Valuing Higher Education

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Presentation transcript:

Valuing Higher Education Dr. Albert W. Niemi, Jr. Dean, Cox School of Business

1. The Payoff to Education   2. The Global Standing of the U.S. in Education 3. Changing Demographics in America 4. The Market for College Grads 5. The Changing Situation for Business Schools 6. Jobs in America 7. It's Good to be in Texas

The Payoff to Education

Unemployment Rate by Education Level, 2011 Table 1 Unemployment Rate by Education Level, 2011 (for full-time workers for 25 and over)   Education Level Unemployment Rate Doctoral Degree 2.5% Professional Degree 2.4 Master's Degree 3.6 Bachelor's Degree 4.9 Associate Degree 6.8 Some college – no degree 8.7 High School Diploma 9.4 Less than High School Diploma 14.1 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Earnings by Education Level, 2010 Table 2 Earnings by Education Level, 2010   Non-High School Grad $21,004 High School Grad $31,003 Associate Degree $39,404 Bachelor's Degree $57,621 Master's $71,439 Doctorate $106,840 Professional $125,891

Earnings by Race and Ethnic Background, 2010 Table 3   Earnings by Race and Ethnic Background, 2010 White Black Asian Hispanic Non-H.S. 21,839 17,415 20,491 20,856 High School 32,067 25,757 28,579 26,381 Associate 40,440 33,507 36,869 34,733 Bachelors 59,188 44,311 57,183 47,980 Masters 72,344 62,224 72,556 63,033 Doctorate 108,594 97,820 101,170 95,104 Professional 128,412 104,425 120,086 106,234

The Global Standing of the U.S. in Education

High School Student Performance in Math and Science, 2009 Table 4 High School Student Performance in Math and Science, 2009   Country Math Science Total Finland 548 563 1,111 South Korea 547 522 1,069 Canada 527 534 1,061 Netherlands 531 525 1,056 Japan 523 1,054 Australia 520 1,047 Belgium 510 1,030 Germany 504 516 1,020 United Kingdom 495 515 1,010 Denmark 513 496 1,009 Ireland 501 508 Sweden 502 503 1,005 Poland 498 993 France 991 Norway 490 487 977 Spain 480 488 968 United States 474 489 963 Italy 462 475 937 Greece 459 473 932 Mexico 406 410 816 Source: Statistical Abstract

OECD Ranking for Reading, 2009 Table 5 OECD Ranking for Reading, 2009   Country/Region Score 1. China (Shanghai 556 2. South Korea 539 3. Finland 536 4. Hong Kong 533 5. Singapore 526 6. Canada 524 7. New Zealand 521 8. Japan 520 9. Australia 515 10. Netherlands 508 11. Belgium 506 12. Norway 503 13. Estonia 501 13. Switzerland 15. Iceland 500 15. United States 18. Lichenstein 497 18. Germany 18. Sweden Global Average 493

OECD Ranking for Mathematics, 2009 Table 6 OECD Ranking for Mathematics, 2009   Country/Region Score 1. China (Shanghai) 600 2. Singapore 562 3. Hong Kong 555 4. South Korea 546 5. China (Taipei) 543 6. Finland 541 7. Lichenstein 536 8. Switzerland 534 9. Japan 529 10. Canada 527 11. Netherlands 526 12. China (Macao 525 13. New Zealand 519 14. Belgium 515 15. Australia 514 16. Germany 513 17. Estonia 512 18. Iceland 507 19. Denmark 503 20. Slovenia 501 31. United States 487 Global Average 496

OECD Ranking for Science, 2009 Table 7 OECD Ranking for Science, 2009 Country/Region Score 1. China Shanghai) 575 2. Finland 554 3. Hong Kong 549 4. Singapore 542 5. Japan 539 6. South Korea 538 7. New Zealand 532 8. Canada 529 9. Estonia 528 10. Australia 527 11. Netherlands 522 12. China (Taipei) 520 12. Lichenstein 12. Germany 15. Switzerland 517 16. United Kingdom 514 17. Slovenia 512 18. China (Macao) 511 19. Poland 508 19. Ireland 23. United States 502   Global Average 501

Percentage of Workforce with a College Degree, Table 8 Percentage of Workforce with a College Degree, 1990 and 2000   Country 1990 2000 United States 23% 28% Australia 10 19 Canada 15 20 Finland France 7 12 Germany 13 Italy 6 Japan South Korea -- 17 Spain 9 Sweden United Kingdom 18 Source: Statistical Abstract

College Graduation Rates for Table 9 College Graduation Rates for 25-34 Year Olds, 2009 (% graduating)   Canada 58% Japan 57 Russia South Korea New Zealand 49 Ireland 46 Norway 43 Israel 42 Belgium 41 France Australia 40 U.S. Denmark 39 Finland Spain United Kingdom 38 Netherlands 37

Ranking of the Top 50 Universities in the World Table 10 Ranking of the Top 50 Universities in the World   21 United States 8 United Kingdom 5 China 3 Japan France Canada Australia 2 Singapore 1 New Zealand Switzerland

