Political Science 200A Week 5 Micro-Behaviors: Actor Level of Analysis

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Political Science 200A Week 5 Micro-Behaviors: Actor Level of Analysis

Structure of Empirical Theory Hard Core (Definitions, Axioms, Postulates) Auxiliary Hypotheses (Middle-Range Theories) Testable Hypotheses Testing with Empirical Evidence

Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes Converse, Miller and Campbell University of Michigan Institute for Social Research The American Voter (1960)

Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes What are the key testable hypotheses advanced by Campbell et al. What mid-range theory might lead one to this hypothesis? How would you describe the research method?

Seymour Martin Lipset (1922-2006) Ph.D. Columbia 1949 Leftist politics until 1960s; Neo-conservativism Political Man (1960)

Lipset Political Man 1. What is Lipset’s key hypothesis about voting? What extensions of this hypothesis (auxiliary hypotheses) does he offer? 2. What middle-range theory supports these hypotheses?

Anthony Downs (1930- ) Ph.D. (Economics) Stanford University 1956 Academic appointment University of Chicago Senior Fellow, Brookings Institutions 1977- Economic Theory of Democracy (1957)

Downs 1. What is Downs’ key testable hypothesis? What auxiliary testable hypotheses does he offer? 2. What middle-range theory supports these testable hypotheses? 3. What deeper axiomatic assumptions support this middle-range theory?

Morris Fiorina (1946- ) PhD, Rochester Professor, Harvard, Caltech Currently, Stanford University

Fiorina. Retrospective Voting 1. How does Fiorina’s theory of vote choice extend the analysis of Downs? How does Fiorina’s account of retrospective voting differ from V. O. Key’s Why do these differences matter? Do the differences among Fiorina, Downs, and Key lead to different testable hypotheses? 2. What assumptions does Fiorina make about voters’ thought processes?

Samuel Popkin (1942- ) Ph.D., MIT (1969) Lecturer, Professor at Yale, Harvard, Texas Since 1975: UCSD The Rational Peasant (1979) The Reasoning Voter (1991)

Popkin. Reasoning Voter 1. What does Popkin add to the Downs-Fiorina middle-range theory? 2. Does this lead to different testable hypotheses?

Donald Green, Bradley Palmquist, and Eric Schickler Ph.D. Berkeley 1988 Appts at Yale and Columbia Eric Schickler (1969-) Ph.D. Yale 1997 Appts at Berkeley and Harvard Green Columbia Schickler UC Berkeley

Donald Green, Bradley Palmquist, and Eric Schickler 1. What is the key testable hypothesis advanced by GPS? 2. What is the middle-range theory they are challenging? -What alternative middle-range theory do they advance? -Can the GPS theory explain change?