RSIS/Wyle Information Systems

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RSIS/Wyle Information Systems Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSE) to estimate the potential of future observations Michiko Masutani NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC RSIS/Wyle Information Systems 1

Internationally collaborative Joint OSSEs Full OSSEs at NCEP and Internationally collaborative Joint OSSEs Full OSSE There are many types of simulation experiments. We have to call our OSSE a Full OSSE to avoid confusion. ● Nature run (proxy true atmosphere) is produced from a free forecast run using the highest resolution operational model. ● Calibration to compare data impact between real and simulated data will be performed. ● Data impact on forecast will be evaluated. ● A Full OSSE can provide detailed quantitative evaluations of the configuration of observing systems. ● A Full OSSE can use existing operational system and help development of operational system

Full OSSE at NCEP Main Contributor Michiko Masutani[#1*], John S. Woollen[+1] Stephen J. Lord[1], G. David Emmitt]3], Thomas J. Kleespies[2], Sidney A. Wood[3], Steven Greco[3],Haibing Sun[2%], Joseph Terry[4 +], Russ Treadon[1],Kenneth A. Campana[1],Yucheng Song[$.1], Zoltan Toth[1] [1]NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, [2]NOAA/NESDIS, [3]Simpson Weather Associates, [4NASA/GSFC, [#]Wyle Information Systems, [+]SAIC [%]QSS Group, Inc., [$ ]IMSG Many people in NOAA/NWS/NCEP, NASA/GSFC, NOAA/NESDIS and ECMW. Forward program for LOS was prepared by J. Derber. We would like to acknowledge contribution from W. Yang, W. Baker of NCEP, R. Atlas, G. Brin, S. Bloom of NASA/GSFC, and V. Kapoor, P. Li, W. Wolf, J. Yoe, M. Goldberg of NOAA/NESDIS. We would like to thank support from Anthony Hollingsworth, Roger Saunder and ECMWF data support section for the T213 nature run.

Main componets of NCEP OSSE with ECMWF T213 Nature Run Wintertime Nature run (1 month, Feb5-Mar.7,1993) NR by ECMWF model T213 (~0.5 deg) 1993 data distribution for calibration NCEP DA (SSI) withT62 ~ 2.5 deg, 300km and T170 ~1 deg, 110km Simulate and assimilate level1B radiance Different method than using interpolated temperature as retrieval Use line-of- sight (LOS) wind for DWL not u and v components Calibration performed Effects of observational error tested NR clouds are evaluated and adjusted at NCEP

OSSE Calibration Compare real data sensitivity to sensitivity with simulated data Impact of withdrawing RAOB winds

Results from OSSEs for Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) Hybrid-DWL: Ultimate DWL that provides full tropospheric LOS soundings, clouds permitting. Upper-DWL: An instrument that provides mid- and upper- tropospheric winds down only to the levels of significant cloud coverage. Lower-DWL: An instrument that provides wind observations only from clouds and the PBL. Non-Scan DWL : A non-scanning instrument that provides full tropospheric LOS soundings, clouds permitting, along a single line that parallels the ground track. (ADM-Aeolus like DWL) Zonally and time averaged number of DWL measurements in a 2.5 degree grid box with 50km thickness for 6 hours. Numbers are divided by 1000. Note that 2.5 degree boxes are smaller in size at higher latitudes. Estimate impact of real DWL from combination.

V 200hPa Analysis Impact of Radiance Maximum over tropics Impact of Hybrid DWL CTL include Radiance Difference in RMSE from the NR for 200hPa meridional wind. Analysis using 2004 NCEP DAS with T62 model. Top: reduction in RMSE due to including TOVS data. Bottom: reduction in RMSE due to adding Hybrid_DWL to CTL run. Average between feb13 and feb28. Twice daily sampling

Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) Impact without TOVS (using 1999 DAS) 3 8 Hybrid_DWL DWL_upper DWL_Lower Non_scan_DWL 3 8 No Lidar (Conventional + radiance) Time averaged anomaly correlations between forecast and NR for meridional wind (V) fields at 200 hPa and 850 hPa. Experiments are done with 1999 T62 DAS. CTL assimilates conventional data only.

Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) Impact With TOVS (using 2004 DAS) Hybrid_DWL 1.2 3 Hybrid DWL Uniformly thinned to 5% Scan DWL_upper Scan DWL_Lower 3 1.2 Non-scan_DWL Forecast hour Add more legend Dashed green line is 20 scan DWL with 20 time less data This experiments is done with 2004 system. I will ad one more line with non scan lidar with 1999 system which is worse than experiments with 2004system. No Lidar (Conventional + NOAA11 and NOAA12 TOVS) Forecast hour Dashed green line is for scan DWL with 20 times less data to make observation counts similar to non-scan DWL. This experiment is done with 2004 T62 DAS .

Data Impact of scan DWL 1999 DAS vs. 2004 DAS Impact of 2004 DAS 2004 DAS CTL (Conventional + TOVS) - 1999 DAS CTL 200 mb V Total scale Synoptic Scale Hybrid DWL with 2004 DAS - CTL (99) 1999 DAS CTL - CTL(99) Hybrid DWL with 1999 DAS - CTL(99) Differences in anomaly correlation Impact of DWL + better DAS Impact of DWL This experiment is done with T62 DAS with SSI. 10

Data Impact of scan DWL vs. T170 Impact of DWL + T170 Differences in anomaly correlation for 200hPa V T62 CTL (reference) (Conventional data only) Total scale Synoptic Scale Impact of DWL Impact of T170 model T62 CTL with Hybrid DWL - CTL(T62) 5 10 T170 CTL - CTL(T62) T170 CTL with Hybrid DWL - CTL (T62) Adding Hybrid lidar has large impact in analysis but increasing resolution has more impact in forecast after one or two days. ◊ CTL X CTL+Hybrid DWL This experiment is done with 2004 T62 DAS with SSI. 11

Reduction of RMSE from NR compared to control in 72 hour forecast T62 V200 T170 V200

Effect of Observational Error on DWL Impact 3 8 Percent improvement over Control Forecast (without DWL) Open circles: RAOBs simulated with systematic representation error Closed circles: RAOBs simulated with random errors Green: Best DWL Blue: Non-Scan DWL 3 8 Time averaged anomaly correlations between forecast and NR for meridional wind (V) fields at 200 hPa and 850 hPa. Experiments are done with 1999 DAS. CTL assimilates conventional data only.

Targeted DWL experiments (Technologically possible scenarios) Combination of two lidars DWL-Upper: An instrument that provides mid- and upper-tropospheric winds only to the levels of significant cloud coverage. Operates only 10% (possibly up to 20%) of the time. Switched on for 10 min at a time. DWL-Lower: An instrument that provides wind observations from only clouds and the PBL. Operates 100% of the time and keeps the instruments warm as well as measuring low level wind DWL-NonScan: DWL covers all levels without scanning (ADM mission type DWL)

200mb 10% Upper Level Adaptive sampling (Feb13 - Mar 6 average ) (based on the difference between first guess and NR, three minutes of segments are chosen – the other 81 min are discarded) Doubled contour 100% Upper Level 10% Uniform DWL Upper Non-Scan DWL

CTL Anomaly correlation difference from control Synoptic scale Meridional wind (V) 200hpa NH Feb13-Feb28 DWL-Lower is better than DWL-Non-Scan only With 100% DWL-Lower DWL-Non-Scan is better than uniform 10% DWL-Upper Targeted 10% DWL-Upper performs somewhat better than DWL-Non-Scan in the analysis DWL-Non-Scan performs somewhat better than Targeted 10% DWL-Upper in 36-48 hour forecast No Lidar (Conventional + NOAA11 and NOAA12 TOVS) 100% Lower + 10% Uniform Upper 100% Lower + 100% Upper 100% Lower + 10% Targeted Upper 100% Lower + Non-Scan Non-Scan only 100% Lower CTL

Data and model resolution OSSEs with Uniform Data More data or a better model? Fibonacci Grid used in the uniform data coverage OSSE 40 levels of equally-spaced data 100km, 500km, 200km are tested Skill is presented as Anomaly Correlation % The differences from selected CTL are presented - Yucheng Song Time averaged from Feb13-Feb28 12-hour sampling 200mb U and 200mb T are presented

CTL 1000km RaobT62L28 anal & fcst U 200 hPa Benefit from increasing the number of levels 5 500km Raob T62L64 anal T62L64 fcst 500km Raob T62L64 anal T62L28 fcst 500km RaobT62L28 anal & fcst 1000km RaobT170L42 analT62L28 fcst CTL 1000km RaobT62L28 anal & fcst T 200 hPa High density observation give better analysis but it could cause poor forecast High density observations give a better analysis but could cause a poor forecast. Increasing the vertical resolution was important for high density observations.

