Why a Framework? OceanObs’09 identified tremendous opportunities, significant challenges Called for a framework for planning and moving forward with an.

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Presentation transcript:

Why a Framework? OceanObs’09 identified tremendous opportunities, significant challenges Called for a framework for planning and moving forward with an enhanced global sustained ocean observing system over the next decade, integrating new physical, biogeochemical, biological observations while sustaining present observations What is this Framework for Ocean Observing? Its genesis comes from the OceanObs’09 conference, which took place 21-25 September 2009 in Venice, Italy. It brought together more than 600 participants from 36 countries, focused on defining a collective vision for the coming decade of ocean observations for societal benefit. The papers from this conference, which form an excellent resource reviewing progress and identifying opportunities and community plans, are all available at its website www.oceanobs09.net The conference identified tremendous opportunities to expand ocean observing capabilities, and noted significant challenges. There are many players in a potential integrated sustained ocean observing system. The conference, amongst other things, called for the development of a Framework for planning and moving forward with an enhanced global sustained ocean observing system over the next decade, integrating new physical, biogeochemical, and biological observations while sustaining present observations. It is this Framework that I’ll describe in the next portion of the talk.

Framework for Ocean Observing Sponsors and team Keith Alverson, Bee Berx, Peter Burkill, Francisco Chavez, Dave Checkley, Candyce Clark, Vicki Fabry, Albert Fischer, John Gunn (co-chair), Julie Hall, Eric Lindstrom (co-chair), Yukio Masumoto, David Meldrum, Mike Meredith, Pedro Monteiro, José Mulbert, Sylvie Pouliquen, Carolin Richter, Sun Song, Mike Tanner, Martin Visbeck, Stan Wilson IOC Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO GEO Group on Earth Observations CEOS Committee on Earth Observation Satellites POGO Partnership for Observation of the Global Oceans SCOR Scientific Committee on Oceanic Research SCAR Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research GCOS Global Climate Observing System GOOS Global Ocean Observing System JCOMM Joint WMO-IOC Tech. Comm. for Oceanography and Marine Meteorology PICES North Pacific Marine Science Organization ICES International Council for the Exploration of the Sea CoML Census of Marine Life IGBP International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme WCRP World Climate Research Programme The task team that worked on the definition of this Framework had broad participation from all the sponsors listed here (including ICES), and the participation of the group above. Bee Berx was the ICES representative to the team.

Framework for Ocean Observing High level objectives Take lessons learned from successes of existing observing efforts – best practices Guide observing community as a whole to sustain and expand the capabilities of the ocean observing system Deliver an observing system that is fit-for-purpose Promote collaborative alignment of independent groups, communities and networks, build on existing structures as much as possible

Input (Requirements) Output (Data & Products) Process (Observations) Framework for Ocean Observing A simple system Input (Requirements) Output (Data & Products) Process (Observations) Moving from introduction to the core ideas behind the framework team’s work: We wanted to take a complex system: the ocean observing system built up of research and some operational effort, in situ and satellite observing networks measuring different variables, new technological developments, data streams, and products — and apply systems thinking. This starts with a simple model of the system, which has an input in the form of requirements, a process in the form of observing networks, and an output in data and products that then feeds a scientific or societal benefit, the source of the requirements.

Structure of the Framework Issues (Scientific and societal drivers) Requirement What to Measure Essential Ocean Variables … Satellite Constellation Argo SOOP … This model of the framework is derived from where we are now. We have a large part of our observing system (in purple, made up of different observing units/networks) that is built and driven by our climate observing requirements (in orange). These requirements are currently expressed in GCOS plans as requirements on different Essential Climate Variables which we’ve generalized in the framework as Essential Ocean Variables. The GCOS implementation plan is written as a report to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change which has adopted it, and through this process we have buy-in from Parties (nations) from across the world for this observing system. The requirements are looked after by the OOPC which is also a part of the GOOS structure. Different observing units or networks measure different Essential Ocean Variables and contribute to different data streams and products (in green). Argo is an important one here. These products then help inform climate research and societal decisions about climate – and these drivers are what help originally set and refine requirements (arrows) in an important feedback loop to keep the observing system ‘fit for purpose’. The current model helped feed our vision for moving forward from 2010. There are two arrows in the feedback loop: the outer loop at the highest level with feedback from decision-makers about how information from the ocean has impacted their decision, which can then modify the questions asked of the observing system; and an inner loop that allows ocean observers to look at the fitness for purpose of data products and make assessments there Data Assembly Issues Impact Data/Info. Products VOS … Satellite OceanSITES IMOS … IOOS … Observations Deployment and Maintenance … … … …

