S. Van Haute*,**, I. Sampers**, K. Holvoet*,**, and M. Uyttendaele*

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Simple Linear Regression. Start by exploring the data Construct a scatterplot  Does a linear relationship between variables exist?  Is the relationship.
Advertisements

Statistics Measures of Regression and Prediction Intervals.
Determining Uses of Water. Next Generation Science / Common Core Standards Addressed! HS ‐ ETS1 ‐ 2. Design a solution to a complex real ‐ world problem.
XI. Swimming Pools & Bathing Beaches A. Regulations & B. Design and safety.
9. SIMPLE LINEAR REGESSION AND CORRELATION
Least Square Regression
Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 7-1 Chapter 7 Confidence Interval Estimation Statistics for Managers.
Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 8-1 Chapter 8 Confidence Interval Estimation Basic Business Statistics 10 th Edition.
Lesson #32 Simple Linear Regression. Regression is used to model and/or predict a variable; called the dependent variable, Y; based on one or more independent.
BCOR 1020 Business Statistics
ASEE Southeast Section Conference INTEGRATING MODEL VALIDATION AND UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS INTO AN UNDERGRADUATE ENGINEERING LABORATORY W. G. Steele and J.
ELASTICITY 4 CHAPTER. Objectives After studying this chapter, you will be able to  Define, calculate, and explain the factors that influence the price.
Introduction to Environmental Engineering
Chlorination & Chlorine Demand
Lecture 4: Free chlorine and hypochlorite Prepared by Husam Al-Najar The Islamic University of Gaza- Environmental Engineering Department Environmental.
Chemometrics Method comparison
5.8 Disinfection Objective
Introduction to Linear Regression and Correlation Analysis
3 CHAPTER Cost Behavior 3-1.
Confidence Interval Estimation
Coefficient of Determination R2
© 1998, Geoff Kuenning General 2 k Factorial Designs Used to explain the effects of k factors, each with two alternatives or levels 2 2 factorial designs.
S URVIVAL AND ELIMINATION OF ADENOVIRUSES P ULAWY, A PRIL 2010.
Shelf-life Estimation1 FST 151 FOOD FREEZING FOOD SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 151 Shelf-life Prediction of Frozen Foods & Case Studies Lecture Notes Prof. Vinod.
Introduction to Environmental Engineering Code No. (PE389) Lec. 3.
Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 5e © 2008 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc.Chap 8-1 Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft® Excel 5th Edition.
TESTING THE ASSUMPTIONS OF VARIABLES CONTROL CHARTS AND AN APPLICATION ON FOOD INDUSTRY Berna YAZICI Department of Statistics, Anadolu University Eskisehir,Turkey.
SPH 247 Statistical Analysis of Laboratory Data April 9, 2013SPH 247 Statistical Analysis of Laboratory Data1.
P2-78: Generic Modeling Approach for Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment Thomas P. Oscar, USDA, ARS/1890 Center of Excellence in Poultry Food Safety.
Water Analysis & Control. Water analysis & control WATSAN M15 ERU 2 Contents 1.Chemical parameters and ranges 2.Water sources: Sampling procedures 3.Laboratory.
11/23/2015Slide 1 Using a combination of tables and plots from SPSS plus spreadsheets from Excel, we will show the linkage between correlation and linear.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 13 Linear Correlation and Regression Analysis.
The Islamic University of Gaza- Environmental Engineering Department
Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering National Taiwan University Lab for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling STATISTICS Linear Statistical.
Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 5e © 2008 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc.Chap 8-1 Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft® Excel 5th Edition.
Section 9.3 Measures of Regression and Prediction Intervals.
Introduction Many problems in Engineering, Management, Health Sciences and other Sciences involve exploring the relationships between two or more variables.
Introduction Results & Discussion At present, disinfection of wells and drinking water pipelines is carried out by treating with chlorine- containing reagents.
Introduction Stijn W.H. Van Hulle 1,2 and M. Cristina Ciocci 1 1 Research Group EnBiChem, Department of Industrial Engineering and Technology, University.
Stats Methods at IC Lecture 3: Regression.
