Assessing housing needs A provider’s perspective……
If I were given one hour to save the planet, I would spend 59 minutes defining the problem and one minute resolving it,” Albert Einstein
179,000 269,000 60% Increase in aged 65+ households 2006 - 2026 Increase in all households 2006 - 2026 Increase aged 65+ households 2006 - 2026 Increase in aged 65+ households 2006 - 2026 179,000 Increase is all households 2006 - 2026 269,000 Increase aged 65+ households 2006 - 2026 67% • In 2014 19.9% of the population was over 65; by 2036 this is expected to rise to over 26.1% (ONS) Population pyramid becomes top heavy by 2036 Jon the key info to get across is that 67% of household growth between 2006 – 2026 is from the 65 and over age group (see figures below) Household Types in 2006 and 2026 in Wales Household Types in 2006 and 2026 in Wales 2006 2026 Couple One person Lone parent Other Total Total aged 65+ 145,000 179,000 2,000 27,000 353,000 229,000 274,000 5,000 24,000 532,000 Total population 709,000 390,000 97,000 76,000 1,272,000 753,000 569,000 154,000 65,000 1,541,000 Source: Welsh Government and Holmans & Monk, 2011
66% Out of the 6,789 new homes built in Wales in 2015-16 were 3 or 4 bedroom properties.
72% of those aged 65 and over live in a property that has two or more spare rooms of those aged 65 and over live in a property that has one spare room
Housing flow First time and last time buyers – info graphic for flow of people through the housing chain
Current housing need assessments
Housing need versus housing demand Residents demand Housing options enquiries Residents - bungalows Requests to purchase Consultation events All about choice Provider’s demand Demographics and current provision Believe that better housing solutions would improve quality of life Alternatives likely to reduce need for health and social care
Understanding resident demand - factors Understanding ‘what matters or what is important’ as opposed to ‘what’. Right location more important than any other factor Proximity to amenities – not only the doctor Compromise size, suitability, adaptations Assumption that services will follow
Understanding resident demand - factors Choice House, flat, bungalow One, two or more bedrooms Individual, scheme, complex
Understanding resident demand - factors Certainty and control Tenure options Ensuring a genuine market Reluctance to change from what is known Cost Additional charges Annual increases Providers Who does what Management of change
Understanding resident demand - factors My home (independence) My front door Do I like it, will I be proud How designed - will it be okay for me? Facilities – will it have what I think I want? A sense of the future – one move and peace of mind
Understanding resident demand - factors ‘Community’ Who are my neighbours What is there to do in the scheme/area Time
Selling the ‘extra’ - getting advice
Final thoughts/summary Older persons housing is also a priority Understanding the problem Seeing the wider benefits Facilitating mixed tenure options Self-sustaining community requires people with (no or) varying levels of need