Socio-Economic Analysis of Water Table Management

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Presentation transcript:

Socio-Economic Analysis of Water Table Management Suren Kulshreshtha & Ana Marie Bogdan AGGP 2 Meeting March 16 2017

AGGP 1 Activities: Location Enterprise Scope/Treatment ST. Emmanuel Corn Controlled Tile Drainage with Sub-irrigation vs Field Drainage Harrow Same as above (analysis not complete) Leamington Tomatoes Surface and sub-surface drip irrigation St. Louis de Blandford Cranberries Water table vs. No water table Sherrington Onion sprinkler irrigation and sprinkler irrigation using tensiometer for irrigation scheduling Truro Dairy (Milk) production Drainage vs. Sub-irrigation and drainage

Major findings AGGP1 (1) All treatments included in AGGP1 resulted in gain in benefits to the producers These results were based on a single farm case study in most cases; no consideration made to size differences, or other physical characteristics of the farm Famers indicated that their adoption of these new practices would be affected by their own economic outcomes, even when the environmental and social considerations appear as motivation Economic motivation included: increased yields, protability of investment, being able to try the technology, reduce labor costs, reduce water use

AGGP1: Barriers to adoption Tight profit margins and uncertainty related to future contracts Financial requirements Perceptions of the new technology affects its adoption If the perception is beneficial, adoption is more likely Perception of a new technology is affected by factors: goals of the producer, education level, farming experience, specialization in the crop affected by the technology, and the degree to which it benefis the society as a whole

AGGP1: Adoption of BMPs Data from 70 producers were collected Significant factors included: education level, farm size, positive attitude re. environment, perception of the BMP, and goals of the producers Most significant factors: perception of producers, advantage provided by new technology over the existing one

AGGP1: Lessons learnt Web-Based surveys led to low response rate, and skewed the sample to larger farms Developing early connections with information gate-keepers is essential How perceptions are formed is a relatively unknown area Non-adopters have some misconception of the new technology, which can be changed through proper policy measures Open-ended and qualitative questions provide in-depth information on the adoption decision-making process Face-to-face interviews provide better response rate

AGGP1: Recommendations Data collection should be comprehensive and consistent with the type of analysis planned Experimental design should be selected in collaboration with farmers, all members of the research team, and regional experts

AGGP 2: Location Location Enterprise Scope/Treatment AGGP2 ST. Emmanuel Corn Controlled Tile Drainage with Sub-irrigation vs Field Drainage Yes Harrow Same as above (analysis not complete) Sherrington Onion Truro Dairy (Milk) production Drainage vs. Sub-irrigation and drainage Boulden, NS New Site Holland Marsh Ste. Anne-de-Bellevue

AGGP2: Overview Develop information and policy measures that would ensure adoption of project developed new technologies Three major milestones 1. Collection of farm level data 2. Robust economic and environmental evaluation of beneficial water management systems 3. Analysis of socio-economic data

Milestone 1: Socio-economic Data Gathering Four seasons of farm level data collection, one each for 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, and 2020-21 To include economic characteristics of the technology Farm level characteristics Survey of farmers using a questionnaire

Milestone 2: Robust economic and environmental evaluation of beneficial water management systems Whole Farm Level Simulation model for private economics of technology Model with several different characteristics (Size, Specialization, Alternative technology) Sensitivity analysis of economics Farmers and stakeholder workshops Life Cycle analysis modeling Multi-criteria analysis modeling

Life Cycle Analysis Scope of this analysis is from ‘Cradle-to-grave’ for the new technology All inputs needed for the implementation of the technology and all related activities are included Emphasis would be on aspects realted to environmental goods and services Carbon stock change as a result of adoption of the technology would also be included Undertaking Life Cycle Analysis using alternative methods would be explored

Multi-criteria Analysis Refers to decision making using various alternatives and different goals of the decision maker Decision making criteria could also be different Some of the goas may be conflicting in nature and may requires some trade-offs Incorporates both qualitative and quantitative information Different options area ranked according to the given set of objectives (goals) Three types of indicators: Financial, Social and Ecological.

Milestone 3: Analyze socio-economic data Industry profiles Analysis of questionnaires Regression analysis re adoption factors, barriers, and perception Identification of key factors in the diffusion of improved practices Identification of factors influencing adoption Barriers to adoption Comparison of adopters and non-adopters Estimation of non-market benefits, both market-based and non-market based Estimation of regional socio-economic and environmental effects of Estimation of adoption potential of said technology Introduction of climate change Estimation of total carbon sequestration Policy review and assessment