Validation Workshop Addis Ababa – 26th March 2013 Strengthening climate information and early warning systems in Ethiopia for climate resilient development and adaptation to climate change Validation Workshop Addis Ababa – 26th March 2013

Background -LDCF And Eligibility Criteria LDCF – purpose The Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF) - to meet the adaptation needs of least developed countries (LDCs). funding urgent and immediate adaptation needs Eligibility criteria i) Country driven and participatory approach; ii) Implement NAPA priorities; iii) Employing a multi-disciplinary approach; iv) Promoting gender equality; Baseline Projects and Additional Costs LDCF resources must build on ongoing/planned initiatives that address non-climate change related issues (e.g. poverty reduction, institutional strengthening, etc) LDCF covers the additional cost of ensuring that baseline initiatives are resilient to climate change

Context Regional initiative on CI& EWS The UNDP-GEF/LDCF financed initiative has been designed by stakeholders in Ethiopia to complement existing initiatives on EWS It is aligned with Ethiopia’s NAPA priorities 2 and 6 Strengthening/enhancing drought and flood early warning systems in Ethiopia; Capacity building program for climate change adaptation in Ethiopia Financing is from: Grant from LDCF - $ 4,900.000 Other sources that LDCF builds on UNDP – DRM – 12M GFDRR – 1.75M WFP – 5M USAID/FEWSNET – 2M

Process To-Date Mar 2012- May 2012- Preparation of concept (Govt and UNDP) June 2012- GEF Council approved concept (along with 9 others) Aug 2012- March 2013 – Detailed project preparation phase including: Two stakeholder meetings held (An inception Workshop and a National Consultation – around 100 people attended) Bilateral meetings with key stakeholders such the NMA, HWQD, DRMFSS, World Bank, farmer associations, women representative provided input Assessments on climate and environmental observational infrastructure needs and capacity building requirements were completed To-day’s meeting: To validate if the design reflects the views of stakeholders and whether it is a useful platform to build on.

Process To-Date Bear in mind: Additional consultations once funding is secured will be conducted during the inception phase of the project Flexibility to adjust outputs/activities during project implementation phase (with Board approval) during annual work planning process Additional partnerships can be developed during implementation phase The focus at present: to seek final approval of grant so that Ethiopia can commence implementation in line with UNDP’s National Implementation Modality

Scope of the Project Problem that UNDP-GEF/LDCF project is designed to tackle: Without appropriate climate information (type, frequency) managing, planning and coordinating adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia is challenging. Proposed solution by Stakeholders To strengthen Ethiopia’s capacity to plan for and inform its population about severe and extreme weather events as well as long-term systemic change triggered by climate change. Long-term expected Goal: To contribute towards all national and sub-national efforts to strengthen the resilience of key sectors to expected climate change risks

Scope of the Project - contd Barriers Limited weather and climate monitoring infrastructure Limited technical, functional, and operational capacities to effectively forecast likely changes in climate and impacts in key sectors Constraints in disseminating warnings due to SOP related issues Long-term sustainability of observational infrastructure

Project Results Framework Enhanced capacity of the National Meteorological Agency and the Hydrology and Water Quality Department to monitor extreme weather and climate change Efficient and effective use of hydro- meteorological and environmental information for making early warnings and long-term development plans. 1.1 10 hydrological monitoring stations installed and 50 rehabilitated with telemetry, archiving and data processing facilities. 1.2 40 automated meteorological monitoring stations installed, 200 rehabilitated with telemetry, archiving and data processing facilities and 5 calibration units procured 1.4 One upper air monitoring station installed and operating 1.5 Satellite monitoring equipment to receive real time (AMESD) climate and environmental information installed and rehabilitated 1.6 Training of at least 20 technical trainers to maintain and repair equipment, computer infrastructure and telecommunications, including cost-effective technologies to interface with existing equipment/software 2.1 NMAs capacity to make and use climate forecasts (on daily to seasonal basis) is strengthened by training at least 5 lead forecasters for in house capacity building. 2.2 Tailored sector-specific early warning products – agromet and food security advisories, flood warning…etc - based on identified user needs that link climate and environmental information with current vulnerability assessments are developed,. 2.3 National capacity for assimilating forecasts and monitoring (from NMA and HWQD) into existing DRMFS and the Growth and Transformational Plan is built, including coordination with systems and warnings developed by other initiatives. 2.4 Communication channels (e.g. radio, newspapers, SMS, television etc) and Standard Operating Procedures for issuing warnings through both governmental (woreda.net) and civil society are enabled. 2.5 Plan for sustainable financing for the operation and maintenance of the installed EWS developed and implemented, including public and private financing options.   Outputs

Project Results Framework – Cont’d Indicators Percentage of national coverage of climate monitoring network. Frequency of data transmission (baseline: x; target: y) Percentage of population with access to improved climate information and flood and drought warnings (disaggregated by gender). Development frameworks (e.g. PRSPs) that integrate climate information in the formulation of the Growth and Transformation Plan at national level (baseline: x; target y).

