Economy 2017. Strong or weak? https://lumeschannel.wordpress.com/2011/12/12/weak-and-strong-sustainability/ Craig James, Chief Economist, @CommSec, July.

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Presentation transcript:

Economy 2017. Strong or weak? https://lumeschannel.wordpress.com/2011/12/12/weak-and-strong-sustainability/ Craig James, Chief Economist, @CommSec, July 2017

Important Information This presentation has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. Before acting on the information in this seminar, you should consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 and a Participant of the ASX Group. Examples used in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only.

Overview Global growth lifts New US government Inflation still low Higher US rates Infrastructure Mixed housing markets Housing market landing

US: Lower taxes ahead? Growth with no inflation

China: Consumers to lead

Australia: The economy did what? Australia: World’s longest economic expansion

Concerned consumers; Buoyant business

Despite slower wages, still spending

Regional spotlight

Regional spotlight

Selected Regional Projects

Infrastructure Australia Source: Macromonitor

Home prices Home prices: Supply & demand, affordability

Rates & shares: Low inflation, yield, Trump

Currency: US interest rates, Trump tax plans

Radar Screen Trump Oil prices US Federal Reserve Home Prices Inflation Job market

Outlook 2017/18