Multi-functional land use Trade-offs in a dynamic world

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Presentation transcript:

Multi-functional land use Trade-offs in a dynamic world Peter Verburg Julia Stürck Multi-functional land use Trade-offs in a dynamic world Department of Earth Sciences

Land use options always come with trade-offs There is no single ‘Sustainable Land Use’ All options come with trade-offs Between the services provided (food, biodiversity, regulation) Between stakeholders/beneficiaries Between locations, local and global Between value systems: monetary, social or physical Between the short term and the long term Department of Earth Sciences

Multi-functional Land Use

Tradeoffs between multifunctionality and single function capacity Number of functions Function capacity Summed capacity of landscape functions (0-3) Multifunctionality: increase of total capacity to provide goods and services Int. livestock Cult. heritage Residential Leisure Arable prod. Plant habitat Tourism Multifunctionality: decrease of capacity per landscape function Department of Earth Sciences Willemen et al., 2010 Ecological Indicators

How to measure multifuctionality?

Multifunctionality of Europe according to different indices

Number of overlaps of multifunctionality hotspots across multifunctionality indicators at analysis scales (0 km, 5 km, and NUTS2 regions)

Change in multifunctionality 2000-2040 (B2 scenario)

Location matters Land use change simulation: 2000-2040 2000-2040 Sturck et al., in press REC

Ecosystem bundle changes per land use trajectory

Ecosystem bundle changes per land use trajectory abandonment contributing to growth of large-scale nature R

Conclusions Multi-functionality is what you define it to be Multi-functionality is scale sensitive Land change leads to changes in multifunctionality (both increase and decrease) Land change trajectories cause changes in the ‘bundle of ecosystem services’

Thank you! Department of Earth Sciences