Chapter 16 Payout Policy Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition

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Presentation transcript:

Chapter 16 Payout Policy Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 1 1 1 1 2

Topics Covered Facts About Payout How Firms Pay Dividends and Repurchase Stock How Do Companies Decide on Payouts? Information in Dividends and Stock Repurchases The Payout Controversy The Rightists Taxes and the Radical Left The Middle of the Roaders 2 2 2 2 3 2

Payout Policies Cash Dividend vs. Stock Repurchase

Dividend & Stock Repurchases U.S. Data 1980 - 2008 $ Billions

Dividend Payments April 15, 2009 May 11, 2009 May 13, 2009 June 10, 2009 Exxon Mobil declares regular quarterly dividend of $.42 per share. Shares start to trade ex dividend. Dividend will be paid to shareholders registered on this date. Dividend checks are mailed to shareholders. Declaration Date Ex-dividend Date Record Date Payment Date

Types of Dividends Cash Dividend Regular Cash Dividend Special Cash Dividend Stock Dividend Stock Repurchase (4 methods) 1. Buy shares on the market 2. Tender Offer to Shareholders 3. Dutch Auction 4. Private Negotiation (Green Mail)

Dividend Payments Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders. Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend payment; anyone holding stock before this date is entitled to a dividend. Record Date - Person who owns stock on this date received the dividend. 5

Dividend Payments Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders. Stock Splits - Issue of additional shares to firm’s stockholders. Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back stock from its shareholders. 8

Dividend Decision Survey (2004) The Payout Decision Dividend Decision Survey (2004) Executives who agree or strongly agree (%)

The Payout Decision Lintner’s “Stylized Facts,” as updated by Brav, Graham, Harvey, Michaely (2004) 1. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that may have to be reversed. They are particularly worried about having to rescind a dividend increase and, if necessary, would choose to raise new funds to maintain the payout. 2. To avoid the risk of a reduction in payout, managers smooth” dividends. Consequently, dividend changes follow shifts in long-run sustainable earnings. Transitory earnings changes are unlikely to affect dividend payouts. 3. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels. Thus paying a $2.00 dividend is an important financial decision if last year’s dividend was $1.00, but no big deal if last year’s dividend was $2.00. 18

Information in Payouts Dividends and stock repurchase decisions contain information The information contained in the decisions varies Asymmetric information may be conveyed Dividend increases could mean overpriced stock or increased future profits The signal varies based on prior information about the company

Information in Payouts Attitudes concerning dividend targets vary Dividend Change 18

Information in Payouts Dividend changes confirm the following 18

Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as % Source: Healy & Palepu (1988) Dividend Policy Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS Change EPS/Price at t = 0 as % Year Source: Healy & Palepu (1988)

Dividend Policy } { Before Dividend After Dividend New stockholders Each share worth this before … } … and worth this after Total value of firm { Old stockholders Total number of shares Total number of shares Example of 1/3rd of worth paid as dividend and raising money via new shares

Dividend Policy Dividend financed by stock issue No dividend, no stock issue New stockholders New stockholders Shares Cash Firm Cash Shares Cash Old stockholders Old stockholders

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to cash they will not pay higher prices for firms with higher dividend payouts. In other words, dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm. 19

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Cash 1,000 Asset Value 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + New Proj NPV 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 price/share $12 20

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Pmt Date Cash 1,000 0 Asset Value 9,000 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + 9,000 New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 1,000 price/share $12 $11 22

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend. Record Date Pmt Date Post Pmt Cash 1,000 0 1,000 (91 sh @ $11) Asset Value 9,000 9,000 9,000 Total Value 10,000 + 9,000 10,000 New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000 2,000 # of Shares 1,000 1,000 1,091 price/share $12 $11 $11 NEW SHARES ARE ISSUED 22

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Record Stock 12,000 Cash 0 Total Value 12,000 Stock = 1,000 sh @ $12 = 12,000 23

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Record Pmt Stock 12,000 11,000 Cash 0 1,000 Total Value 12,000 12,000 Stock = 1,000sh @ $11 = 11,000 24

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant Example - continued - Shareholder Value Record Pmt Post Stock 12,000 11,000 12,000 Cash 0 1,000 0 Total Value 12,000 12,000 12,000 Stock = 1,091sh @ $115 = 12,000 Assume stockholders purchase the new issue with the cash dividend proceeds. 25

Dividend Theories Leftists (M&M) - Dividend does not effect value Rightists - Dividends increase value Middle of the roaders - Leftist theory with some reality thrown in. Residual Dividend Policy

Dividends Increase Value Market Imperfections and Clientele Effect There are natural clients for high-payout stocks, but it does not follow that any particular firm can benefit by increasing its dividends. The high dividend clientele already have plenty of high dividend stock to choose from. These clients increase the price of the stock through their demand for a dividend paying stock.

Dividends Increase Value Dividends as Signals Dividend increases send good news about cash flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send bad news. Because a high dividend payout policy will be costly to firms that do not have the cash flow to support it, dividend increases signal a company’s good fortune and its manager’s confidence in future cash flows.

Dividends Decrease Value Tax Consequences Companies can convert dividends into capital gains by shifting their dividend policies. If dividends are taxed more heavily than capital gains, taxpaying investors should welcome such a move and value the firm more favorably. In such a tax environment, the total cash flow retained by the firm and/or held by shareholders will be higher than if dividends are paid.

Taxes and Dividend Policy Since capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than dividend income, companies should pay the lowest dividend possible. Dividend policy should adjust to changes in the tax code.

Taxes and Dividend Policy

Taxes and Dividend Policy In U.S., shareholders are taxed twice (figures in dollars)

Taxes and Dividend Policy Under imputed tax systems, such as that in Australia, Shareholders receive a tax credit for the corporate tax the firm pays (figures in Australian dollars)

Dividend Theories Residual Dividend Policy r MRI = IRR 12 % COC QTY $$$

Web Resources Click to access web sites Internet connection required www.earnings.com www.ex-dividend.com www.dripcentral.com