Lecture 7. Sea Level Rise and Planning: Global Perspective

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Presentation transcript:

Lecture 7. Sea Level Rise and Planning: Global Perspective

Warming Projections 2 degrees: goal of international negotiations (UN Framework Convention on Climate Change) 3 degrees: 2007 IPCC projections 4 degrees: recent report by World Bank suggests this is likely if we do not change course

Sea Level Rise IPCC: global average sea level rise projections between 1-6 meters by the end of 21st century (IPCC) Recent reports indicate IPCC may have significantly underestimated rates of SLR

Sea Level Rise Tremendous variation on a regional and local scale Currents Geological factors Glacial melting Glacial isostatic adjustment Volume of polar ice sheets http://geology.com/sea-level-rise/

Climate Change Displacements Estimates of climate change migrations 50-250 million people by 2050 Variety of reasons for displacement: Sea level rise Change in rain fall: desertification and flooding Glacial melting Extreme weather and human disasters

Bangladesh

Kiribati and Tuvalu

Alaska Native Communities: Kivalina, Shishmaref, Newtok

Newtok

Kivalina

Emerging Instruments: International Treaty on climate change displacement Protocol to the refugee convention UNFCCC creates a new class of refugee-like protected persons

Emerging Instruments: UNFCCC Developed Country “Fast Start” Adaptation and Mitigation Funds 192 countries party to convention Up to $100 billion financing by 2020

UNFCCC Adaptation Framework Enable least developed country parties (LDCs) to formulate and implement national adaptation plans (NAPs). >46 countries have NAPs

Native Village of Kivalina, et al. v. ExxonMobil Corporation, et al. Suing nine oil companies, fourteen power companies, and one coal company for $400 million Collectively companies have caused global warming the led directly to village impacts Companies conspired to deceive the public about the science of global warming

Documentary: Beautiful Islands http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qKg_NQh3jxM&feature=youtu.be