Can you predict who will win the US election?

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Presentation transcript:

Can you predict who will win the US election? Samvel Gevorgyan CEO, CYBER GATES 2016 © CYBER GATES

Who Dares Wins 2016 2012 WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Who will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election? Source: https://www.predictit.org/Market/1234/Who-will-win-the-2016-US-presidential-election WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

How good are you at predicting election winners? Dell Buys EMC For $67B In Largest Deal In Tech History EMC, a company worth twice Dell's value. WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Data: raw data that has not been processed for use. Data analysis Data is Messy and Noisy Data: raw data that has not been processed for use. Information: data that are processed to be useful; provides answers to "who", "what", "where", and "when" questions Knowledge: application of data and information; answers "how" questions Understanding: appreciation of "why" Wisdom: evaluated understanding. WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

What happens in an internet minute? Think before you post online what you are thinking and feeling about the election race. Facebook 293,000 statuses are updated 31,25 million messages are sent Twitter 440,640 new tweets go online, etc. Sources: http://www.internetlivestats.com https://zephoria.com/top-15-valuable-facebook-statistics/ WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Text Mining and Sentiment Analysis Negative Words Positive Words A abysmal adverse alarming angry annoy anxious apathy appalling atrocious awful B bad banal barbed belligerent bemoan beneath boring broken A absolutely adorable accepted acclaimed accomplish accomplishment achievement action active admire adventure affirmative affluent agree agreeable amazing angelic appealing approve Source: http://www.enchantedlearning.com/wordlist/negativewords.shtml WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Text Mining and Sentiment Analysis positive negative The objective is to classify to tweets as Positive, Neutral, or Negative. WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Text Mining and Sentiment Analysis negative Summary Hillary Clinton Positive: 1 Negative: 1 Donald Trump Positive: 0 WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Other JUCY information about the audience Metadata Genders Ages Locations Interests WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Positive and negative reactions from others Assume you hate Donald Trump and you post some negative thoughts about him online. Can we predict your friends’ thoughts based on their likes or other reactions? WWW.CYBERGATES.ORG

Thank You! Contacts Corporate website www.cybergates.org Company profile on Twitter www.twitter.com/CyberGatesLLC Company fan page on Facebook www.facebook.com/Cyber.Gates.page Company profile on LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/company/CyberGates-LLC Company channel on Vimeo www.vimeo.com/CyberGates Company channel on YouTube www.youtube.com/TheCyberGates