Nader Samaan Xinda Ke Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

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Presentation transcript:

Nader Samaan Xinda Ke Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) Development of the Utility-Scale PV Solar Profiles for the TEPPC 2026 Case Nader Samaan Xinda Ke Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) WECC Data Work Group (DWG), June 13, 2017 Revised June 27, 2017 Web Conference June 27, 2017

Background WECC subcontracted with PNNL to develop solar profiles for individual utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) solar plants at WECC for the TEPPC 2026 case using NREL’s Solar Integration National Dataset (SIND). The scope excludes developing time series of concentrated solar power (CSP) plants, which are not available in NREL SIND. develop wind profiles for future wind plants in the United States using NREL’s Wind Integration Data Sets develop wind profiles for Canadian locations using GE wind profiles. All wind and solar profiles will be based on year 2009 weather models. Python codes used to develop the time series for wind and solar will be delivered to WECC staff for future use.

Solar Integration National Dataset (SIND). NREL provided PNNL with the Solar Integration National Dataset (SIND). https://www.nrel.gov/grid/sind-toolkit.html The solar database includes 7 years (2007 to 2013) of virtual solar profiles with 30-min time resolution in Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) 154,868 virtual solar sites at different coordinates covering the United States. All virtual solar plants have 4 MW of DC capacity. The maximum AC capacity will be between 3.5 MW and 3.7 MW. All files are in .h5 hierarchical data format. Three types of solar profiles are provided: rooftop fixed tracking.

TEPPC Solar Projects Data Jamie Austin (PacifiCorp), Kevin Harries (Columbia Grid), and other TEPPC stakeholders provided PNNL with publicly available coordinates, bus numbers, and technologies of the solar projects in the TEPPC 2026 case. It contains 320* solar projects at different coordinates. These include four types of solar profiles: fixed, single, double, and NA. These will be used to develop solar profiles by using virtual solar profiles from NREL. The four solar categories in TEPPC are matched with virtual solar categories in the database. TEPPC categories fixed and NA ↔ NREL category fixed TEPPC categories single and double ↔ category tracking 229 fixed solar projects 320 solar projects 84 tracking solar projects *7 solar projects with zero capacity are ignored.

Solar Plant Capacity Discrepancy (an example) In some cases, two different values were provided for solar plant capacity; most of the time they have the same value. Internet search was used to verify capacity in cases of discrepancy. http://www.power-technology.com/projects/agua-caliente-solar-project-arizona/ Scaling

Selection of SIND Solar Sites for each TEPPC Solar Project Step 1: For each TEPPC solar project, select closest SIND solar sites based on capacity and coordinates. Step 2: For each TEPPC solar project, record the number of SIND sites selected and calculate the scaling factor. Scaling factor = solar project capacity / sum of virtual sites’ maximum AC capacities You can explain , the first generator has capa

How Far are the Selected SIND Sites from the TEPPC Plant Location? We developed three different sets of time series to understand which of the following approaches is better, through validation: Choose unique NREL sites; no limitation on how far they are from the plant location. Put a 3-mile limit on the distance; if there are not enough NREL profiles within 3 miles, scale the time series up. Put a 5-mile limit on the distance. Example – 290 MW plant No distance limit: Number of selected NREL sites: 81 Maximum distance: 20 miles 5-mile limit: Number of selected NREL sites: 16 Maximum distance: 4.4 miles 3-mile limit: Number of selected NREL sites: 2 Maximum distance: 2.6 miles You can explain , the first generator has capa

Development of TEPPC Solar Profiles Step 1: For each TEPPC solar project, generate solar profiles for two years (2009 and 2013) by using the selected SIND solar sites and the scaling factor. Extract solar profiles for all selected SIND solar sites from the solar database. Sum the extracted solar profiles and multiply by the scaling factor. Step 2: Construct the time stamp for the generated solar profile. The time zone is moved from UTC to Mountain time. Step 3: Generate the 30-min and hourly solar profiles by averaging the original 30-min solar profile. You can explain , the first generator has capa

Comparison between profiles of the three approaches In sunny days there are no differences In cloudy days, there is a slight difference That is mainly because we are comparing hourly values, so minute to minute differences are not captured. You can explain , the first generator has capa

Impact of Oversizing the Solar Plant Panels by 10% You can explain , the first generator has capa Based on validation with actual data, should this assumption be used for all PV solar plants? It will result in more output energy and flat output for few hours in sunny days

Data Availability The developed data is available to TEPPC stakeholders. If you would like access to the data, please contact Nader Samaan: nader.samaan@pnnl.gov