Paradigms for the Post-Cold War World

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Presentation transcript:

Paradigms for the Post-Cold War World Why has it taken us so long to decide?

A Huge Amount of Theorizing…. Benjamin Barber Samuel Huntington Joseph Nye Francis Fukuyama Robert Kaplan

Samuel Huntington: The Clash of Civilizations

Clash of Civilizations Samuel P. Huntington “Clash of Civilizations” Foreign Affairs 1993 The Book appeared in 1998

The History of Warfare since 1648 The wars between princes and monarchs Wars between nations and peoples Conflicts of ideologies & the Cold War

Huntington’s Civilizations

Why Civilizations Will Clash Divisions are basic & Real The World is becoming smaller Globalization separates people from local identities

Why Civilizations Will Clash The current global power of western civilization Cultural differences are less mutable Economic regionalism is growing

Benjamin Barber: Jihad vs. McWorld

Jihad vs. McWorld 1996 Four Imperatives Market Resource Information-Technology Ecological Jihad – Lebanonization of the World McWorld – Peace, Prosperity and Unity Good News/Bad News

Robert Kaplan: The Coming Anarchy

The Coming Anarchy 1994 West Africa as a model for issues confronting civiliation Disease Hunger Overpopulation Corruption Resource scarcity Democratic deficit Conflict supported by resources Gangs/tribes replacing states “Escape from New York”

Francis Fukuyama: The End of History and the Last Man

The End of History and the Last Man 1992 Hegelian Dialectic The End of History – “The state is liberal enough to recognize and protect man’s universal right to freedom and the state is democratic enough to only exist with the consent of the governed.” The previous challenges to Liberalism are destroyed Religion and Nationalism are not viable threats The “deideologized” world is not without conflict

Joseph Nye: A New World Order

A New World Order 1992 Five Alternative Visions World Federalism Functionalism Regionalism Ecologism Cyberfeudalism