CARBON PRICING SUMMIT Peter Love Adjunct Professor, Sustainable Energy Initiative York University AESP June 8, 2017

HIGHLIGHTS OF OPENING COMMENTS Find positive way to speak about carbon George Marshall “Don’t even Think About It” Dan Kahan, Cultural Cognition Project, Yale Existing buildings – 75% of stock by 2030 Important Co-benefits of GHG reduced air pollution esp in China/India Collaboration – Great to hear IESO/Enbridge joint projects

CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE 101 According to Jim Handman, former producer of CBC Quirks & Quarks: It’s warming It’s us We’re sure It’s bad We can fix it

OUTLINE 3 numbers 2 graphs 5 questions

CLIMATE CHANGE IN CANADA 81% of Canada’s man-made GHG from production and use of energy

2/3 ENERGY WASTED!

BENEFITS OF CONSERVATION IN CANADA

CARBON PRICING Supported by environmentalists, NRTEE and even CCCE BC leading North America with carbon tax Energy taxes big part of Denmark’s success Could be either carbon tax (price known but quantity not) or cap and trade (quantity known but price unknown)

Two Main Approaches Cap & Trade Fix quantity Market determines price Carbon Tax Fix price Market determines quantity

QUESTION 1 – WHAT TO DO WITH THE $$ BC revenue neutral personal/business taxes reduced by amount collected Ont used to fund new programs $8 bil over next 4 years

QUESTION 2 – ROLE OF INCENTIVES IN MARKET TRANSFORMATION Right level – Goldilocks 25 – 50 -75 -100? What happens when removed Was market transformed How to design programs to transform markets Nrcan’s 5 A’s

QUESTION 3 – RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VOLUNTARY PROGRAMS AND MANDATORY CODES Can be complementary Condensing gas furnaces EnerGuide 80 homes Appliances Challenge is that they are often responsibility of different Ministries (Energy, Housing, Environment)

QUESTION 4 – HOW DO WE CHANGE TO A CULTURE OF CONSERVATION

SUMMAREY OF LESSONS LEARNED FROM PAST BEHAVIOUR CHANGE INITIATIVES Charismatic Leadership – from organizations, individuals and politicians Irrefutable evidence Clear, simple, compelling, consistent messaging and supportive media Leave compromising to government (this is their role) Focus on the issue “Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it” Saul Alinski Rules For Radicals # 13 (of 13) Don’t be afraid to start small “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has” Margret Mead

QUESTION 5 How to overcome barriers to having electric and natural gas distribution utilities work together

DISCUSSION Peter Love Adjunct Professor Sustainable Energy Initiative York University peter@loveenergyconsultants.com www.yorku.ca/se