Number of Patents Granted, 2006-08 Table 11 Number of Patents Granted, 2006-08   1. Japan 141,203 2. U.S. 82,284 3. South Korea 80,688 4. China 34,537 5. Taiwan 33,402 6. Russia 19,943 7. Germany 13,691 8. France 9,894 9. Italy 5,257 10. Ukraine 2,452 11. U.K. 2,369 12. Spain 2,086 13. Netherlands 1,781 14. Canada 1,761 15. Kazakhstan 1,459 16. India 1,385 17. Poland 1,383 18. Sweden 1,252 19. Australia 978 20. Austria 961 Source: The Economist

Changing Demographics in America

High School Grads by Race and Ethnicity, (% of population 25 and over) Table 12 High School Grads by Race and Ethnicity, 1960-2010 (% of population 25 and over) High School Grad White Black Asian Hispanic Mexican 1960 43.2 20.1 48.8 - 1970 54.5 31.4 62.2 32.1 24.2 1980 68.8 51.2 74.8 44.0 37.6 1990 79.1 66.2 80.4 50.8 44.1 2000 84.9 78.5 85.7 57.0 51.0 2010 87.6 84.2 88.9 62.9 57.4 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census

College Grads by Race and Ethnicity 1960-2010 Table 13 College Grads by Race and Ethnicity 1960-2010 (% of population 25 and over) College Grads White Black Asian Hispanic Mexican 1960 8.1% 3.1 11.3 - 1970 4.4 20.4 4.5 2.5 1980 17.1 8.4 32.9 7.6 4.9 1990 22.0 39.9 9.2 5.4 2000 26.1 16.5 43.9 10.6 6.9 2010 30.3 19.8 52.4 13.9 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census

Hispanic Population Growth Table 14 Hispanic Population Growth Number % of U.S. Total 1970 9.6 4.7 1980 14.6 6.4 1990 22.4 9.0 2000 35.3 12.5 2010 50.0 16.4 2020 65.0 19.5 2030 82.0 23.0 2040 98.0 26.2 2050 115.0 30.0

Percent of White Income for Table 15 Percent of White Income for Full Time Workers   Black Hispanic Asian 1990 77.6 71.7 -- 2000 80.3 67.6 104.2 2010 79.0 70.7 109.5

The Market for College Grads

Many With New College Degree Find the Job Market Humbling . Many With New College Degree Find the Job Market Humbling The New York Times – May 18, 2011 Graduates at the University of Michigan commencement ceremony in Ann Arbor in April

53% of Recent College Grads Are Jobless or Underemployed – How? A college diploma isn't worth what it used to be. To get hired, grads today need hard skills. The Atlantic – April 23, 2012

Is College Relevant?   53% of recent college grads are jobless or underemployed Roughly half have no job or are working at a job that does not require a college degree College grads with skills valued in the marketplace are doing well College grads who do not meet the demands of the marketplace are struggling Global competition is putting intense pressure on American companies, and the companies are looking for workers who can add value

The Changing Situation for Business Schools

Decline in General Management MBA   Rise in Specialized Master's Programs Master of Science in Accounting MS Entrepreneurship MS Finance Masters in Management Masters in Business Analytics Undergraduate Majors in Finance Alternative Assets Energy Finance

Jobs in America

America's Largest Employers, 1960 and 2010 Table 16 America's Largest Employers, 1960 and 2010   1960 2010 1. General Motors Wal-Mart 2. U. S. Steel Kelly Services 3. General Electric McDonalds

The Current Recovery in Perspective Figure 1 The Current Recovery in Perspective

Month-to-Month Change in Total Nonfarm Employment Figure 2 Month-to-Month Change in Total Nonfarm Employment Jobs lost in recession 8.4 million Jobs gained in recovery 2.1 million Jobs needed to get to 2007 employment 6.3 million Job Growth in 2011 and 2012 2011 2012 January 110,000 275,000 February 220,000 259,000 March 246,000 143,000 April 251,000 68,000 May 54,000 87,000 June 84,000 45,000 July 96,000 181,000 August 85,000 192,000 September 202,000 132,000 October 112,000 137,000 November 157,000 161,000* December 223,000 155,000* Net Jobs/month 153,000 152,900 Unemployment rate 7.8% Underemployment rate 17.6% *Preliminary

Job Creation Path to Full Employment Figure 3 Job Creation Path to Full Employment Employment in 1000s 2025 2021 +213,000 per month 2018 2015 +244,000 per month +301,000 per month Full Employment +503,000 per month Actual Employment 2025

Auto Production by Country: 1961 to 2010 Figure 4 Auto Production by Country: 1961 to 2010 1,000s of vehicles

It’s Good to be in Texas

Job Gains and Losses by State: Figure 5 Job Gains and Losses by State: 2000-2012 (Sept.) Delaware South Carolina Rhode Island Tennessee Massachusetts New Jersey Connecticut Alabama Mississippi Wisconsin Missouri Indiana Illinois Ohio Michigan

Figure 6