Roadway Fatalities and Causes PROGRESS & OPPORTUNITIES

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Presentation transcript:

Roadway Fatalities and Causes PROGRESS & OPPORTUNITIES Grant Baldwin, PhD, MPH Director, Division of Unintentional Injury Prevention National Center for Injury Prevention and Control Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Road to Zero Coalition Meeting December 15th 2016

Motor Vehicle Related Deaths Decreased Significantly in Last 25 Years TRENDING UP AGAIN Motor Vehicle Deaths Decreased 31% 1980-2015 Our Goal IIHS 2015.

2014 Leading Causes of Injury Death by Age Group 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Highlighting Top 3 Causes Rank <1 1-4 5-9 10-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Total 1 Unintentional Suffocation 991 Unintentional Drowning 368 Unintentional MV Traffic 345 Unintentional MV Traffic 384 6,531 Unintentional Poisoning 9,334 9,116 11,009 7,013 Unintentional Fall 27,044 42,032 2 Homicide Unspecified 119 Unintentional MV Traffic 293 125 Suicide Suffocation 225 Homicide Firearm 3,587 5,856 4,308 5,024 4,554 6,373 33,736 3 Homicide Other Spec., Classifiable 83 149 Unintentional Fire / Burn 15 Firearm 174 3,492 3,260 2,830 3,953 3,910 5,367 31,959 4 61 120 58 115 2,270 2,829 2,057 2,321 2,558 Unintentional Unspecified 4,590 21,334 5 Undetermined Suffocation 40 117 Unintentional Other Land Transport 36 105 2,010 2,402 1,835 Poisoning 1,795 1,529 3,692 11,407 6 29 Unintentional Pedestrian 107 34 49 507 800 1,274 1,340 1,509 1,993 10,945 7 Homicide Suffocation 26 Homicide Other Spec., Classifiable 73 Unintentional Natural / Environment 22 363 Undetermined Poisoning 575 637 1,132 698 Unintentional Injury 48,295 6,808 8 Unintentional Natural / Environment 17 47 Unintentional Pedestrian 18 33 Homicide Cut/Pierce 314 430 504 Chronic Low. Respiratory Disease 4,402 539 1,161 6,580 9 Undetermined Unspecified 16 Unintentional Struck by or Against 38 Unintentional Struck by or Against 16 22 229 399 452 538 1,028 5,848 10 Unintentional Natural / Environment 36 Unintentional Firearm 14 19 177 285 313 442 530 880 3,406 2014

Safe System Approach Safer Safer Roads Vehicles Safer Road Users Improved Post Crash Response Safe System Approach Road Safety Management

Motor vehicle-related fatality rate decreased by almost 50% since 1960 TIMELINE Motor Vehicle Safety Policies 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 1966 Motor Vehicle Safety Act 1974 Universal Motorcycle Helmet Law in 45 States 1975 55 MPH Maximum Speed Limit 1982 Alcohol Traffic Safety Incentive Program 1984 National Minimum Legal Drinking Age 1986 Child Restraint Laws in all 50 States 1992 BAC 0.1 in all 50 states 1995 Primary or secondary seat belt law in 49 states 1999 State incentive grant program encourages adoption of safety measures 2005 Graduated Driver Licensing Laws set in 45 States 2006 BAC lowered to 0.08 in all 50 states 2008 In person renewal of license for older drivers in 18 states 2015 Talking on handheld cellphones banned in 14 states Texting is banned for all drivers in 46 states Peer Review Motor vehicle-related fatality rate decreased by almost 50% since 1960 ADAPTED: Dellinger et al., 2007; Bandi et al. 2015; and IIHS 2015.

Country Comparison Death rates declined in the United States between 2000-2013 But other High Income Countries saw sharper declines Sauber-Schatz, E. K. (2016). MMWR, 65.

More lives that could have been saved if ALL restrained in U.S. A total of 87% of U.S. drivers were restrained in 2013 12,584 Lives saved by restraints in U.S. 2,800 More lives that could have been saved if ALL restrained in U.S. Sauber-Schatz, E. K. (2016). MMWR, 65. NHTSA Traffic Safety Facts. DOT HS 812 153

Speeding was involved in 29% of U. S Speeding was involved in 29% of U.S. motor vehicle crash deaths in 2013 SPEED - Percent of Fatalities Where Involved 9,696 Deaths in United States Sauber-Schatz, E. K. (2016). MMWR, 65.

