GLMNet Model Prediction for the Oscars Keith R. Everett

Model Variables 1994-2014 Training Data NY and LA Film Critics Awards Golden Globe Awards Screen Actors Guild Awards BAFTA Awards Independent Spirit Awards Oscar Nominations and Wins

Model Variables Previous Nominations and Wins for each Nominee Opening Weekend Number of Screens Shown Inflation Adjusted Opening Weekend Gross per Screen Rotten Tomatoes Critics Score Rotten Tomatoes number of Critics scored

Model Predicted Winners Best Actor Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant Best Actress Brie Larson – Room Best Supporting Actor Christian Bale – The Big Short Best Supporting Actress Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs Best Director Alejandro González Iñárritu – The Revenant Best Picture The Revenant – if Iñárritu wins for Director Bridge of Spies – if Iñárritu not Best Director

What May Change Model Outcomes BAFTA and Independent Spirit Winners Real time Oscar Awards for other categories E.g. Beat Director linked with Best Picture on previous slide See you in March with the final results and model details