Korean Peninsula Daphne Coelho, Yan Ling Lin, Park Hyun-Ji

Contents US and South Korea -Lee’s visit to the US -Global cooperation -The impact of the World Dynamics 2) Transitions in power in the North Korea 3) North Korea’s relations with -US -South Korea -Russia -China

US and South Korea: “One Voice” Lee Myung bak visited Washington in October, 2011. Barack Obama said: “a high honor reserved for America’s closest friends.”

US and South Korea: “One Voice” US: SK “is the linchpin of not only security for the Republic of Korea and United States but also for the Pacific as a whole." SK: “When it comes to cooperation between our two governments, we speak with one voice, and we will continue to speak with one voice”.

US and South Korea: “One Voice” Linchpin : Any part or person that is so vital to something that if it went missing, the whole thing would fall apart.

US and South Korea: “Man-Crush” - It took root in November, 2010; - "Very human" bond; - Concrete manifestations of an expanded partnership.  

Concrete Manifestations KORUS FTA: US-ROK relationship to the next level. - 1980's: Discussions; - 2003: "FTA Roadmap"; - 2004: Joint feasibility study; - 2007: Agreement signed; - Oposition; - 2010: G-20 Summit; - 2011: US' Congress approved in October; - 2011: Korea's National Assembly approved.

Concrete Manifestations Global Cooperation - Anti-piracy in Gulf of Aden; - PRT in Afghanistan; - Libya; - OECD - Overseas Development Assistance in 2011.

The Impact of Regional Dynamics Japan China

North Korea, transitions in power

North Korea, transitions in power National Defense Commission Chairman Kim Jong-il died of heart attack on December 19 of 2011 From late 2010, Kim Jong-un was viewed as heir apparent to the leadership of the nation Became the New ‘great leader’ after Kim Jong-il’s death Idolized by using the term ‘immortality’ which used to describe his father, Kim Il-sung

North Korea, transitions in power

North Korea, transitions in power Kim Jong-un’s key policy adviser The great successor Kim Jong-un’s key policy adviser Ri Young-ho Jang Sung-taek

North Korea, transitions in power Frequently seen but unknown to public Held the titles of… The First Secretary of the Worker’s Party of Korea The Chairman of the Central Military Commission Defense Commission of North Korea The Supreme Commander of the Korean People’s Army A presidium member of the Politburo of the Worker’s party of Korea

North Korea, transitions in power Miscalculation would be disastrous in the absence of clear information about the new leader. Interplay among China, South Korea, US is particularly important. U.S. - Do not treat the situation as normal! China - Do not dismiss the dialogue with SK and US South Korea - Do not act unilaterally!

North Korea, transitions in power The six party talks -to find a peaceful way of dealing with security concerns on the Korean Peninsula. -the North pulled out of the talks in 2009 We need continuous conversation and compromise!

The Relation With Washington The second nuclear tests in 2009 broke relation with the U.S and the South reopening negotiation in 2011 during the period of negotiation, Kim Jong-il dead the modest agreement was raised

The Relation With Seoul Refused to negotiate with South Korea Kaesong Industrial Complex

The Relation With Russia - August 2011,Kim Jong-il’s final visit to Russia; - Cross-border gas pipeline; - The renovation of cross-border railway.

The Relation With China - Pave highway from Hunchun (a city of China) to Rajin (North Korea); - Joint industry park.

Questions 1. Is South Korea an accidental or purposeful "linchpin"? 2. Will the North Korean regime collapse or be continued? 3. Are the ties between China and North Korea still strong?