Forces of Change in U.S. Higher Education Presentation By John F. Ebersole Associate Provost & Dean Extended Education Boston University And President University Continuing Education Association (UCEA) July 2002 Puebla, Mexico

My Perspective Limited to U.S. 18 Years in Higher Education Four Institutions Two Private Two Public Dean/Assoc. Provost Positions Non-Traditional Focus 11 Years in UCEA

My Institution “America’s Most International” Private, Research Focus 30,000 Students 3,000 Faculty Established in 1839 as a Religious Institution Home to such Nobel Prize Winners as Martin Luther King, Jr. and Elie Wiesel

Forces for Change Economics Technology Globalization Demographics Expectations Competition

Economics Rising Costs Decreasing Public Support Factors of Competition Declining Traditional Markets (Regional) Decreasing Public Support Increasing Emphasis on Self-Support & New Revenue Sources Business Skills of Growing Value [Ronald Ehrenberg, “Tuition Rising”]

Technology “Dancing with the Devil” Hardware, Software, Training, Organizational Needs Part of Curricula High Cost of Providing Short Use Life Means of Delivery On-Campus Off-Campus

Globalization Curricular Change Study Abroad International Demand Portability of Credits and Credentials Distance Learning Opportunity Non-Tariff Barriers

Demographics Only 27% of U.S. Students now Fit “Traditional” Label Older Students Demand for Credentials and Access Beyond Undergraduate Experience Growing Immigrant Population Two-thirds of High School Graduates go to College Half of all Higher Education Enrollments are Part-Time Fastest Growing Group = Over 35

Expectations By Students By Parents By Faculty By Employers Services Facilities By Parents By Faculty By Employers By Politicians

Competition From Abroad (Emergence of “International Institutions”) For-Profit Providers Corporate “Universities” Virtual Providers

The Response From Teaching to Learning New Initiatives Consolidation Differentiation

Today’s Structure of Higher Education Research Universities Four-Year Colleges Two-Year Colleges For-Profit Colleges Profession-Related and Specialized Institutions Tomorrow’s Structure (in addition) Software and Hardware Co’s Telecom Providers Information Service Co’s Entertainment Companies Corporations and Govt. Agencies

A New Taxonomy Brand-Name Providers Mass-Providers Convenience Providers * Zemsky & Massey

Looking Ahead Alliances & Mergers The “Open” Model Certification of Knowledge Diversification

Further Reading “A University for the 21st Century” James J. Duderstadt University of Michigan Press