We cannot measure everything, nor do we need to Driven by requirements, negotiated with feasibility Essential Ocean Variables We cannot measure everything, nor do we need to basis for including new elements of the system, for expressing requirements at a high level Driven by requirements, negotiated with feasibility Allows for innovation in the observing system over time A key idea in the Framework is the definition of Essential Ocean Variables, which some overlap with other types of essential variables that have been defined, such as Essential Climate Variables defined by GOOS and GCOS, Essential Variables defined by WMO for weather forecasting, and Essential Biodiversity Variables that are being defined by GEOBON (although largely focused on terrestrial variables). The idea is that for the key societal and scientific drivers of sustained ocean observations, we cannot measure everything, nor do we need to. Essential Ocean Variables should respond to these high-level drivers, related to climate, to understanding and managing ecosystem services, to conserving biodiversity, to managing living marine resources, to safety and protection of life and property at sea and on the coasts. Aligning the coordination processes of the observing system on variables, rather than by platforms or observing techniques, stays truer to the natural system which we are trying to observe, while allowing for innovation of observing techniques over time as technology and capability develop. The definition of an EOV must be driven by these requirements, but be rooted in reality, its measurement must be feasible. We may not be ready to measure all EOVs, but this assessing and encouraging the development of readiness is also a part of the Framework.

Mature Pilot Concept Increasing Readiness Levels Towards sustained system: requirements, observations, data management Readiness Mature Attributes: Products of the global ocean observing system are well understood, documented, consistently available, and of societal benefit. Pilot Attributes: Planning, negotiating, testing, and approval within appropriate local, regional, global arenas. Increasing Readiness Levels Concept The readiness levels are in fact an idea that has been with us on the physical side for a couple of decades, the precursor of OOPC (OODSP) spent a lot of time examining the feasibility and impact of different observing systems, to see if they were ready for global sustained observations. We believe that many biogeochemical and biological variables also need global sustained observations, but perhaps the technologies and techniques are not yet ready for instant application globally. We need to increase the readiness of these observing networks so they drive towards being capable of global sustained observations delivering an important data product that has impact on science or society. If there is an ambition to run a regional pilot to build a future global system – this type of pull helps engage the research community, and they want to be engaged. For Argo, new sensors should be and are being trialed in pilot projects, to improve their readiness for deployment on more of the array. Attributes: Peer review of ideas and studies at science, engineering, and data management community level.

Framework for Ocean Observing Societal drivers 2012 Climate and Weather This is a cartoon then of the global ocean observing system that we have now. The reality is that there are many more societal drivers than climate and weather for ocean observations. And we should try to engage them to build additional advocates for the observing system, and to help drive an integration across disciplines and especially the data products that will help build a system that is more than a sum of its individual parts.

Expanded observing systems and networks Framework for Ocean Observing Societal drivers next decade Climate and Weather Fisheries Assessments and management of ecosystem services Regional priorities Real-time services Requirements Expanded EOVs Expanded observing systems and networks We should try to engage these different scientific questions and societal benefits that require sustained ocean observations, including biodiversity, regional seas and regional fisheries management organizations, global fisheries agreements, global marine assessments, and the development of ecosystem-based approaches to management of the ocean environment. Many of these will be impacted by ocean acidification and will need such observations, as well as physical and other biogeochemical and biological sustained observations. We could follow the model that has successfully been implemented by climate – developing implementation plans from an expert group of scientists like the OOPC, which would be put forward to different international conventions and agreements, to get wider buy-in for sustained ocean observations from the international community and nations. That would expand the number of Essential Ocean Variables into the chemical, biological and ecosystems realm (gray box to right) and expand the number of data products. We will then have impact on more issues (for both science and for society). A central concept of the Framework is that the nations of the world cannot afford multiple ocean observing systems each responding to different expressed requirements – that one integrated system that responds to many different requirements will be far more fruitful. This is the 60,000 foot view of the Framework, a high-level picture that looks at driving the observing system with societal issues, developing requirements on what to measure, organizing and coordinating autonomous observing networks, and delivering data that has impacts on these societal issues – helping to drive understanding and good decisions. In some cases the science is ahead of the conventions in its needs for sustained ocean data, but having these conventions there at the top level is an important reminder that we should be developing sustained observations to feed societal benefit. Some of these conventions are regional, and we expressly did not make a distinction between coastal and open ocean observations. Data Products

