Salt Lake County 2050 Population: 1.5M People? Utah County 2050 Population: 1.3M People? In 2050, there could be 1.5 million people in Salt Lake County.

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Presentation transcript:

Salt Lake County 2050 Population: 1.5M People? Utah County 2050 Population: 1.3M People? In 2050, there could be 1.5 million people in Salt Lake County and 1.3 million in Utah County. This could be the worst bottleneck in the West or the best location to work, live, and grow a business. Source: RCLCO

Nowhere else has this much land dead center in the middle of a major metro region growing this rapidly in between high-quality universities and surrounded by a growing workforce We worked with San Diego, and they couldn’t find a place to grow new industry centers We identified this area several years ago as critical to the future and as key to implementation of the statewide Your Utah, Your Future vision—the 20,000 acre number came from us Excellent access (2 freeways, commuter rail, future light rail) Economic growth engine: the top place to grow a new business Educated young, growing workforce Rapidly growing Great amenities If we get it right, this can become the economic engine that powers Utah for the next century, a place we can be proud of But if we get it wrong, this area can grind to a halt—literally

Nowhere else has this much land dead center in the middle of a major metro region growing this rapidly in between high-quality universities and surrounded by a growing workforce We worked with San Diego, and they couldn’t find a place to grow new industry centers We identified this area several years ago as critical to the future and as key to implementation of the statewide Your Utah, Your Future vision—the 20,000 acre number came from us Excellent access (2 freeways, commuter rail, future light rail) Economic growth engine: the top place to grow a new business Educated young, growing workforce Rapidly growing Great amenities If we get it right, this can become the economic engine that powers Utah for the next century, a place we can be proud of But if we get it wrong, this area can grind to a halt—literally

Nowhere else has this much land dead center in the middle of a major metro region growing this rapidly in between high-quality universities and surrounded by a growing workforce We worked with San Diego, and they couldn’t find a place to grow new industry centers We identified this area several years ago as critical to the future and as key to implementation of the statewide Your Utah, Your Future vision—the 20,000 acre number came from us Excellent access (2 freeways, commuter rail, future light rail) Economic growth engine: the top place to grow a new business Educated young, growing workforce Rapidly growing Great amenities If we get it right, this can become the economic engine that powers Utah for the next century, a place we can be proud of But if we get it wrong, this area can grind to a halt—literally

Purposes of the Effort Utah Code # 63C-17-104 Maximizing job creation Ensuring a high quality of life for residents in and surrounding the project area Strategic residential and commercial growth Preservation of natural lands and expansion of recreational opportunities Provision of a variety of community and housing types that match workforce needs Planning for future transportation infrastructure and other investments to enhance mobility and protect the environment

Project Area “The area surrounding the border between Salt Lake County and Utah County, commonly referred to as the Point of the Mountain.”

Geographic constraints Jordan River Terrain slope Environmentally sensitive areas (wetlands, etc.) Hazard-prone areas Federal Lands NEW MAP GRAPHIC In 2050, there could be 1.5 million people in Salt Lake County and 1.3 million in Utah County. This could be the worst bottleneck in the West or the best location to work, live, and grow a business.

Many Jurisdictions Bluffdale South Jordan Riverton Herriman Draper Lehi Saratoga Springs Sandy Salt Lake County Utah County State This is a complex area with many local government jurisdictions. I can’t overemphasize the role of the cities. They control land use and development within their boundaries, and a “one size fits all” vision won’t work. Each city will choose its own future, although infrastructure must connect and the cities must work together. A vision cannot be successful unless these jurisdictions believe in the vision.

A Myriad of Landowners Rosecrest Communities Draper City [4,423 acres] Daybreak [4,354] LDS Church [3,833] Micron [1,724] Geneva Rock [1,026] Lehi City [778] Holbrook Farms/Ivory [776] Shirley Butterfield [643] DAI Investments [632] Staker Parson [630] Laguna Investments Company [629] Prison Site [592] Rosecrest Communities Traverse/Truimph/Forge Wasatch Properties Western States Ventures Perry & Associates DR Horton IM Flash The Gardner Company Camp Williams NSA Ebay Young Living DJ Investment Group Thanksgiving Point Boyer Company There are also many large landowners, including quite a few who own parcels larger than the prison site. These landowners will play a key role in deciding what happens, and their full participation is critical. Many have owned the land for decades waiting for this day to come. They are also Utahns who want to see this area succeed. These are some of the long-term Utah developer families: the Gardners, the Plumbs, the Ivories, the Perrys, the Clydes.

Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Fall 2016-Spring 2017 Stakeholder organization Public engagement Research: markets, demographics, best practices Conceptual vision/goals Phase 2 Spring-Fall/Winter 2017 Scenario development and modeling Public and stakeholder input on scenarios Phase 3 Winter 2017-2018 Funding strategy Vision development Implementation underway Final Report As you can see on this graphic, we’ve proposed a first phase that includes studying existing conditions, trends, and best practices, and working with the stakeholders and public to understand the conceptual vision and goals for the area. This phase could run roughly through the spring of 2017, with an interim report in 2016. In the second phase, we work with the stakeholders and public to put more detail to the vision by creating and analyzing scenarios across a variety of topics. The stakeholders and public help create the scenarios, and their reaction to the scenarios leads to a more detailed vision, as well as implementation tools. This phase could run roughly through the fall of 2017. The third phase involves preparing an implementation plan, including financing tools and recommendations. If desired, it may be possible to complete the final vision and implementation plan at the end of 2017. DELIVERABLES: Conceptual vision/goals Analysis of best practices, markets, etc. DELIVERABLES: Well-analyzed scenarios and findings Initial financing concepts DELIVERABLES: Vision and implementation plan Implementation underway

Three Key Components of Success Infrastructure Land use Infrastructure foundation Finance plan Green infrastructure & environment Placemaking Culture Look and feel Convenience Lifestyle choices Recreation Education Industry Ecosystem Building the cluster Workforce Tuning the economic engine Capital Achieving the area’s potential is a three-legged stool. Infrastructure and land use are critical to make the area work. Placemaking is essential to bring employees. This needs to be a place where people want to live and work. And we need to make sure the industry cluster succeeds to bring business.

Biggest Challenges Transportation -- congestion 46 Funding (transportation) 29 Land use coordination between markets, developers, cities, public 21 Air quality 19 Protecting the feel of the area, preserving open space Water supply & distribution 15 Local jurisdiction coordination Housing affordability 13 Recreational opportunities 10 Ensure private sector success 8 Not overshooting the market 6 East-west transportation 5 Public buy-in, credibility 4 Overregulation of land use policy 3 Conflicting interests 2 Identity & placemaking 1 Low connectivity NIMBYism Short Timeline Difficulty bringing infrastucture to region Attracting workers/younger generations to move to the region

Big Ideas High-tech university, Stanford-like, national scale/lab, National Research System 38 Greenspace 34 Innovative Transportation--electric vehicles/charging stations, self-driving vehicles, etc. 26 Mixed-use developments 18 Public transportation 17 Recreation hubs for paragliding, skiing, mountain biking, Jordan River 14 Live/work/play hubs 13 Tax revenue source for open space 12 Preserve East-West corridors 11 Non-traditional zoning, moving away from euclidean zoning Regional placemaking and success, quality of life, jobs 10 Entertainment & Amenities 9 Double-track and electrify FrontRunner 8 Tax Policy, state/local tax system 7 Compatible borders between counties/jurisdictions 5 Active transportation/connectivity Regional transportation - Change UTA Rules Second Downtown 4 Gondola/tram connection to resorts 3 Transit-oriented development 2 Recognize the 'Utah model' Revitalize Utah Lake Collaborative education environment Globally-competitive environment 1 Education for future workforce, workforce development center Shuttles Move Camp Williams New political entity Land aggregation

Utah’s High-Tech History

Group Discussion: What type of jobs? Software industry? Biomedical? Finance? Manufacturing? Startups Supporting jobs (law firms, marketing, etc.)

Group Discussion: Where do those jobs go? Tech industry Manufacturing Startups Supporting jobs (law firms, marketing, etc.)

Group Discussion: What Matters? Transportation congestion Transportation choices and mobility Air quality Educated workforce Housing choices Affordability (office, housing, etc.) Amenities Open space, recreation, and green infrastructure Capital Tax structure Branding Large building sites with infrastructure

Enter Question Text How important is transportation congestion? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important are transportation choices and mobility? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is air quality? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is an educated workforce? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important are housing choices? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is affordability (office, housing, etc.)? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important are amenities? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is open space, recreation, and green infrastructure? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is capital? 1 = Not important at all (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is tax structure? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important is branding? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

Enter Question Text How important are large building sites with infrastructure? (10=extremely important, 1=not important at all) 1 = Not important at all 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 = Extremely important

What do we want to test in the Scenarios? # of new jobs by type Square feet office, retail and industrial space Transportation congestion Transportation choices and mobility Air quality ???

We Need Your Input! Pointofthemountainfuture.org