Greater Toronto Transportation System ACCEA and Ford Fellowship for Regionalism and Sustainable Development Greater Toronto Transportation System Update from Toronto Board of Trade March 5, 2007

Outline of presentation Situation Challenges Recent development Obstacles Opportunities Questions for discussion

Vehicle mileage percent growth Situation – Impact of transportation infrastructure and policy 1986-2001 Mobility demand outstripped supply Transportation services reduced social, economic and environmental well being Goal of a sustainable transportation system further removed Vehicle mileage percent growth Mode Supply Demand Car/truck 51 78 Transit 1 25 Indicator Value Traffic speed - 8 % Commuting time + 36 % GHG emissions + 40 % Congestion cost $2B/yr. Criteria Score Capable Less Compatible Clean Conserving Cost-effective

Vehicle mileage percent growth Situation – Projected impact of transportation infrastructure and policy 2001-2031 Mobility supply and demand projections for “business as usual” scenario System performance declines expected to continue Vehicle mileage percent growth Mode Supply Demand Car/truck 13 41 Transit 66 83 Indicator Value Travel time delay + 25 % Transit modal split - 1.1 %

Challenges Population, economic and vehicle growth expected to continue – 60% by 2031 Provincial growth plan for the region requires a supportive transportation system Transportation system should be integrated across modes and jurisdictions Environmental, economic and political imperatives indicate the transportation system should enhance sustainability

Recent developments Federal government has increased funding for municipal infrastructure through a national, conditional grant and revenue sharing program (transit capital projects eligible) Provincial government has increased funding for transit through conditional grants and revenue sharing Provincial government has established the Greater Toronto Transportation Authority (GTTA) to address regional issues

Obstacles to progress Funding Land use Governance Decision framework insufficient, shortfall estimated at $1.5 B/yr. short-term, procurement related capital biased source biased, public sector general revenue Growth in auto-dependent suburban areas Low densities, single use development, dispersed employment, free parking Fragmented across three levels History of failed regional agency No regional transportation plan to guide investment or policy Environmental assessment and land use regulatory processes complicate and attenuate transportation planning

Opportunities – GTTA, governments, transportation providers, interested organizations Establish an effective GTTA advisory group to assist the Board in securing a comprehensive governance mandate Prepare a report on “state of the art” transit planning, funding, construction and management strategies employed in comparable jurisdictions to encourage best practice adoption Explore the range of public private business models for design, financing, construction and operation of environmentally sustainable transportation system components Improve the Environmental Assessment process for urban transit projects to reduce delay and cost Organize GTA transportation conferences to discuss alternative transportation plans, strategies for achieving results and to monitor and assess transportation system dynamics

Questions for discussion What strategic role should the Board of Trade adopt? - policy and activity analyst and commentator - business community interest advocate - civic alliance animator and proponent What resources should be devoted to the issue? - allocation within organization’s business plan - self funding initiative What organizational mechanism should guide it’s involvement? - Line department accountability - Quasi-independent