(ITA-GIS Recommendation A.6)

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Presentation transcript:

(ITA-GIS Recommendation A.6) L.E. Varakin ITA President Professor, Dr. Tech. Sc. International Telecommunication Academy Method of Measuring the Digital Divide in the Information Society (ITA-GIS Recommendation A.6) Geneva, February 2005

Digital Divide Measuring Determined in World Summit on Information Society Documents, 1 Geneva Phase, December 2003: Declaration of Principles – chapters 10 and 17 Plan of Action – chapters 27, 28,29 ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..." Guidelines Fundamental documents "Declaration of Principles" and "Plan of Action", adopted in December 2003 in Geneva on the World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS) The value of these documents was mentioned by ITU Secretary General Mr. Y. Utsumi according to which "in the Declaration of Principles and Plan of Action first of the ICT prospects and not the problems arisen thereupon are under consideration” An active and multiscaled work of the UN structure organizations (ITU, ECOSOC, UN ICT Task Force, UNDP, UNIDO, UNESCO, International banking group) in this field ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..." Main Goals: The significance of the harmonization of the infocommunication and social-economic relation development in the civil society, A profound impact of information, knowledge, infocommunication technologies and services on a political, economic and social life; Considerably uneven distribution of incomes, technologies and services between world countries, between the rich and poor; Necessary measures for further decreasing the digital and economic divide for harmonization of social-economic relations. ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

Known Methods of Development Indexes Determination UNDP Method – Human Development Index HDI Particular index: Resultant index: m Rank 1 Countries M ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITU Method Sum of Ranks rjk rjk Rank 1 Parameter 1 Countries Parameter k Rank rjk 1 Countries 1 place → Rj = Rmin (Sum of Ranks, Sum of Places) ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA Method of Measuring the Digital Divide, I Is recited in: The Book by L.E. Varakin “Distribution of Incomes, Technologies and Services”, 2002 ITA-GIS Recommendation A.1, 2002 The book by L.E. Varakin “Digital Divide in the Global Information Society”, 2004 ITA-GIS Recommendation A.6, 2005 ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA Method of Measuring the Digital Divide, II Based on: Official data on infocommunication terminals and their density (ITU, World Bank) Determination of the Infocommunication Vector (ICV), based on exact and strict mathematical methods of n-dimensional vector space Comparison of countries’ ICV level Determination of the Digital Divide Index Infocommunications = Informatization + Telecommunication ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA Method of Measuring the Digital Divide, III Official data on FD, MD, FMD, PCD, IHD, BD parameters density is used (ITU, World Bank) Parameter density is normalized 3.ICV length is determined (Normalized Vector Area) ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA Method, IV 4. The Dispersion Curve is Calculated (Lorenz Curve in the Economics) Exceed L H ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..." ITA Method, V L LM UM H ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..." ITA Method, VI Examples ICV FMD 0,0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 0,0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 0,38 0,65 0,83 Share of countries 0,38 0,65 0,83 Share of countries 1,00 UM 1,00 L LM H L LM UM H IND RUS IND RUS LVA AUT LVA AUT CHN CHN Δ1 = 6,433 Δ 2 = 24,710 Δ1 = 6,391 Δ 2 = 22,768 ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA Method, VII Examples 0,0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 Share of countries Infocommunications parameters, Q TD MD ID PCD GDP per capita 0,0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 0,473 0,725 0,879 1,000 L LM UM Share of countries Н LVA IND CHN RUS PRT AUT Δ1 = 12,343 Δ 2 = 46,822 ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA Method, VIII Comparison (years) 0,0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 Share of countries Q ICV 2003 ICV 1999 GNPC 2003 GNPC 1999 ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..." Represented methodology of measuring the Digital Divide based on applying dispersion curves made it possible to determine the Digital as well as Economic Divide and is practically multi-purpose! ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..." ITA Measure Method is intended for: International Organizations Governments of Countries Banking Groups Scientists Equipment Manufacturers Telecom Operators ITA President, Prof. L.E. Varakin "Measuring the Digital Divide..."

Thank you! Tel: +7 (095) 165-0209 Fax: +7 (095) 165-1127 E-mail: varak@ita.org.ru E-mail: info@ita.org.ru Thank you!