Seeks to support self-funding and self-managing elements Framework for Ocean Observing Characteristics Common language and consistent handling of requirements, observing technologies, and information flow among different, largely autonomous, observing elements Seeks to support self-funding and self-managing elements Essential Ocean Variables as common focus Assessment and promotion of Readiness for coastal and open ocean An “Integrated Observing System” will be a derivative of an EOV-based approach driven by requirements. Here I’ll repeat some of the characteristics of this Framework for Ocean Observing ...

For Ocean Observing Communities Framework for Ocean Observing Benefits For Ocean Observing Communities Focus on variables allows innovation, research, while sustaining the key output of the observing system Clear path to selling utility of observations to high level, articulation of societal importance learn from best practices and principles of other observing systems reduce/remove duplication of measurements Clearer entry points for the needed coordination; cross- disciplinary positive synergy: shared platforms, data systems other data available to set your data in context The report of the Framework team, the final version of which is available at http://oceanobs09/foo/, also articulates benefits to different types of communities. Since I’m speaking to an audience of ocean observers I’ll concentrate on the benefits the team identified for this audience. ...

GOOS Steering Committee Framework for Ocean Observing Governance structure GOOS Steering Committee (Peak Bodies, Sponsors, Observing Panel Chairs, Observing System leaders) Observing System Panels (focused on EOVs e.g. Physics through OOPC, Carbon/Biogeochemistry through IOCCP, new Biology/Ecosystems); Coordination for observing system elements Technical Advisory Groups (Observing technologies and networks, Variable focus: data and products, synthesis, link to models) The Framework team presented an early draft of its report to the IOC Assembly (the governing body of the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission), as mentioned, resulting in the adoption of this Framework by the Global Ocean Observing System GOOS. The team envisioned a governance or management of the processes needed to use the Framework in three levels. The responsibility of the top level is primarily to advocate for an integrated sustained GOOS, to ensure that the necessary structures are in place to manage Framework processes, and to negotiate with all of the interested parties, including ICES in this case. The Observing System Panels were envisioned to have responsibility for a disciplinary set of Essential Ocean Variables, focusing on physics, carbon and biogeochemistry, and biology and ecosystems variables. These panels should build as much as possible on existing structures, such as the Ocean Observations Panel for Climate (OOPC), the International Ocean Carbon Coordination Project (IOCCP), and the legacy of GOOS’s Panel for Integrated Coastal Observations (PICO). At the core of the ocean observing system are technical advisory groups, that naturally form around particular observing networks, or the generation of products, often focused on a particular variables, pulling all available data together.

Essential Ocean Variables (EOVs) Follow Essential Climate Variables Physics through the Ocean Observation Panel for Climate (OOPC) Biogeochemistry through International Ocean Carbon Coordination Panel (IOOCP) – met in Townsville, November 2013. Top 3 – oxygen, nutrients (macro), carbon. Draft report http://www.ioccp.org/images/10FOO/Technical%20Experts%20Meeting%20Report_Draft_20140212.pdf Biology/Ecosystems – met in Townsville, November 2013. Draft report circulating. Candidate EOVs put forth, Working Groups suggested, leaders being identified.

Biology/Ecosystems WGs Primary Producers Forage Species (zooplankton and small pelagic fish) Large Marine Vertebrates Habitats Water Quality Human Impacts

Some similarity to EBVs

Candidate EOVs Chlorophyll (and primary production) Harmful Algal Blooms Mangrove, salt marsh and seagrass area Forage Species (zooplankton and small pelagics) Coral Cover Large Marine Vertebrates (Apex predators)