Alcohol was involved in 31% of U.S. motor vehicle crash deaths in 2013 ALCOHOL - Percent of Fatalities Where Involved 10,197 Deaths in United States Sauber-Schatz, E. K. (2016). MMWR, 65.

. 35,092 FATALITIES 2,443,000 INJURIES 32,166 Fatal Crashes 1,715,000 Crash Pyramid 2015 Injury Crashes 4,548,000 Property Damage Only 6,296,000 Police-Reported Crashes ~13,000,000 Crashes $242 Billion in Economic Cost $836 Billion in Societal Harm NHTSA DOT HS 812 349 – Sept 2016

2014 Significant variation in fatality rates by state POPULATION VMT 5.3 Fold Variation 2.9 Fold Variation U.S. Average U.S. Average STATE Fatality Rate Per NHTSA DOT HS 812 293

Fatality Rate by 100 Million VMT Percent decline in fatality rates varied per state in the last decade Percent Change 2005 to 2014 Fatality Rate by 100 Million VMT 2014 US. Average State NHTSA DOT HS 812 293

Deaths to pedestrians, bicyclists, and motorcyclists increased in the last decade 2006 2015 PERCENT LG TRUCK, BUSES and OTHER – Increased 1% MOTORCYCLISTS – Increased 3% PED, BIKE and OTHER – Increased 5% LIGHT TRUCKS – Decreased 2% PASSENGER CARS – Decreased 6% NUMBER OF DEATHS 42,708 NUMBER OF DEATHS 35,092 NHTSA HS 812 349 – Sept 2016

American Indians / Alaska Natives continue to be disproportionally impacted AGE ADJUSTED RATE PER 100,000 1.45 Fold Greater YEAR

Just imagine if the United States had the same motor vehicle crash death rate in 2013 as: DIRECT MEDICAL COSTS AVERTED LIVES SAVED Second Highest Death Rate 12,000 $140 Million BELGIUM AVERAGE OF 19 COMPARISON COUNTRIES 18,000 $210 Million Best Performing Country 24,000 $281 Million SWEDEN WISQARS

Support Implementation Keys to Public Health Success Adapted from Thomas Frieden Use Science for Action Address the biggest, modifiable risk factors Use effective, evidence-based, and scalable interventions Demonstrate impact with data Support Implementation Create a technical package Leverage partners and the intersection with practice Enable, learn from, and celebrate small, local wins Leverage Context Make the default choices “safe and healthy” Act when the timing is right or pressing

Leverage Proven, Evidence-Based Interventions Sobriety Checkpoints 0.08 BAC Laws Ignition Interlocks Minimum Legal Drinking Age Universal Helmet Laws Seat Belts Laws Child Safety Seats

State-Based Fact Sheets Focus on what works and your best buys for lives saved and cost in every state State-Based Fact Sheets Cost Calculator Motor Vehicle Prioritizing Interventions and Cost Calculator for States http://www.cdc.gov/motorvehiclesafety/

Emerging Issues Distraction Drugged Driving Vehicle Automation Older Drivers Data Linkage

patient counseling, coordination of care, and checking PDMP Five Things We Can Do Now Learn from other high income countries and replicate when possible Address racial and ethnic disparities and vulnerable road users Leverage new technologies when possible but double down on existing countermeasures Couple strong laws with high visibility enforcement Create a safety culture 1 Pay for patient counseling, coordination of care, and checking PDMP 2 3 Peer Review 4 Peer Review 5

1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333 For more information please contact Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333 Telephone: 1-800-CDC-INFO (232-4636)/TTY: 1-888-232-6348 E-mail: cdcinfo@cdc.gov Web: www.cdc.gov The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Special thanks to Erin Sauber-Schatz, Ann Dellinger, and Kory Trott for their assistance with this presentation PHOTO: Ben Gray - 2016