Using the information in the plot, can you suggest what needs to be done in a country to increase the life expectancy? Explain. Perhaps.

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Presentation transcript:

Using the information in the plot, can you suggest what needs to be done in a country to increase the life expectancy? Explain. Perhaps if you have less people per Doctor (i.e. more Doctors per person), then the life expectancy will increase. Life Expectancy and Availability of Doctors for a Sample of 40 Countries 40000 30000 20000 10000 80 70 60 50 People per Doctor Life Expectancy

Using the information in this plot, can you make another suggestion as to what needs to be done in a country to increase life expectancy? Life Expectancy and Availability of Televisions for a Sample of 40 Countries It looks like if you decrease the number of people per television (i.e. have more TVs per person), then the life expectancy will increase! 600 500 400 300 200 100 80 70 60 50 People per Television Life Expectancy

Can you suggest another variable that is linked to life expectancy and the availability of doctors (and televisions) which explains the association between the life expectancy and the availability of doctors (and televisions)? Some measure of wealth of a country. Eg Average income per person or GDP.

Causation Two variables may be strongly associated (as measured by the correlation coefficient for linear associations) but may not have a cause and effect relationship existing between them. The explanation maybe that both the variables are related to a third variable not being measured – a “lurking” or “confounding” variable.

These variables are positively correlated: Number of fire trucks vs amount of fire damage Teacher’s salaries vs price of alcohol Number of storks seen vs population of Oldenburg Germany over a 6 year period Number of policemen vs number of crimes Only talk about causation if you have a well designed/carried out experiment.

Calculating correlation coefficients Rank the six graphs from smallest correlation coefficient (1) to largest correlation coefficient (6) Using your calculator find the correlation coefficient

Calculating correlation coefficients Order: 4 3 6 5 2 1