CTL 1000km RaobT62L28 anal & fcst U 200 hPa Benefit from increasing the number of levels 5 500km Raob T62L64 anal T62L64 fcst L64 anl & fcst 500km Raob T62L64 anal T62L28 fcst 500km RaobT62L28 anal & fcst L64 anl L28 fcst 1000km RaobT170L42 analT62L28 fcst CTL 1000km RaobT62L28 anal & fcst T 200 hPa L64 anl & fcst 500km obs T170 L42 model High density observation give better analysis but it could cause poor forecast High density observations give a better analysis but could cause a poor forecast. Increasing the vertical resolution was important for high density observations. L64 anl L28 fcst

Testing various scenarios D2+D3: Red: upperDWL +LowerDWL D1: Light Blue closed circle: Hybrid DWL (D1) with scan Rep Error 1m/s R45: Cyen dotted line triangle: D1 with rep error 4.5m/s (4.5x4.5≈20) U20: Orange: D1 uniformly thinned for factor 20 (Note this is technologically difficult) N4: Violet:D1 Thinned for factor 20 but in for direction 45,135,225,315 (mimicking GWOS) S10: Green dashed: Scan DWL 10min on 90 min off. No other DWL D4 : Dark Blue dashed: non scan DWL NH V500 Zonal wave number 10-20 This experiment is done with 2004 T62 DAS with SSI. Significant changes are expected with newer DAS with higher resolution models.

Four lidars is significantly better than one lidar D2+D3: Red: Scan upper+scan Lower D1: Light Blue closed circle:scal-DWL repE1m/s R45: Cyen dotted line triangle: repE 4.5m/s U20: Orange: uniformly thinned to 5% N4: Violet:Four direction S10: Green dashed:Scan DWL 10min on 90 min off. D4 : Dark Blue dashed: non scan DWL Four lidars is significantly better than one lidar in the SH, Zonal wave 1-3 T W GWOS Like lidar U V ADM

Hybrid-DWL has much more impact compared to non- scan-DWL with same amount of data. If the data is thinned uniformly 20 times thinned data (U20) produce 50%-90% of impact. 20 times less weighted 100% data (R45) is generally slightly better than U20 (5% of data) In fact U20 and R45 perform better than D1 time to time. This is more clear in 200hPa. Four lidars directing 90 deg apart (N4) showed significant improvement to D4 only in large scale over SH but not much better over NH and synoptic scale. Without additional scan-DWL,10min on 90 off (S10)sampling is much worse than U20(5% uniform thinning) with twice as much as data. The results will be very different with newer assimilation systems with higher resolution model.

NCEP OSSE demonstrated that Using Full OSSE, various experiments can be performed and compared. OSSE with one month long T213 nature run is limited. Need better nature runs. Internationally collaboraborative Joint OSSE which share same Nature Runs has been emerged. The results from NCEP OSSE have to be confirmed by Joint OSSEs with Joint OSSE NRs

International Collaborative Joint OSSE - Toward reliable and timely assessment of future observing systems - http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/JointOSSEs ECMWF Workshop June 15-17, 2009 Core members who have been involved from the early stage L.-P. Riishojgaard[10,2,$], M. Masutani[1,10,#], J. S. Woollen[1,+], Y. Xie[5] N. Prive[5,@], T. Zhu[3,@], R. Errico[2,$], R. Yang[2,&], Stoffelen[7], G.-J. Marseille[7], E. Andersson[4], G. D. Emmitt[6], S. Greco[6], S. A. Wood[6], F. Weng[3], H. Son[3,##], T. J. Kleespies[3,10], Y. Song[1,%] O. Reale[2,$], T. W. Schlatter[5], S. J. Lord[1], http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/JointOSSEs Meeting summary, Discussion forums, References, FAQ for OSSE, GSI, and CRTM

