A comparison of Japan and Switzerland

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Presentation transcript:

A comparison of Japan and Switzerland Fertility trends: A comparison of Japan and Switzerland Marion Burkimsher LaboDemo, University of Geneva

http://www.ipss.go.jp/p-info/e/PSJ2006.pdf

Similarities between Switzerland and Japan Wealthy, highly developed, very ‘organised’ societies Very high life expectancy Low to very low fertility levels High rates of childlessness at present time Low levels of extra-marital childbearing

Differences between Switzerland and Japan Arranged marriage very common in Japan, but falling: 63% in 1955, 7% in 1998. Lifetime singleness was rare, 2% High immigration and foreign population in Switzerland; very low in Japan Very homogeneous population in Japan; very diverse in Switzerland Co-residence with parents common in Japan (25% eldest sons in 1998)

Japan

Japan

Japan

Japan

Rural v. urban (and region) Primary determinants of marriage and childbearing in Switzerland from census data and longitudinal analysis of Swiss Panel data Cohort Religiosity Rural v. urban (and region) Level of education (high level = higher chance of childlessness) If had a sibling (affects childbearing more than marriage) 1, 3 and 4 confirmed in Japanese studies too - Retherford et al, 2001, Hirosima, 1995

Trends in attitudes reflect fertility trends in Japan Increase in proportion never-married is the main cause of fertility fall - why has this happened? Little change in attitude to religion Moderate trend towards individualism Major change in attitude to women’s status 1985-1995 Positive attitude to girls Enrolment of girls in higher education > boys by end 1980s In parallel with major change of attitudes to aged parents, whether women should marry, divorce, sexuality, etc. Atoh, 2001

References Atoh, Makoto. 2001. Very low fertility in Japan and value change hypotheses. Review of Population and Social Policy, No. 10, 1-21 Hirosima, Kiyoshi and Fusami Mita. 1995. Prefectural differentials in recent fertility. IPSS publication Jinkomon, Vol 50, no. 4, 29-30. Kojima, Hiroshi and Jean-Louis Rallu. 1998. Fertility in Japan and France. Population: an English selection, 10 (2), pp. 319-348 Retherford, Robert D., Naohiro Ogawa and Rikiya Matsukura. 2001. Late marriage and less marriage in Japan. Population and Development Review, 27 (1), 65-102.