 - 15.30 Coffee break Walk to room U9(U271) 15.30 - 17.30 Stewart Robinson: Workshop: Beer game 17.30 - 18.00 Participants and lecturers: Interactive synthesis session Student reflections, Questions and answers, BOR research plans