Figure 1 Unemployment duration elasticity and labour market conditions

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Chapter 4: Basic Estimation Techniques
Advertisements

Multivariate Data/Statistical Analysis SC504/HS927 Spring Term 2008 Week 18: Relationships between variables: simple ordinary least squares (OLS) regression.
Doing an Econometric Project Or Q4 on the Exam. Learning Objectives 1.Outline how you go about doing your own econometric project 2.How to answer Q4 on.
BA 275 Quantitative Business Methods
Utah Economic Report January 21, Labor Market Indicators December 2013 Utah unemployment rate4.1% U.S. unemployment rate6.7% Year-over Utah job.
Departments of Medicine and Biostatistics
HSRP 734: Advanced Statistical Methods July 24, 2008.
How rapidly do reforms affect labour market outcomes? Jørgen Elmeskov Economics Department OECD.
Part 21: Hazard Models [1/29] Econometric Analysis of Panel Data William Greene Department of Economics Stern School of Business.
Copyright © 2008 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Managerial Economics, 9e Managerial Economics Thomas Maurice.
Glioblastoma Multiforme (GBM) – Subtype Analysis Lance Parsons.
Econ Prof. Buckles1 Multiple Regression Analysis y =  0 +  1 x 1 +  2 x  k x k + u 4. Further Issues.
© 2000 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap Multiple Regression Models.
Multiple Regression Models. The Multiple Regression Model The relationship between one dependent & two or more independent variables is a linear function.
Multivariate Data Analysis Chapter 4 – Multiple Regression.
Logical Line Fitting: One Step in the EDA Process by Shannon Guerrero Northern Arizona University NCTM 2008 Annual Meeting & Exposition Salt Lake City,
Psychology 202b Advanced Psychological Statistics, II February 17, 2011.
Survival Analysis A Brief Introduction Survival Function, Hazard Function In many medical studies, the primary endpoint is time until an event.
Does a reduction in benefit payment duration increase employment? Evidence from the German “Hartz Reforms” ISEO Summer School 2012 Felix König - London.
17. Duration Modeling. Modeling Duration Time until retirement Time until business failure Time until exercise of a warranty Length of an unemployment.
Inference for regression - Simple linear regression
Flexicurity – seen from a traditional economist position ● Slides from Torben M. Andersen et.al
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 11 th Edition By Mark Hirschey.
Linear correlation and linear regression + summary of tests
Copyright © 2005 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Managerial Economics Thomas Maurice eighth edition Chapter 4.
Byron Gangnes Econ 427 lecture 3 slides. Byron Gangnes A scatterplot.
Warm-up Ch.11 Inference for Linear Regression Day 2 1. Which of the following are true statements? I. By the Law of Large Numbers, the mean of a random.
Roger B. Hammer Assistant Professor Department of Sociology Oregon State University Conducting Social Research Ordinary Least Squares Regression.
CORRELATION: Correlation analysis Correlation analysis is used to measure the strength of association (linear relationship) between two quantitative variables.
Probability. Hydrologic data series 1.Complete series Use all of the data. DateDepth (cm) 4/28/ /20/ /30/ /11/ /5/ /22/050.3.
Don’t yell Don’t argue and Have fun! Unit 7 Review JEOPARDY /
Economic and team performance data have different effects on different elements of ticket demand Unemployment is a strong predictor of attendance but not.
Business Statistics for Managerial Decision Making
Love does not come by demanding from others, but it is a self initiation. Survival Analysis.
1 “The Effects of Sociodemographic Factors on the Hazard of Dying Among Aged Chinese Males and Females” Dudley L. Poston, Jr. and Hosik Min Department.
9 March 2004ECON 130 (003) Spring University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa Department of Economics ECON 130 (003): Principles of Economics (Micro)
Practical Solutions Additional Regression techniques.
CO 2 Emissions and Income Inequality By Nicole Gruenewald, Stephan Klasen, Inmaculada Martínez- Zarzoso and Chris Muris Georg-August University of Göttingen.
A Comparison of Marking Levels in the Reviewed Majors.
DURATION ANALYSIS Eva Hromádková, Applied Econometrics JEM007, IES Lecture 9.
[Topic 11-Duration Models] 1/ Duration Modeling.
Marshall University School of Medicine Department of Biochemistry and Microbiology BMS 617 Lecture 16 : Summary Marshall University Genomics Core Facility.
From: Wages and Human Capital in the U.S. Finance Industry: 1909–2006*
Chapter 4: Basic Estimation Techniques
Chapter 4 Basic Estimation Techniques
Notes: Figure 2a shows the average absolute distance in the mean 0–100 score by non-News Corp. affiliated outlets between 20th Century Fox movies and ten.
Basic Estimation Techniques
ENM 310 Design of Experiments and Regression Analysis
From: Learning by Working in Big Cities
Active Learning Lecture Slides
From: Dynamic Dependence and Diversification in Corporate Credit*
Part Three. Data Analysis
1) A residual: a) is the amount of variation explained by the LSRL of y on x b) is how much an observed y-value differs from a predicted y-value c) predicts.
Theme 7 Correlation.
Basic Estimation Techniques
2-7 Curve Fitting with Linear Models Holt Algebra 2.
Migration and the Labour Market
Undergraduated Econometrics
Jump Processes and Trading Volume
Chapter Eleven: Taxes and Tax Policy.
Multiple Linear Regression
Figure 1 Subject phenotypes and most common genotype in subjects enrolled in THAOS in continental Western Europe. Data ... Figure 1 Subject phenotypes.
Indicator Variables Response: Highway MPG
EQUATION 4.1 Relationship Between One Dependent and One Independent Variable: Simple Regression Analysis.
Homework: pg. 119 #3,4; pg. 122 #6-8 3.) A. Judy’s bone density score is about one and a half standard deviations below the average score for all women.
Love does not come by demanding from others, but it is a self initiation. Survival Analysis.
Volume 87, Issue 3, Pages (March 2015)
E.F. Vonesh, J.J. Snyder, R.N. Foley, A.J. Collins 
Nina Brooks, MPP, Eran Bendavid, MD, Grant Miller, PhD 
Figure 2. Forest plot of multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression illustrating the impact of chemoradiation ... Figure 2. Forest plot of multivariable.
Presentation transcript:

