Evidence-Based Practices for Voter Mobilization

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Presentation transcript:

Evidence-Based Practices for Voter Mobilization Research-Based Principles for Effective Get-Out-the-Vote Activities Elizabeth A. Erkel, PhD May 2017

Table of Contents Preface The dos & don’ts of voter mobilization Mobilizing voters is not… To mobilize voters… Voter mobilization resources References 3 5 18 19 20 21 May 2017

Preface Welcome! This tutorial will help you understand the principles behind effective GOTV campaigns. For what works, see Tactics That Work for Voter Mobilization For talking effectively with voters, see: What to Say: Effective GOTV Conversations Each election, each potential voter, and each get-out-the- vote (GOTV) effort is unique. Thus it is critical to tailor your message. Regardless of the type of GOTV activity and your audience, your efforts will be more effective if guided by evidence-based practices. GOTV action involves vision, strategy, and tactics as depicted on the next page. May 2017

GOTV Action Program adopted at LWV-TX 2016 State Convention Encouraging informed and active participation in government by facilitating voter engagement. * Increased voter turnout in Texas Interactive & meaningful communication GOTV tactics that work 2012 to 2020 5% from *Evidence-based practices May 2017 GOTV Action Program adopted at LWV-TX 2016 State Convention

1. The dos & don’ts of voter mobilization Focus on voting Connect with the voter Use gentle social pressure Help make a plan for voting Advocate for issues or candidates Discuss that people aren’t voting Rely on impersonal emails, display ads, or robo-calls May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a

Analyst Institute, 2016a, p. 9; Green & Gerber, 2015, p. 7 Focus on voting The goal is to transform nonvoters into voters not to change minds about an issue or a candidate. Advocating for issues may diminish your influence on voter turnout. The League does not support or oppose candidates or political parties Voter x Nonvoter May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a, p. 9; Green & Gerber, 2015, p. 7

Analyst Institute, 2016b; Green & Gerber, 2015, p. 33 Connect with the voter Emphasize that you are local, e.g.: A neighbor From a local organization Acknowledge a commonality between you and your contact. Be enthusiastic. Ask questions. Share a voting story of your own. Messengers with something in common with the community are more effective than outsiders. May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016b; Green & Gerber, 2015, p. 33

Use different periods of the election season to greatest effect. Connect with the voter Timing Use different periods of the election season to greatest effect. Focus messaging on a specific topic within the 2 weeks before its deadline: Voter registration Vote-by-mail applications Early voting Election Day May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a, p. 3

Connect with the voter How often? Aim to make one contact with each targeted voter through multiple attempts if needed. One successful contact with lots of voters is more effective than multiple contacts with fewer voters. Multiple contacts are most effective with occasional voters but require substantial resources. May 2017 Analyst Institue, 2016a, pp. 4-5

Target those who need a little encouragement to vote, especially: Connect with the voter Targeting the electorate Target those who need a little encouragement to vote, especially: First-time voters Young people Ethnic/racial minorities People with a low income May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a, p. 6

Use gentle social pressure We are social creatures and want to fit in. Let potential voters know that someone is paying attention to whether or not they participate in the election. Tell them that others like themselves have committed to being voters. Remind them of their past voting history (it’s public record). Promise to follow-up with them after the election (and do so!). May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016b

Help make a plan for voting Getting potential voters to think through the steps they need to take makes them more likely to act on their intent to vote. Planning to be a voter What to Take to the Polls Voter registration card One of the acceptable voter IDs List of who/what to vote for Logistics Readiness Nonpartisan Resources Voter information websites VOTE411.org, VoteTexas.gov County elections website LWVTexas.org, local League website League voters guides Assess difficulty How When Where Special plans Deadlines Registration Vote-by-mail Voting dates Polling places Find voter ID information at www.lwvtexas.org/ID.html May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a,b

Help make a plan for voting Assist voter in getting ready to vote. LWV-TX social media business card available at www.lwvtexas.org/Media.html Bookmarks individualized for each local League available at www.lwvtexas.org/Vote_it_counts.html May 2017

how people aren’t voting low voter turnout Hearing that others are voting encourages voting among infrequent and occasional voters. Your [classmates, neighbors, etc.] have been telling me that they are definitely voting in this election. Do you plan on being a voter? We're expecting a high turnout this election. More and more people are voting. Telling people that others are not voting can suppress voter turnout. Don’t talk about … how people aren’t voting low voter turnout May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a; Gerber & Rogers, 2009; Keane & Nickerson, 2015

Analyst Institute, 2016a; Green & Gerber, 2015, pp. 34 & 156 The single most important element of voter mobilization is urging the person to be a voter. How important is it for you to be a voter in this upcoming election? Can I count on you being a voter in this election? Persuasion messages have no effect on whether or not a person will vote! An issue-focused message is unlikely to increase voter turnout. The League does not endorse or oppose any candidate or political party. Don’t advocate voting for… Issues or Candidates May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a; Green & Gerber, 2015, pp. 34 & 156

Analyst Institute, 2016a; Green & Gerber, p. 99 Impersonal mass communication is ineffective in increasing voter turnout. But friend-to-friend personalized communication that encourages voting through a series of chatty posts is about as effective as face-to-face canvassing. Rely on impersonal Robocalls Mass emails Display ads May 2017 Analyst Institute, 2016a; Green & Gerber, p. 99

Focus on voting with the voter Issues Candidates Help make a voting plan Don’t advocate for issues or candidates Focus on voting with the voter Use gentle social pressure Don’t rely on impersonal communication May 2017

2. Mobilizing voters is not… “… merely a matter of reminding them that Election Day is near. … just a matter of putting election-related information in front of them. … telling people why they should vote for a particular candidate or cause….” May 2017 Green & Gerber, 2015, p. 156

3. To mobilize voters… Make them feel wanted at the polls. In-person invitations convey the most warmth and work best. Next best are personalized telephone calls or personalized chatty posts on social media. Build on voters’ preexisting level of motivation to vote. Let them know that their vote is a matter of public record. May 2017 Green & Gerber, 2015, pp. 99 & 156-157

4. Voter mobilization resources Tactics That Work What to Say Engaging Target Populations Asian and Pacific Islanders Latinos Millennials Youth www.lwvtexas.org/Best_Practices_GOTV.html May 2017