Housing in an Ageing Society

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Presentation transcript:

Housing in an Ageing Society Kay Saville-Smith Bev James CRESA Public Policy & Research Presentation to Housing Stakeholders Nelson, 18 September 2017

What we will cover today Housing trends in Nelson and Tasman Research themes and findings: Housing that older people want The importance of repairs and maintenance The importance of resilient housing Downsizing – things to think about What does this mean for Nelson and Tasman What can housing stakeholders do Information and decision-support tools for making housing decisions

Good Homes Research Programmes Good Homes Ageing in Place Community Resilience and Good Ageing Finding the Best Fit: housing, downsizing and older people Life When Renting Supporting older people’s resilience in homes and communities Understanding older people’s experiences and points of view Multi-method, multi-disciplinary Evidence-based solutions

Housing trends in Nelson & Tasman Big Issues in housing: Declining home ownership More renting among older population Uncontrolled house prices Poor stock alignment Unaffordability owner occupation and unaffordable rentals Poor stock maintenance Poor resilience Low take-up of LifeMark Older people are affected by these Hard to down size Increased rates – this is largely house price driven Unaffordable rents Insecurity Poor housing conditions Inaccessible and dysfunctional dwellings Sever weather – Office of the Chief Science Advior

Declining Owner Occupation - NZ

Source: Natalie Jackson

Cohort Born 1962-66 (youngest ‘Boomers) Cohort Born 1942-46 (oldest ‘Boomers’) Leave parental home Main family formation years

High House Prices Don’t Always Help – Sale and Purchase Among Older Movers

Housing Stock Does not Accommodate Downsizing

House size & household size

Accommodation Supplement – A measure of Rental Unaffordability   Number aged 65+ Renting with AS Number aged 65+ Owner-occupier with AS Number aged 65+ Boarding with AS Total Renters receiving AS as % of all renters 65+ Nelson City 293 75 34 402 38% Tasman District 268 58 24 350 44% Marlborough District 361 73 25 459 45% NZ 26295 6744 3752 37446 40%   Number Renting with AS Number Owner-occupier with AS Number Boarding with AS Total Renters receiving AS as % of all renters 65+ Nelson City 293 75 34 402 38% Tasman District 268 58 24 350 44% Marlborough District 361 73 25 459 45% NZ 26295 6744 3752 37446 40% Source: 2013 census and MSD AS data 2016.

Older Renters Have Particular Needs

Older people Want Fit for Purpose Homes Most older people don’t want to move – Our downsizing research shows: 78% had not moved in recent past and had no intention of moving Those that move are looking for: Less house and section maintenance Cheaper house running costs Lifestyle improvement Health and mobility concerns Financial concerns Closer to services Closer to family or ‘back home’ National R&M survey n=1600.

Under maintained houses – not safe or comfortable Average value of older householder owner occupiers unmet repairs to bring to ‘new’ = $9,000 (2010/11) 34% reported problems with mould, damp, condensation 25% reported a slip or fall around home Deferral of repairs and maintenance due to expense, inconvenience, difficulties in obtaining trusted provider Unaddressed repairs and maintenance: Health risks Safety risks Premature move to aged residential care National R&M survey n=1600.

Older People need resilient homes A home resilient to adverse natural events: Protects the residents Minimises damage Minimises costs and time in recovery and repairing damage Older people a very vulnerable Physiologically Financially Older people a huge resource for communities preparing, responding to and recovering from adverse events – So homes need to be resilient

Downsizing has Pros and Cons Improved dwelling performance and condition Improved physical and mental health Releasing capital to deal with mortgage, debt Lower running costs Maintain or improve connections

The downsides of downsizing The Cons House prices Moving costs Unexpected costs Divesting possessions – both good and bad experiences Adjusting to new life, new environment Housing preferences are not met by the market Smaller size Close to services Accessible features

Equity release is not that simple The two main pathways are fraught with difficulty: Reverse equity lending Movement to a lower cost dwelling All sorts of shocks can de-rail things: Adverse natural events Adverse financial events – abuse, company collapse Leaky building syndrome High house prices do not inherently deliver opportunities for equity release

Capital Equity Release is Modest Substantial proportion of movers in the open market were left with a surplus of less than $50,000 Movers to retirement villages tend to: Face higher costs Face non-discretionary costs Were very much wealthier in the first place 550 older people community-based – 115 movers/435 stayers – Downsizing Survey 615 older people in retirement villages(RVs) – Downsizing Survey

Expectations and Realisations Ownership and License to Occupy

What does this mean for Nelson & Tasman? Increasing older population Probable decreasing aggregate population Nelson and Tasman dependent on older people’s well-being and productivity Declining home ownership, increasing renting Population vulnerability in adverse natural events Downsizing needs to be made real and positive

Fit for Purpose Housing in an Ageing Society House design is crucial – Lifemark, Homestar and resilience Diversifying the stock and tenure Affordability cannot be ignored Location is critical Resilience Independence Contribution – social and economic Public transport and compact settlement investment

Opportunities for better services Support services linked with housing Connecting across sectors – housing providers, home care services, transport, health services, addressing elder abuse and isolation Best practice information and tools for the provision of rental housing for older people Housing provider partnering – community sector and private property investors Developing naturally occurring retirement communities

Tools Based on Research Findings Older people want to be actively involved in decision-making about their home-related needs Home-related decisions are complex: Staying put or moving? Is this a vulnerable site? What are the financial implication of my choice? Could I manage here with some help? What are my future needs? Potential danger of jumping to the ‘solution’ before understanding the ‘problem’

Four Tools Good Homes – repairs and maintenance identification and solutions Resilient Homes – resilient dwelling design, materials and systems identification Selecting a Site for Your Home – residential site vulnerability identification My Home My Choices – home-related options identification and decision-support Solutions co-designed with older people and service providers