Expanding Collaborations L. Cucurull[10], Z. Toth[1], Z. Pu[11], C. Hill[8], V. Anantharaj[8], P. Fitzpatrick[8], X. Fan[8] E. Brin[2], M. Seablom[2], B. I. Hauss[14], R. Burn[2,14], R. Atlas[18], S. Koch[5], [1]NOAA/NWS/National Centeres for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), Camp Springs, MD, [3]NOAA/ NESDIS/STAR, Camp Springs, MD, [4]ECMWF, Reading, UK [5]NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory(ESRL), Boulder, CO, [6]SWA, Charlottesville, VA [8]Mississippi State University/GRI (MSU), MS, [9]JMA, Tokyo, Japan, [10]JCSDA, MD [11]University of Utah, UT, [13]University of Tokyo, Japan, [14]NGC, [15]JAMSTEC, Japan, [16]NCAR, Boulder CO, [18]NOAA/OAR/AOML, Miami, FL, [#]Wyle Information Systems Inc., VA [+]SAIC, MD, [$]GEST, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD, [%]QSS, MD, [##I].IMSG, MD, [@]CIRA/CSU, CO OSSEs: Observing Systems Simulation Experiments

Interests and supports H. Pryor[2], E. Salmon[2], H.- C. Liu[2,+], M. Sienkiewicz[2,+], A. da Silva[2], M. Govett[5], D. Devenyi[5], D. L. Birkenheuer[5], T. Jung[4], A. Thompkins[4], D. Groff[1,+], D. Kleist[1,+], R. Treadon[1], K. Fielding[4], W. Lahoz[17], Z. Toth[1], Y. Sato[1,9], M. Hu[5], S. Weygandt[5], M. J. McGill[2], T. Miyosh[9], T. Enomoto[15], M. Watanabe[13],H. Koyama[13,] Y. Rochen[12] , G. Higgins[14], H. Wang[16], Y. Chen[16], X.-Y. Huang[16] [1]NOAA/NWS/National Centeres for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), Camp Springs, MD, [2]NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Greenbelt, MD, [3]NOAA/ NESDIS/STAR, Camp Springs, MD, [4]ECMWF, Reading, UK [5]NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory(ESRL), Boulder, CO, [6]SWA, Charlottesville, VA [7]Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute (KNMI), DeBilt, Netherlands, [8]Mississippi State University/GRI (MSU), MS, [9]JMA, Tokyo, Japan, [10]JCSDA, MD [11]University of Utah, UT, [12]Environment of Canada, Ontario, Canada [13]University of Tokyo, Japan, [14]NGC, [15]JAMSTEC, Japan, [16]NCAR, Boulder CO, [17]Norsk Institutt for Luftforskning (NILU), Norway [18]NOAA/OAR/AOML, Miami, FL, [#]Wyle Information Systems Inc., VA [+]SAIC, MD, [$]GEST, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD, [%]QSS, MD, [##I].IMSG, MD [&]SSAI.  MD, [@]CIRA/CSU, CO

Need for collaboration Need one good new Nature Run which will be used by many OSSEs, including regional data assimilation. Share the simulated data to compare the OSSE results from various DA systems to gain confidence in results. OSSEs require many experts and require a wide range of resources. Extensive international collaboration within the Meteorological community is essential for timely and reliable OSSEs to influence decisions.

Low Resolution Nature Run Two High Resolution Nature Runs New Nature Run by ECMWF Based on discussion with JCSDA, NCEP, GMAO, GLA, SIVO, SWA, NESDIS, ESRL, and ECMWF Low Resolution Nature Run Spectral resolution : T511 , Vertical levels: L91, 3 hourly dump Initial conditions: 12Z May 1st, 2005 , Ends at: 0Z Jun 1,2006 Daily SST and ICE: provided by NCEP Model: Version cy31r1 Two High Resolution Nature Runs 35 days long Hurricane season: Starting at 12z September 27,2005, Convective precipitation over US: starting at 12Z April 10, 2006 T799 resolution, 91 levels, one hourly dump Get initial conditions from T511 NR Note: This data must not be used for commercial purposes and re-distribution rights are not given. User lists are maintained by Michiko Masutani and ECMWF

