The 2020 Census: A New Design for the 21st Century

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Presentation transcript:

The 2020 Census: A New Design for the 21st Century National Neighborhood Indicators Partnership Meeting May 19, 2017 Jennifer Kim U.S. Census Bureau

The 2020 Census The Decennial Census Purpose: To conduct a census of population and housing and disseminate the results to the President, the States, and the American People Primary Uses of Decennial Census Data: Apportion representation among states as mandated by Article 1, Section 2 of the United States Constitution: Draw congressional and state legislative districts, school districts and voting precincts Enforce voting rights and civil rights legislation Distribute federal dollars to states Inform federal, tribal, state, and local government planning decisions Inform business and nonprofit organization decisions (e.g., where to locate, size of the market) Provide population benchmark for nearly every other United States survey Representatives and direct Taxes shall be apportioned among the several States which may be included within this union, according to their respective Numbers … The actual Enumeration shall be made within three Years after the first Meeting of the Congress of the United States, and within every subsequent Term of ten years, in such Manner as they shall by Law direct.

The 2020 Census Operational Overview COUNT THE POPULATION Make it easy for people to respond anytime, anywhere— via internet, phone or mail Encourage people to use the new online response option Use the most cost-effective strategy to contact and count nonrespondents Knock on doors only when necessary Streamline in-field census-taking ESTABLISH WHERE TO COUNT Minimize field work, verify 75% of addresses using data sources in-office Conduct a 100% review and update of the nation’s address list Use multiple data sources to identify areas with address changes Get local government input m MOTIVATE PEOPLE TO RESPOND Conduct a nation-wide communications and partnership program Maximize outreach using traditional and new media Target ads to specific audiences Work with trusted sources to inspire participation RELEASE CENSUS RESULTS Deliver apportionment counts to the President by December 31, 2020 Release counts for redistricting by April 1, 2021 Make it easier for the public to get data

The 2020 Census The 2020 Census Environment Constrained fiscal environment Rapidly changing use of technology Information explosion Distrust in government Declining response rates Increasingly diverse population Informal, complex living arrange-ments A mobile population The 2020 Census is being conducted in a rapidly changing environment, requiring a flexible design that takes advantages of new technologies and data sources while minimizing risk to ensure a high quality population count.

The 2020 Census Key Innovation Areas Reengineering Address Canvassing Optimizing Self-Response Utilizing Administrative Records and Third-Party Data Reengineering Field Operations

The 2020 Census Timeline

Content Testing on Race/Ethnicity 2015 National Content Test (NCT) Question Format Separate origin and race questions vs. combined origin and race questions Middle Eastern or North African (MENA) Category MENA is placed among response options for selecting a major race or ethnic category Instruction Wording Old and new instruction wording tested to help improve clarity of question Terminology Alternative terms used to describe the concepts and groups in the question stem, instructions, and examples

NCT Example of a Separate Question NCT Example of a Combined Question 8

Content Testing on Race/Ethnicity NCT Findings The combined question format appears to elicit higher quality data on race and ethnicity No changes to distribution for major groups Decreased Some Other Race reporting Lower item nonresponse for the combined race/ethnicity question than for the separate race question Same or higher level of detailed reporting Higher overall consistency for Hispanics The use of a distinct MENA category appears to elicit higher quality data for people who would identify with MENA People who identify as MENA use the MENA category when it is available People who are MENA have trouble identifying as only MENA when no category is available

Non-English Content 2020 Language Support 2010 2020 Paper Questionnaires Telephone Questionnaire Assistance (Limited Language Options) Field Materials Language Assistance Guides (Paper) Language Identification Flashcard “It’s Easy” Videos (via Comcast) 2020 Internet Instrument Census Questionnaire Assistance (Expanded Language Options) Field Enumeration Instrument Language Assistance Guides (Paper and Internet)

Examples of Non-English Response Options Internet Self-Response / Census Questionnaire Assistance

The 2020 Census A New Design for the 21st Century

American Community Survey Connect with Us facebook.com/uscensusbureau twitter.com/uscensusbureau youtube.com/user/uscensusbureau instagram.com/uscensusbureau pinterest.com/uscensusbureau Sign up for and manage alerts at https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USCENSUS/subscriber/new More information on the 2020 Census Memorandum Series: http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/decennial-census/2020-census/planning-management/memo-series.html More information on the 2020 Census: http://www.census.gov/2020Census More information on the American Community Survey: http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/ American Community Survey