How will synergies between projects be maximized Design of this initiative fills gap left in current interventions It builds on a series of ongoing initiatives. Mechanisms for maximizing synergies: During the implementation phase of the UNDP-GEF/LDCF initiative, coordination with other agencies and initiatives will continue to regularly and systematically assess and update how to maximize complementarity and areas of synergy Regular information, lessons learnt and good practices sharing platforms between various interventions will be organized to strengthen collaboration The Project Board will hold staff working groups on implementing this initiative accountable to coordinate with other projects systematically

Partnerships Partnerships will be built with national institutions like the National Meteorology Agency, the Hydrology and Water Quality Department, the DRMFSS and national ministries (ministry of Agriculture, ministry of Water and Energy) The civil society (NGOs like the Climate Change Forum - Ethiopia, farmer associations like the Coffee Growers Association, women groups and representatives…etc) Private sector companies such as insurance companies and civil aviation (E.G. Ethiopian Airlines, Ethiopian MEDEN Insurance Company) Partnerships with regional and international climate monitoring institutions will be built or strengthened - Space has been created in the design of this initiative for the NMA, with support from others to lead on partnership building. - The Project Board will hold staff working on implementing this initiative accountable to develop and utilize partnerships to contribute to and advance project goals

Institutional Arrangements The Implementing Partner will be the National Meteorology Agency (NMA) NMA will work closely with Responsible Parties identified as of to-date (can adjust during implementation with approval of the Project Board): Hydrology and Water Quality Department DRMFSS Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Water and Energy, 11 Regional offices of the National Meteorological Agency, 11 Regional offices of the Hydrology and Water Quality Department, Addis Ababa University.

(Represented by Director General) Project Organisation Structure   Project Manager Federal NMA Project Board Senior Beneficiary: NMA (Represented by Director General) Executive: MoFED (Represented by xxxx) Senior Supplier: UNDP (Represented by xxxx) Project Assurance )UNDP CO. UNDP-GEF Project Organisation Structure TEAM A NMA Project task team TEAM C DRMFSS Project task team TEAM B HWQD Project task team

Risks and Assumptions Assumptions The Ethiopian Government remains committed to implementing the baseline activities and taking forward their strategy for a climate resilient green economy. The NMA and participating sector Ministries/Bureaus remain committed to the realisation of cross-sectoral collaboration in EWS and climate change planning and implementation of adaptation measures. That the target equipment and infrastructure are best adapted to contribute to improved capacity of the NMA and MoWE to observe and forecast severe weather events The available climate modelling practitioners and researchers remain available during the project duration for supporting training and capacity building for government staff The policy priority currently afforded to climate change is not overshadowed by other emergency matters such as humanitarian disasters

Risks and Assumptions Risks Problems related to involvement and co-operation of stakeholders to work cross-sectorally Unavailability of requisite human resources and data Insufficient institutional support and political commitments Poor co-ordination among implementing and executing agency Local IT and telecommunications infrastructure weak e.g. international bandwidth and local mobile telecommunications networks Limited capacity within relevant ministries/ insufficient qualified human capacity. Work progresses in a compartmentalized fashion and there is little integration e.g. government departments refuse to share data and information Non-compliance by primary proponents for the successful implementation of this project Climate shock occurring during the design and implementation phase of the project

Compliance with UNDP’s Environment and Social Safeguards Screening of the project design for ESSD suggests: Most project activities fall under either procurement, report, training, events, workshops, communication and dissemination The project will have outputs and activities that may have some environment and social risks/pressures Eg. infrastructure that will be built, upstream planning process Design has taken into account measures that will minimize such risks/pressures Currently, UNDP is in process of finalizing likely category that this project falls into. Screening process will be completed prior to implementation and will be validated by Local Project Appraisal Committee. Views of stakeholders at the validation meeting will be taken into account in final categorization that this project will pose to environment and social issues

Next steps after Validation Meeting a. Local Project Appraisal of final document (organized by UNDP and Govt; can take place before or after GEF CEO endorsement) b. GEF CEO review and Endorsement (expected in June 2013) c. GEF Council approval (1 month after (b) d. Project Start up (2-3 months after; depends on when core project staff are recruited) i. Inception including re-validation (of outputs) ii. Annual Work Plans and Deliverables iii. M&E

Now, we need your feedback! We would like your comments especially on: Proposed logical framework Outcomes Outputs Indicators What is the likely starting point (baseline) for the indicators Is the process/mechanism for maximizing synergies appropriate Are the Partnerships in place to start with appropriate What others should be developed during the implementation phase Institutional Arrangements – Is this conducive for achieving project Outcomes Have all key risks and assumptions been taken into account Are there Environmental and Social Safeguards that have not been considered Other comments

Thank You