Management of the Government Pension Fund – Global in 2008

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Presentation transcript:

Management of the Government Pension Fund – Global in 2008 Governor of Norges Bank Svein Gjedrem Hearing before the Standing Committee on Finance and Economic Affairs 29 April 2009

Governance model MINISTRY OF FINANCE ON BEHALF OF GOVERNMENT STORTING (Norwegian parliament) NORGES BANK’s EXECUTIVE BOARD NORGES BANK’s SUPERVISORY COUNCIL CENTRAL BANK AUDIT 2

Management structure of Norges Bank NORGES BANK’s EXECUTIVE BOARD and EXECUTIVE MANAGEMENT AUDIT COMMITTEE Executive Board’s investment management advisory board INTERNAL AUDIT UNIT NORGES BANK’s INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT 3

Long-term ownership Sources: FTSE and Norges Bank 4

Government assets Fall in market value in 2008. In billions of NOK Government Pension Fund – Norway -30 Government direct ownership1 -230 Government share of subsea petroleum reserves2 -2 200 Government Pension Fund – Global3 -130 (-630) Household housing wealth4 -400 Decrease in value adjusted for dividends. Companies listed on the stock exchange Fall in value of the government share of subsea petroleum reserves with a decline in the price of oil from NOK 500 to NOK 300 per barrel. The oil price was approximately NOK 500 per barrel at the beginning of 2008 Q4 and has varied between NOK 260 and NOK 350 per barrel in 2009 Negative return in NOK. Negative return measured in international currency in brackets Fall in housing wealth from August 2007 to 2008 Q4 (nominal terms) Sources: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Trade and Industry, Folketrygdfondet and Norges Bank 5

Return 1998 - 2008 Benchmark portfolio and actual portfolio Return 1998 - 2008 Benchmark portfolio and actual portfolio. Indexed, 31 Dec1997=100 6

Return on equities1998 - 2008 Benchmark portfolio and actual portfolio Return on equities1998 - 2008 Benchmark portfolio and actual portfolio. Indexed, 31 Dec1997=100 7

Return on fixed income instruments 1998 - 2008 Benchmark portfolio and actual portfolio. Indexed, 31 Dec1997=100 8

Credit ratings, fixed income portfolio1) Government Pension Fund - Global. Per cent as at 31 Dec 2008 9

Risk premiums for corporate bonds Total premiums Liquidity Uncertainty regarding future losses Credit risk Source: Bank of England Inflation Report, February 2009

Risk – expected tracking error (relative volatility)

Management of the Government Pension Fund – Global in 2008 Governor of Norges Bank Svein Gjedrem Hearing before the Standing Committee on Finance and Economic Affairs 29 April 2009 12