MECH 373 Instrumentation and Measurements
Chlorination & Chlorine Demand
Chapter 14 Introduction to Multiple Regression
Oxygen Sag Curve By- Prajyoti P. Upganlawar
Chapter 7 Confidence Interval Estimation
Evaluation of chemical immersion treatments to reduce microbial counts in fresh beef Ahmed Kassem1, Joseph Meade1, Kevina McGill1, James Gibbons1, James.
EMSA 22 Lab Module 1 Field Equipment Calibration
CT Values Dan Lanteigne
Confidence Interval Estimation
Ch. 2: The Simple Regression Model
Marianao CP 19390, La Habana, Cuba
Fungal and Bacterial Dynamics in the Lettuce Rhizosphere Responding to Successive Additions of Cd and Zn. A. M. I. D. Amarakoon * and R. M. C. P. Rajapaksha.
Drinking-water Treatment
Environmental Sciences Research
Treatment – Chlorine Disinfection
Ch. 2: The Simple Regression Model
1) A residual: a) is the amount of variation explained by the LSRL of y on x b) is how much an observed y-value differs from a predicted y-value c) predicts.
Introduction If nontoxic organic pollutants get discharged into a river, lake or stream, they should be pretty harmless, right?
CHAPTER 29: Multiple Regression*
Olga Ogburn Background
Regression Computer Print Out
Two-Variable Regression Model: The Problem of Estimation
Part 2 – Evaluation of Findings (distinction) Broken down into 5 areas: Evaluation of statistical data Evaluation of conclusions drawn Evaluating.
MATH 2140 Numerical Methods
26th CARSP Conference, Halifax, June 5-8, 2016
Confidence Interval Estimation
The Coefficient of Determination (R2) vs Relative Standard Error (RSE)
The Simple Regression Model
ENM 310 Design of Experiments and Regression Analysis Chapter 3
Linear Regression and Correlation
Presentation transcript:

S. Van Haute*,**, I. Sampers**, K. Holvoet*,**, and M. Uyttendaele* Modelling chlorine disinfection for fresh-cut lettuce wash water processes S. Van Haute*,**, I. Sampers**, K. Holvoet*,**, and M. Uyttendaele* * Laboratory of Food Microbiology and Food Preservation, Department of Food Safety and Food Quality, Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Ghent University, Coupure links 653, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium **Research Group EnBiChem, Department of Industrial Engineering and Technology, University College West Flanders, Association Ghent University (Howest-AUGent), Graaf Karel de Goedelaan 5, B-8500 Kortrijk, Belgium Introduction Chlorine is the most used water disinfectant in fresh-cut lettuce washing processes in order to maintain the microbial quality and safety of the lettuce. The commonly applied chlorine concentrations are in the range 50 – 200 mg/L free chlorine, in order to reduce the microbial load on the fresh-cut lettuce. However, these reductions are limited to 1 – 2 log CFU/g. In order to maintain the wash water quality, much lower concentrations are necessary. In this study, a semi-mechanistic model was constructed to predict the E. coli O157 wash water contamination during a dynamic lettuce washing process, in order to comprehend the microbial contamination in function of microbial lettuce contamination, microbial transfer from lettuce to water, amount of lettuce washed and free chlorine residual. Materials & methods For experiments in oxidant demand free buffer, 6 log CFU/ mL E. coli O157 was inoculated in phosphate buffer (pH 6.5) containing free chlorine (0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5 mg/L). For the washing experiments, artificial process water (APW) was made by homogenizing tap water and butterhead lettuce. Experiments were executed in tap water, and APW of COD 500 and 1000 mg O2/L. Portions of 50 g of lettuce (4 log CFU/g E. coli O157) were consecutively passed for 1 min through the same washing bath (4 L, mechanical agitation), in which a residual of 1 mg/L free chlorine was maintained during the 1 hour trials by measuring the free chlorine residual (DPD method) and changing the flow of a chlorine dosing pump accordingly. After washing, each