Archive and Distribution To be archived in the MARS system at ECMWF Currently available internally as expver=etwu Copies for US are available to designated users for research purpose& users known to ECMWF Saved at NCEP, ESRL, and NASA/GSFC Complete data available from portal at NASA/GSFC Conctact:Michiko Masutani (michiko.masutani@noaa.gov), Harper Pryor (Harper.Pryor@nasa.gov ) Gradsdods access is available for T511 NR. The data can be down loaded  in grib1, NetCDF, binary. The data can be retrieved globally or selected region. Provide IP number to :Arlindo da Silva (Arlindo.Dasilva@nasa.gov)

Supplemental low resolution regular lat lon data 1degx1deg for T511 NR, 0.5degx0.5deg for T799 NR Pressure level data: 31 levels, Potential temperature level data: 315,330,350,370,530K Selected surface data for T511 NR: Convective precip, Large scale precip, MSLP,T2m,TD2m, U10,V10, HCC, LCC, MCC, TCC, Sfc Skin Temp Complete surface data for T799 NR T511 verification data is posted from NCAR CISL Research Data Archive. Data set ID ds621.0. Currently NCAR account is required for access. T799 verification data are available from NASA/GSFC portal (Contact Harper.Pryor@nasa.gov) (Also available from NCEP hpss, ESRL, NCAR/MMM, NRL/MRY, Univ. of Utah, JMA,Mississippi State Univ.)

Evaluation of theT511 Nature run Oreste Reale (NASA/GSFC/GLA) Utilize Goddard’s cyclone tracking software (Terry and Atlas, AMS conf, Aug 1996): Identifies and tracks mostly extratropical cyclones (cutoff at 20 deg N/S latitude) Interfaces with GrADS contouring algorithm Uses SLP field at 4hPa contour interval Finds centroid of inner-most closed isobar Tracks the centers using extrapolation and 500hPa steering Cloud Cover Comparison between the ECMWF T511 Nature Run against climatology 20050601-20060531, exp=eskb, cycle=31r1 Adrian Tompkins, ECMWF NR MODIS NR-MODIS Tropics Oreste Reale (NASA/GSFC/GLA) Cyclone tracks generated: Nature run at one degree for Jun 2005 to May 2006 (each month and season) NCEP operational analysis at one degree for 2000 to 2006 (each month, 68 of 84 months were available) Vertical structure of a HL vortex shows, even at the degraded resolution of 1 deg, a distinct eye-like feature and a very prominent warm core. Structure even more impressive than the system observed in August. Low-level wind speed exceeds 55 m/s

Simulation of Observation for calibration The output of the data is saved in BUFR format which can be read by the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI). GSI is a DAS used at NCEP, GMAO and ESRL. The codes are flexible and include many tunable parameters. Initially observational error will not be added. GMAO will provide a software to add random error Simulate observation will be posted from NASA/NCCS portal GMAO will provide calibrated simulated observation NCEP-NESDIS will provide additional data which are not simulated by GMAO Some calibration will be performed but users are expected to perform calibration. Some simulation by GMAO may be repeated for complete period Each group make separate directories for simulated observation at NASA portal.

GMAO Observation Simulator for Joint OSSE • Software for generating conventional obs (Observation type included in NCEP .prepbufr file). Surface data are simulated at NR surface height. • Software for simulating radiances Code to simulate HIRS2/3, AMSUA/B, AIRS, MSU has been set up. Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) is used for forward model. Random sampling based Use High, Mid, Low level cloud cover, precipitation to produce realistic distribution of cloud clear radiance. • Software for generating random error. • Calibration is performed using Adjoint technique Distribution Simulated observation will be calibrated by GMAO before it become available. Limited data are now available for people who contribute to validation and calibration. Contact: Ron Errico: ronald.m.errico@nasa.gov

Simulation of radiance data at NCEP and NESDIS Step1.Thinning of radiance data based on real use For development purposes, 91-level ML variables are processed at NCEP and interpolated to observational locations with all the information need to simulate radiance data (DBL91). The DBL91 are for quick work also used for development of CRTM. GOES and SBUV are simulated as it is missing from GMAO data set. AMSUA, AMSUB, GOES data has been simulated for entire T511 NR period. DBL91 for HIRS2, HIRS3 are also prepared, saved and to be posted. DBL91 for AIRS will not be saved. Step2. Simulation of radiance data using cloudy radiance Cloudy radiance is still under development. Acuracy of GMAO data will be between Step1 and Step2.

