Analysis of marriage.

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Presentation transcript:

Analysis of marriage

Marriage Legal union of persons of opposite sex The legality of the union may be established by civil, religious, or other means as recognized by the laws of each

Types of marriage: 1- Monogamy: is a form of marriage in which an individual has only one spouse during their life time. 2- Polygamy: Is a form of marriage where a man is married to more than one wife at a time.

The measurement of marriage: 1- Crude marriage rate (CMR): marriage in year CMR = X 1000 Mid-year population

Example: In a certain community, the number of marriages in 1412H was 1404. The number of people at the mid-year was 194,650.

1404 = 7.2/1000 X 1000 CMR = 194650 Note that: 1- Numerator is the number of marriages, rather the number of persons getting married. For this reason the rate tend to be low, since there will be only one event in the numerator per two people in the denominator.

2- It has the deficiency that the denominator is the total population, including children and others not currently at risk of marrying (currently married) or divorcing. 3- Age structure of the population also affects CMR.

General marriage rate (GMR): Marriages X 1000 GMR = Mid-year age 15+ General Marriage Rate is the number of marriages per 1,000 population age 15 and older

Example: In the previous example, if the number of those who were below 15 was 68512 calculate CMR: To get the number who were 15+, we deduct the number of those who were less than 15 from mid- year population, that is:

194650 –68512 = 126138 1404 = 11.13/1000 CMR = X 1000 126138

General Marriage Rate can also be obtained separately for Women and Men General marriage rate for women (GMRf) Marriages X 1000 GMRf = Mid-year female15+

GMRm = General marriage rate for men(GMRm) Marriages X 1000 Mid-year male15+

Exercise General Marriage Rate Calculate the general marriage rate for women and compare it to the general marriage rate for Brazil (1988) based on the following data

2- GMRf = 20.37 Brazil, 1988 Number of marriages : 951 236 Total population 15+ : 92 852 000 Total female population 15+: 46,706 000 Answers: 1- GMR = 10.24 2- GMRf = 20.37

Age specific marriage rate: The Timing of marriage is a basic consideration in explaining fertility trends: Early marriage is associated with higher fertility, together with high proportions remaining unmarried is associated with lower fertility.

age specific rates are valuable for showing whether marriage is occurring early or late. The rates are often calculated separately for each sex, because of each differences between spouses.

Age specific marriage rate ASMR (females): Marriages for females aged x to x + n X 1000 Mid-year female population aged x to x + n

Mid-year population females age specific marriage rate for Australia 2000 Marriage rate/1000 Women marrying Mid-year population females age intervals 4.9 322 65805 15 - 19 41.5 2733 66587 20 – 24 51.5 3772 73273 25 – 29 27.3 1943 71211 30 – 34 13.3 995 74916 35 – 39 8.2 590 72366 40 – 44 4.3 280 65210 45 - 49

For example, age specific marriage in the interval (25 – 29) can be obtained as: ASMR (F, 25 – 29)= 3772 X 1000 = 73273 51.5/1000

Total marriage rate (TMR): The ASMR can be summed to form Total marriage rate in analogous way to the total fertility rate. For our example, this can be calculated as: (4.9 + 41.5 + 51.5 + 27.3 + 13.3 + 8.2 + 4.3) x 5 1000

0.755 This could be interpreted as the proportion of women who could eventually marry if the age specific rates are prevailed.

Standardization Most of the marriage measures can and should be standardized for comparisons Can be done by direct or indirect method Used for comparative marriage analyses

Example: Age-standardized first marriage rate of the U. S Example: Age-standardized first marriage rate of the U.S. (1960), using England and Wales (1961) as standard-direct method

Age groups Male ist marriage rates US Sibgle male population Expected ist marriage USA 15 - 19 0.031 1,604,910 49,752 20 - 24 0.210 989,961 207,829 25 - 29 0.190 425,643 80,872 30 - 34 0.111 262,656 29,155 35 - 44 0.06 373,918 22,435 45 - 64 0.019 498,549 9,472 65+ 0.011 158,146 1,747 70.7 4,314,183 401,262

U.S. age-standardized first marriage rate = 401,262 / 4,314,183 x 1,000 = 93

Indicators of Divorce

Divorce Separation of the husband and wife by a judicial decree which confers on the parties the right to remarriage

Number of divorces per 1,000 population 1- Crude divorce rate (CDR) Number of divorces per 1,000 population Number of divorces CDR = X 1000 Mid-year population

General Divorce Rate (GDR): Is the umber of divorces per 1,000 persons age 15 and more Number of divorces X 1000 GDR = Mid-year pop 15+

Calculate the crude divorce rate and the general divorce rate for Brazil (1988) based on the data: Number of divorces : 33,437 Total population 15+: 92,852,000 Total population : 144,428,000

Crude Divorce Rate = General Divorce Rate = 6.45 divorces per 1,000 population General Divorce Rate = 10.03 divorces per 1,000 persons age 15+

DRM= Divorce Rate Among Married Couples Is the Number of divorces per 1,000 married persons (DRM) Number of divorces X 1000 DRM= Mid-year pop among married

Age-Specific Divorce Rate (ASDR) Is the number of divorces per 1,000 women (or men) of age “a” ASDR= Divorces by women age “a” X 1000 Mid-year pop women age “a”

Exercise Calculate the age-specific divorce rates for women 30–34 and 40–44 for Brazil (1988) based on the following data: Age groups divorces population 30 - 34 6689 5,443,000 40 - 44 4825 3,590,000

Age-specific divorce rate: 1.23 divorces per 1,000 women 30–34 1.34 divorces per 1,000 women 40–44