portion of lettuce was rinsed with tap water. Also, trihalomethanes in the water and on the lettuce were measured at the end of the trials with GC-MS. Figure 1 shows the method used for constructing the model. .The model was based on the following assumptions: i) knowledge of the residual free chlorine in the washing bath can be used to estimate the microbial kill-off regardless the physicochemical load, ii) the discrete experimental setup is interpreted as a continuous process where lettuce is continuously added instead of in intervals of 1 min. Free chlorine (mg/L) r² Um Ur Ud TIC 0.0±0.0 0.58 0.02 0.05 0.93 0.028 1.17±0.26 (in tap water) 0.00 0.29 0.71 0.077 Figure 2: Prediction quality of the E. coli O157 contamination models in tap water A considerable part of the microbial measurements in APW 500 and 1000 mg O2/L yielded measurements below the LOQ (1.6 log CFU/100 mL). The higher added chlorine dosage in combination with a more rapid chlorine decomposition due to organic matter caused a greater variation in free chlorine residual (Table 1). These larger chlorine dosages could equally well inactivate E. coli O157 as being consumed by the COD of the water. These two factors could explain both the greater variation as well as the overall lower contamination in water with APW 500 and 1000 mg O2/L than in tap water. After 1 hour of lettuce washing in APW 1000 mg O2/L, total trihalomethanes were above the limit imposed by EU drinking water legislation (max 100 µg/L), although none were found on the lettuce after rinsing. Figure 1: Method for construction of the semi-mechanistic model The origin of the model deviation from the measured values was assessed with Theil’s decomposition of the mean square error: Um = bias; Ur = deviation regression line from perfect fit line; Ud = random error; Um+Ur+Ud=1. and the overall quality with Theil’s inequality coefficient (TIC). TIC= i ( y i − y m,i )² i y² i + i y² i,m Table 1. Measured chlorine consumption and total trihalomethanes production   Tap water COD 500 mg O2/L COD 1000 mg O2/L COD (mg O2/L) 36 ± 13 500 ± 25 1017 ± 4 Free chlorine residual (mg/L) 1.17 ± 0.26 1.16 ± 0.33 1.09 ± 0.39 Free chlorine dose (mg/L/min) 0.3 ± 0.02 2.6 ± 0.2 6.6 ± 1.2 Chlorination breakpoint (mg/L) 1.9 ± 0.2 81.0 ± 14.4 244.5 ± 19.1 Cumulative dose (mg/L) 17.1 ± 2.1 235.8 ± 23.6 609.0 ± 59.4 E. coli O157 wash water contamination (log CFU/100mL) 2.2 ± 0.3 1.2 ± 0.7 1.2 ± 0.8 Total trihalomethanes (water) (µg/L) <6.3 27.8 ± 5.4 124.5 ± 13.4 Chloroform 111.1 ± 17.3 Bromodichloromethane 13.4 ± 2.9 Total trihalomethanes (lettuce) (µg/g) Results & Discussion In the absence of free chlorine, the model predicted the microbial build-up accurately, while in the presence of free chlorine some bias was observed (Um =0.29) (Figure 2). Nonetheless, a good overall prediction quality was found (Theil’s inequality coefficient (TIC) = 0.077). Conclusions The greater variation in E. coli O157 contamination in COD 500 and 1000 mg O2/L compared to tap water, as well as the better inactivation at higher COD, shows that the assumption that knowledge of the chlorine residual is insufficient for predicting inactivation in varying COD. Improvements might be made by incorporating added dose and decomposition rate in function of COD to supplement free chlorine residual. This study shows that low chlorine residuals (although higher than the 1 ppm used here to allow quantitative modelling) in the wash water may be considered safe towards the consumer and effective for E. coli O157 inactivation. For more information: Van Haute, S., Sampers, I., Holvoet, K., Uyttendaele M. (2013). Physicochemical Quality and Chemical Safety of Chlorine as a Reconditioning Agent and Wash Water Disinfectant for Fresh-Cut Lettuce Washing, Applied and Environmental technology, 79,9. The research leading to these results has been facilitated by the European Community's Seventh Framework Program (FP7) under grant agreement no 244994 (project VEG-i-TRADE). :