Yang Liu, PhD HAQAST1 November 3-4, 2016 Emory University, Atlanta

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Presentation transcript:

Yang Liu, PhD HAQAST1 November 3-4, 2016 Emory University, Atlanta Using Earth Observations to Support Regional and National Environmental Health Surveillance Yang Liu, PhD HAQAST1 November 3-4, 2016 Emory University, Atlanta

The Emory Team Yang Liu (PI, Emory): remote sensing, exposure modeler Howard Chang (Emory): biostatistician Matt Strickland (UNR): epidemiologist Heather Holmes (UNR): atmospheric chemist Collaborators Heather Strosnider, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Kirk Bol, Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment we see associations of CVD with primary traffic related pollution, and with asthma we see strong associations with various mixtures, including ozone, traffic-related, biomass burning, secondary aerosols

Proposed Project 1 Partner Agency: CDC NCEH Objective: a national scale epidemiologic study to link age-specific ED visits with air pollution exposure derived from NASA Earth observations and model simulations Deliverables: Tracking-style Environmental Public Health Indicators and Measures based on our results (e.g., county-level asthma health risks) http://ephtracking.cdc.gov

Data and Methods Age specific, county-level daily counts of ED visits from 17 Tracking states Exposure inputs: PM2.5 and O3 from EPA AQS, IMPROVE, 12 km CMAQ simulations, and satellite AOD data Exposure modeling: a Bayesian data fusion framework to combine all the inputs for accurate daily PM2.5 and O3 level estimates and model errors. Epi modeling: a Poisson time-series model for single-county estimates, then Bayesian pooling.

Proposed Project 2 Partner Agency: Colorado DPHE Objective: a regional study to improve population exposure estimates related to wildfire smoke, and to determine whether increased wildfires contribute to ED visits and acute hospitalizations during the fire seasons in Colorado. Deliverables: (1) C-R functions of various health endpoints during the fire season, (2) gridded estimates of health impacts due to wildfires in Colorado

Data and Methods ICD-9 coded ED data from CDPHE at 4 km resolution. Exposure inputs: PM2.5 and O3 from EPA AQS, IMPROVE, 4 km CMAQ simulations, and satellite AOD / fire data Exposure modeling: a Bayesian data fusion framework to combine all the inputs for accurate daily PM2.5 and O3 level estimates and model errors. Epi modeling: conditional logistic regression for this case-crossover analysis.