Observed N15+N16 AMSUA May 2 00z (NCEP-NESDIS) Simulated NOAA 15 Real data are plotted for all foot print. Simulated data are plotted for foot print used at NCEP GDAS. Noticeable differences near South Pole is stronger in simulated observation. Possibly ICE is not treated correctly by CRTM ?

Simulation of SBUV ozone data Plot produced by By Jack Woollen Jack Woollen (NCEP) Real Simulated Plot produced by By Jack Woollen

Further Considerations Data distribution depends on atmospheric conditions Aircraft data are heavily affected by Jet location. Location of Jet in NR must be considered. Scale of RAOB drift become larger than model resolution Cloud Motion Vector based on Nature Run Cloud Microwave Radiative Transfer at the Sub-Field-of-View Resolution (Tom Kleespies and George Gyno) The ability to integrate high resolution databases within a given field-of-view, and perform multiple radiative transfer within the field of view, weigh that according to the antenna beam power, and integrate.

Planned experiments OSSE for GNSS Radio-Occultation (RO) observations Lidia Cucurull (JCSDA) Several options for a future operational GPS Radio Occultation system (COSMIC follow-on) regarding orbit configurations, number of satellites, secondary payload vs. dedicated system, etc. What is the optimal choice? CEOS action WE-07-03 on ‘evaluation of the requirements to conduct RO OSSEs’ given to NOAA/NESDIS The action has recently been completed International Joint OSSE project 2-yr full time post-doctoral scientist Funding made available by NOAA/NESDIS; hire in progress

OSSEs to investigate GOES data usage and prepare for GOES-R Tong Zhu (CIRA/CSU), Fuzhong Weng (NOAA/NESDIS), Jack Woollen (NOAA/EMC), Michiko Masutani (NOAA/EMC), Thomas J. Kleespies(NOAA/NESDIS), Yong Han(NOAA/NESDIS), Quanhua, Liu (QSS), Sid Boukabara (NOAA/NESDIS),Steve Load (NOAA/EMC), This project involves OSSE to evaluate current usage of GOES data Simulation of GOES-12 Sounder Observed GOES-12 Sounder Observed GOES-12 18 bands on 0230 UTC October 01, 2005 for North Atlantic Ocean section. Time Series of Mean Tb Time Series of Mean Tb Nature Run hurricane generated on September 27. At 1200 UTC October 1, it is located at about 43 W, 20N. The high moisture air mass associated with the hurricane is shown clearly. Time Series of Mean Tb Time Series of Mean Tb by Tong Zhu

Calibration GMAO is conducting calibration using adjoint method Focused on July August 2006 and December 2005-January 2006. ESRL and NCEP are working on calibration using data denial method Using simulated data by GMAO and additional data from NCEP Focused on July-August 2005 GSI version May2007 NCEP is working on upgrading OSSE system to newer GSI to accommodate DWL and flow dependent error covariance. Some calibration will be repeated.

Planned experiments (cont.) OSSE to evaluate UAS N. Prive(ESRL), Y. Xie(ESRL), et al. ADM-Aeolus simulation for J-OSSE G.J. Marseille and Ad Stoffelen (KNMI) OSSEs for THORPEX T-PARC Evaluation and development of targeted observation Z. Toth, Yucheng Song (NCEP) and other THORPEX team members Simulation of DWL at SWA G. David Emmitt, Steve Greco, Sid A. Wood, Regional DWL OSSEs at the University of Utah Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah OSSE to evaluate DWL M.Masutani(NCEP), L. P Riishojgaard (JCSDA), NOAA/ESRL, Met Office? Regional OSSEs to Evaluate ATMS and CrIS Observations Cris M. Hill, Pat. J. Fitzpatrick, Val. G. Anantharaj GRI- Mississippi State University (MSS) Lars-Peter Riishojgaard (JCSDA)

Summary OSSEs are a cost-effective way to optimize investment in future observing systems OSSE capability should be broadly based (multi-agency) Credibility Cost savings Joint OSSE collaboration remains only partially funded but appears to be headed in right direction GMAO Software to calibrated basic data of will is ready for release Additional software being developed at NCEP, NESDIS, ESRL and GMAO Data base and computing resources has been set up for DWL simulation and SWA, KNMI receiving ESA funding for DWL simulations Preliminary version of some basic data set has been simulated for entire T511NR period.

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