Ensuring our Future: Proposals for Funding the Social Security System

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Presentation transcript:

Ensuring our Future: Proposals for Funding the Social Security System Melissa Kahn, Esq. Managing Director, SSGA Retirement Research Consortium August 4, 2017 DC-4042

Who Loses? Possible Effects of Each Solution by Demographic ↓ Cost of Living Adjustment Older beneficiaries Highly-educated beneficiaries High-income beneficiaries Widow(er)s Retired disabled population Early retirees Low-income beneficiaries Minorities ↑ Full Retirement Age ↑ Payroll Taxes Low-income beneficiaries High income beneficiaries Self-employed beneficiaries ↑ Tax Cap High-income beneficiaries $127,000+ 6% of the population DC-4042

Contribution to Overall Vote High Income Earners have a Higher Share of the Vote Despite Being a Smaller Share of the Population 31% of the vote 28% of population 25% of the vote 36% of population Population that Voted Contribution to Overall Vote Income < $50,000 Source: Census.gov DC-4042

Voting Behaviors on Possible Outcomes — Age & Ideology “The exhaustion of the SS Trust fund in 2034 will empower both the youth vote and middle aged America to try and preserve the benefits that they believe they are entitled to” — Gallup Population that Voted Contribution to Overall Vote Largest Vote Contributors: 25–44 year olds — 29% 45–64 year olds — 37% 74%.. of registered Republicans are in favor of increasing taxes if it means preserving SS, despite their general conservative ideology Source: Census.gov Gallup.com DC-4042

The Solution? A Two-Part Proposal Raise/Eliminate the Tax Cap Affects high earners the most While 6% of the population makes more than this threshold each year, 20% of workers will earn more than the cap for at least 1 year over their lifetime Raise the Federal Retirement Age Affects early retirees the most The majority of those who retire early are low-income workers Source: ssa.gov CBPP.org DC-4042

Is This Solution Possible? Raise/Eliminate the Tax Cap The tax cap is raised nearly every year, but it has not kept pace with earnings growth Reinstate the Reagan standard that 90% of wages are covered by SS tax (today only ~83% are) Could be feasible Raise the Federal Retirement Age A national poll in 2016 found that 8 out of 10 people voted to raise the FRA to 68 after hearing the two sides of this argument presented Largest effect on low-income workers Low-income workers also have a much lower voter turnout Could be feasible An equitable way to fund the solvency problem — raise taxes on the wealthiest and raise the retirement age for all Source: SSA.gov, vop.org DC-4042

Important Disclosures Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. The whole or any part of this work may not be reproduced, copied or transmitted or any of its contents disclosed to third parties without SSGA’s express written consent. The views expressed in this material are the views of Joanne Frangias, Keelin O Laughlin, Catherine Reilly and Melissa Kahn through the period ended June 30, 2017 and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. This document contains certain statements that may be deemed forward-looking statements. Please note that any such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected. All information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy, reliability or completeness of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information and it should not be relied on as such. United States: State Street Global Advisors, One Lincoln Street, Boston, MA 02111-2900. Web: www.ssga.com © 2017 State Street Corporation — All Rights Reserved. Tracking Number: DC-4042 Expiration Date: August 31, 2017 DC-4042

Biography Melissa Kahn, Esq Melissa is the Managing Director of Retirement Policy for the Defined Contribution team. Melissa leads the DC team in developing and communicating the team's public policy positions as they relate to the retirement market, and will be responsible for cultivating relationships with key retirement policy decision-makers. Melissa reports directly to Fredrik Axsater and is based in Washington, DC, and in Boston. She works closely with State Street's Regulatory, Industry, and Government Affairs (RIGA) group, which is responsible for coordination of overall State Street public policy positioning and advocacy. Melissa is an attorney with extensive experience in developing and implementing policy and strategies on domestic and international employee benefits legislation and regulation, as well as Social Security reform. Importantly, she has worked for many years on Retirement Income policy. Immediately prior to joining SSGA, Melissa was a consultant providing strategic planning, policy analysis and advocacy work on a variety of issues, including retirement, long-term care, Social Security, and global employee benefits to financial institutions and large plan sponsor clients in the US. Previously, Melissa worked at MetLife, where she spent 12 years in the company's Washington D.C. government relations office. Melissa also has worked for the Retirement Strategies Group, the American Council of Life Insurance and the Equitable Life Assurance Society of America. DC-4042

Thank You. For additional information or any questions on the information covered in today’s presentation, please contact: Melissa Kahn 202-394-3784 Melissa_Kahn@ssga.com ssga.com | spdrs.com | spdru.com DC-4042 9