Race and America 2016 Demographic trends and the 2016 election Jens Manuel Krogstad Writer/Editor, Global Migration & Demographic Trends November 2, 2016
U.S. demographic trends
U.S. is increasingly diverse, and this trend is projected to continue for decades
Multi-race Americans in the U.S.
‘Immigrant Stock’ Share of U.S. Population, Actual and Projected, 1900-2050 (%) Source: 2000-2012 data and all second-generation data from Pew Research Center analysis of Current Population surveys, Integrated Microdata Sample (IPUMS) files; Pew Hispanic Center projections for 2020 to 2050 from Passel and Cohn (2008); historical trend from Passel and Cohn (2008) and Edmonston and Passel (1994)
Hispanics are significantly younger than whites
From Germany to Mexico, 1850 to 2010
Demographic trends: Unauthorized immigration
Unauthorized immigration hasn’t grown since 2007-08
There are 3. 9 million K-12 students in the U. S There are 3.9 million K-12 students in the U.S. who are children of unauthorized immigrants. They represent 7.3% of all students.
Education
High School Dropout Rates Drop To Record Lows
College enrollment
A greater share of Latinos attend community colleges than any other race/ethnicity
College completion lowest among Hispanics and blacks
Economy & Jobs
Racial, Ethnic Wealth Gaps Have Grown Since Great Recession
Hispanic wealth trails that of whites
Differing views on race relations
Will the U. S. make changes necessary for racial equality Will the U.S. make changes necessary for racial equality? (A pre-election view, February-May 2016)
Differing views on how blacks are treated
Differing views on the job local police are doing
The 2016 election
America’s demographic changes are shifting the electorate – and American politics
Changes in eligible voters since 2012
Latino & Asian voter turnout has long trailed that of whites and blacks in presidential elections
Political party affiliation by race/ethnicity
2016 presidential results
The election’s impact on race relations
FBI data: Anti-Muslim assaults reach 9/11-era levels
Views on the Issues
Differences between rural and urban Americans A College Education Is (capped; it’s OK in the report) Percent who agree (no period) (OK in report) In the report, it has the question in quotation marks; none of the other charts that carry questions use quote marks. The bullets in the article identify the first group as ages 26 and older, sted 16 and older. (Also, this chart identifies the two groups at the bottom as ages 16 to 25, while the one in the report says they’re 16 to 24, and the % are slightly different. I assume that’s deliberate.) General population (lower-cased) Latino youths (add “s”) All youths (add “s”) (might want to push “16 to” to second line) Chorizo Breakfast Presentation January 30, 2010 32
Views of unauthorized immigrants A College Education Is (capped; it’s OK in the report) Percent who agree (no period) (OK in report) In the report, it has the question in quotation marks; none of the other charts that carry questions use quote marks. The bullets in the article identify the first group as ages 26 and older, sted 16 and older. (Also, this chart identifies the two groups at the bottom as ages 16 to 25, while the one in the report says they’re 16 to 24, and the % are slightly different. I assume that’s deliberate.) General population (lower-cased) Latino youths (add “s”) All youths (add “s”) (might want to push “16 to” to second line) Chorizo Breakfast Presentation January 30, 2010 33
Views on border wall & other immigration issues
Growing Share of Hispanics, Whites Support Same-Sex Marriage Unauthorized immigrant children
Views on contraceptives, abortion and homosexual behavior Source: Pew Research Center survey, Aug. 16-Sept. 12, 2016
Latinos more likely than whites to say global warming caused by humans
Contact Information Jens Manuel Krogstad Writer/Editor, Hispanic trends jkrogstad@pewresearch.org