Figure 1 Unemployment duration elasticity and labour market conditions and Evidence Rev Econ Stud. 2016;83(3):1092-1124. doi:10.1093/restud/rdw009 behalf of The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

Notes: Figure 4 shows the national unemployment rate and the annual average change in the log of the statutory maximum UI weekly benefit for each year between 1986 and 2000 (taking a simple average across states each year). The correlation between these two variables is 0.45. and Evidence Rev Econ Stud. 2016;83(3):1092-1124. doi:10.1093/restud/rdw009 behalf of The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

Notes:Figure 5 shows the within-state change in the log of the statutory maximum UI weekly benefit amount and the within-state change in the state unemployment rate. Each point reports an annual within-state change in the log of the maximum UI weekly benefit amount and the within-state change in unemployment rate, where both measures are residuals from a regression of the raw measure on year fixed effects. The sample is all within- state changes for all years between 1986 and 2000 for all states in the analysis sample. The solid line in Figure 5 shows the fitted values from an unweighted OLS regression. The correlation between these variables is 0.01. The unemployment rate comes from the Bureau of Labour Statistics, and the statutory maximum UI benefit levels come from the Department of Labour. and Evidence Rev Econ Stud. 2016;83(3):1092-1124. doi:10.1093/restud/rdw009 behalf of The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

and Evidence Figure 6 Survival curves under high unemployment rate Rev Econ Stud. 2016;83(3):1092-1124. doi:10.1093/restud/rdw009 behalf of The Review of Economic Studies Limited.

Notes: Data are individual-level unemployment spells from the 1985–2000 SIPP. In Figure 6, the sample includes spells in states with unemployment rates above the median across states in the year of spell; Figure 7 includes below-median unemployment rates defined similarly. Each figure plots (Kaplan–Meier) survival curves for two groups of individuals based on whether or not the Average UI weekly benefit amount in an individual's state is above or below the overall sample median. The survival curves are adjusted following Chetty (2008), which parametrically adjusts for a “seam effect” by fitting a Cox proportional hazard model with a seam dummy and then recovering the baseline hazard. and Evidence Rev Econ Stud. 2016;83(3):1092-1124. doi:10.1093/restud/rdw009 behalf of The Review of Economic Studies Limited.