Graduations, Dropouts and Mobility Rates McKinney-Vento April 13, 2016 Presented by Duncan Anderson, Office of Data Services,

Agenda and Data Links Overview of data points Graduation Rates Dropout Rates Mobility Rates McKinney-Vento Data Requirements 2

Overview of the rate calculations for graduation, completion, and dropout Graduation Rate Completion Rate Dropout Rate Time Period 4-year cohort (Class of…) Annual (July 1 to June 30) Numerator # of students receiving a diploma within 4 years of completing 8th grade # of students receiving a diploma, GED certificate, or designation of high school completion within 4 years of completing 8th grade Number of reported dropouts and “age outs” during the past year Denominator # of students completing 8th grade four years earlier + transfers in – verified transfers out # of students that were in membership in grade 7-12 at any time during the past year Statewide 2014-15 rate (and count) 77.3% 47,486 graduates / 61,790 membership base 78.8% 48,701 completers / 61,790 membership base 2.5% 11,114 dropouts / 440,843 students in grade 7-12 Notes 5-, 6-, and 7-year graduation rates are also calculated and posted for each cohort 5-, 6-, and 7-year completion rates are also calculated and posted for each cohort Students transferring to a GED program are not counted as dropouts in the dropout rate 3

Graduation Data and Trends 4

See Data Dashboard - http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/gradcurrent 5

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4-year “On Time” Graduation Rates by Student Group 7

Graduating Class Cohort More Time to Graduate Colorado Extended-Year Graduation Rates – 2010 to 2015 Graduating Class Cohort 4-Year ("on-time") 5-Year 6-Year Class of 2010 72.4 77.1 78.5 Class of 2011 73.9 78.7 80.1 Class of 2012 75.4 81.2 Class of 2013 76.9 82.5 Class of 2014 77.3 81.7  Coming 2015-16 Class of 2015 Coming 2015-16 Coming 2016-17 8

4-year and Extended-Year Graduation Rates by Student Group (Class of 2013) 9

Dropout Data and Trends 10

2014-15 Dropout Rate The current dropout rate is 2.5 percent, which represents an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous year. Dropout rate for female students = 2.2% Dropout rate for male students = 2.9% First increase in the dropout rate after 8 consecutive years of decreases. This means that 568 more students dropped out in 2014-2015 than in 2013-2014. 11

Summary of Dropout Data Analysis - 2014-15 76% percent of students who dropped out were 17 to 21 years of age > 50% of the students who drop out are in the 12th grade 11th grade dropout rate = 3.6% 12th grade dropout rate = 7.8% Dropout rate in grades 11 and 12 increased from previous year = 496 more students dropping out compared to the previous year. Male students accounted for 75.8% (376) of the increase in those dropping out in grades 11 and 12.  12

Dropout Data for Homeless Youth The dropout rate increased for homeless youth for the first time in two years The increase in the number of McKinney-Vento eligible students dropping out of school follows a reduction in resources at the state and local level. 13

In 2014-15, Research shows… Schools with lower stability rate had a higher dropout rate. Factors predicting dropout rates = stability rate truancy rate Schools with a higher migrant pupil rate, Title I pupil rate, homeless pupil rate, habitual truant rate, number of out of school suspensions, and truancy rate also had a higher dropout rate. Not predictive of dropout rate - Total pupil count, rates of limited English proficient pupils, students with disabilities, economically disadvantaged and gifted and talented students. 14

Mobility Data and Trends 15

Mobility Incidence Rate Overview of the mobility rate calculation Stability Rate Mobility Rate Mobility Incidence Rate Time Period Annual (July 1 to June 30) Numerator Number of students enrolled on October 1st who finished the year at the school or district Number of unique students who entered or exited a school or district after October 1st Number of total student movements in a school or district after October 1st Denominator # of students that were in membership at that school during the past year Statewide Comparison 2014-15 rate (and count) The statewide rates of comparison are created by summing the district totals. The sum of mobile or stable students is divided by the total student count across districts. In 2014-15 the Statewide Mobility Comparison was 16.5% 16

2014-15 District/County Mobility Rates by Instructional Program Service Type Source: Colorado Department of Education, Data Services

McKinney-Vento Data Requirements 18

Data Requirements Provide data on the mobility rate, dropout rate and graduation rate of students experiencing homelessness in your district as compared to their housed peers in your district for the 2014- 2015 school year. Explain how this compares with the past three years 19

Data Requirements Data Resources are available here: http://www.cde.state.co.us/dropoutprevention/homeless_data 20

Interactive Graduation Dashboard http://www2.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/dropoutdatamap2014.asp 21

Interactive Graduation Dashboard 22

Dropout Data Dashboard http://www2.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/graduationdatamap2014.asp 23

Mobility Rates Mobility Rates are available here: http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/mobility-stabilitycurrent 24

Data Links Colorado Education Statistics: http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval Dropout Data Dashboard: http://www2.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/dropoutdatamap2014.asp Graduation Data Dashboard: http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval Office of Dropout Prevention and Student Re-engagement (DPSR) – 2015 Policy Report http://www.cde.state.co.us/dropoutprevention/rad_coloradolegislaturereports DPSR, K-12 Discipline Data Analysis - http://www.cde.state.co.us/dropoutprevention/studentdisciplineanalysis Data Services – Attendance rates - http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/truancystatistics Data Services – Mobility and Stability Rates - http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/mobility-stabilitycurrent 25

Questions? Please contact your district data specialists first for specific questions about your district’s data. If you have questions about state rates, trends, or information contained in this presentation please contact Duncan Anderson Anderson_d@cde.state.co.us (303)-866-6970 Thank you! 26