Bioenergy Policy Update

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Presentation transcript:

Bioenergy Policy Update David Ripplinger March 5, 2014

Bioenergy and the farm bill

900+ pages Loan Guarantees ($200 million) Repowering Assistance (convert from fossil fuels to biomass) Bioenergy Program for Advanced Biofuels (payment to refiners other than corn starch-ethanol) Biomass Crop Assistance Program (matches payments to farmers for growing energy crops) Crop Insurance (research to focus on new energy crops)

Industrial what?!

Industrial Hemp What it is: Varieties of cannabis sativa bred for industrial purposes By definition it has low levels of THC

Uses Two varieties Grown for fiber Grown for seed Small, E. and D. Marcus. 2002.

Industrial Hemp Policy History State of North Dakota Federal Petition (DEA) 2014 Farm Bill Rule Making

Phantom fuels

How would you feel if you had to pay a fine for not buying a product that doesn’t exist?

The Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) A federal law enacted in 2005 and updated in 2007 that mandates the minimum use of various biofuels by type and year. Provides support for the development and operation of biorefineries. THIS IS NOT PART OF THE FARM BILL.

How does it work? Each year blenders are told the amount of each type of fuel they need to blend based on the amount of fuel they used the previous year

How much? Changes each year Can be modified by EPA

Cellulosic Biofuel Credit Waiver Each year EPA sets the cellulosic biofuel standard based on - statute - projected production In years when project production is less than the statute, ‘obligated parties’ can buy credits

EPA has been way off Relied on forward looking statements that did not accurately predict the future Forced obligated parties to buy credits for product that didn’t exist. Cost was about $1.50 per gallon

Domestic cellulosic projects Poet-DSM in Emmitsburg, IA, 25 mmgpy Dupont-Danisco in Nevada, IA, 27.5 mmgpy Abengoa in Hugoton, KS, 25 mmgpy

An old one to remember Range Fuels of Soperton Georgia, $300 million biorefinery produced one batch of cellulosic ethanol and then was dismantled

Better late than never

Biodiesel Tax Credit/ Mixture Excise Tax Credit $1 income tax credit per gallon of pure biodiesel sold Let’s draw an economic model

Expired at the end of 2013. It as expired at the end of 2011, but was reenacted in 2013 – RETROACTIVE TO January 1, 2012 Let’s go back to our model

RINSANITY!

RINS Defined Renewable Identification Numbers (RINS) are a mechanism to track the production or import and use of biofuels. They can be traded, banked, and eventually reported to EPA to verify compliance

Renewable Fuel RIN prices

The Blend wall

Two reasons to change mandates - Economic harm - Inadequate domestic supply

2012 Drought In 2012, blenders requested a waiver. EPA denied the request.

Corn-ethanol Total 2014 Initial 14.4 billion 18.15 billion Proposed 13 billion 15.21billion % of Motor Gas 9.8 9.33

Implications 1.4 billion gallons of corn-ethanol require 500 million bushels of corn This is roughly ND’s recent production

Update 1 In statements in mid-February EPA noted that their final rule make look much different than what was proposed in October. EPA expects to have the rule out this spring, that is before midnight on June 20th.

Update 2 The price of RINs are up Is this a signal that EPA’s final rule will be higher?