BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 The ‘Foresight Bridge’ Initiative The ForeTech Project 6 July 2004 Progress since Ioannina Patrick Crehan Crehan, Kusano & Associates Brussels, Belgium Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

Ioannina as part of a Foresight ‘Thread’ BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 Ioannina as part of a Foresight ‘Thread’ Irish Presidency Meeting in Dublin - 14 & 15 June – Sustainable Spatial Development The ‘Blueprints’ Initiative - AGRIBLUE – Sustainable Territorial Development Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 The Future of Rural Economies Change at EU level is being driven by … A general perception of the unsustainability of the Acquis Communautaire, Rapid progress with Accession, Reform of the CAP, WTO recognition of ‘multi-functionality’, Reform of the Structural Funds. This calls for a response at regional levels in terms of … A renewal of awareness and debate among policy makers on policy options, Greater involvement of stakeholders as ultimate agents of change, Shared visions of a European Model of Agriculture in EU25+, Shared visions of how RTD + Innovation Policy in the ERA can contribute to this, Alignment between policy for the ERA and the European Model of Agriculture, Consistency between the multi-functional view of agriculture and the way in which farmers are compensated for what they do. What role can foresight and related tools play? The role of the ‘Blueprint’ is to clarify this question! Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 Istanbul - Three Interlinked Themes 3% The Lisbon & Barcelona Objectives - 2010 Biotechnology Food Cheap, safe & healthy commodities Organics Nutraceuticals & Probiotics Agricultural produce Crops for fibers, energy & other economic inputs Abandonment Social, Environmental & Economic impacts (What happened to coal-mines, cotton mills and other industries is happening in rural areas right now) Multi-functionality A re-visioning of the nature of work in rural areas, and of the value that this creates for society as a whole (An explicit linking of agricultural activity with the sustainability of modern knowledge based economies) New, knowledge based, professional farming practice Options for the future Change Management! ... financing all of the above! The Gothenburg Objective - 2030 Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development The ‘Convergence’ Challenge 18/05/2018 This is the EU convergence Challenge! What role will the regions play? Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development The Evolving ‘Thread’ BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 Ioannina: Focus on abandonment and on the the interaction between economic, social and environmental issues triggered by changes in land usage ... Riga: A deeper exploration of issues in particular of the meaning of multi-functionality … Istanbul: The discovery of the convergence challenge … Dublin A ‘planners’ perspective, A vision of how ‘ministries’ can improve … AGRIBLUE Oldenburg Leveling up with detailed knowledge of the challenges faced by rural regions from regions of France, Finland, Poland, UK, Germany, Ireland, Hungary … Galway Discovery of the governance challenge, a maturity model for sustainable governance new forms of knowledge, and a schema for ‘sustainable territorial development’ … Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

‘Agriculture’ versus ‘Rural Economies’ BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 ‘Agriculture’ versus ‘Rural Economies’ A: The most salient feature of rural areas is LAND a limited natural resource with an economic, environmental and social role: B: Rural areas can be decomposed as follows into areas that are experiencing: 1: Intensification 2: Extensification 3: Abandonment of agricultural activity Patterns of land-usage change in time and are subject to sudden shocks brought about by major political & trade issues as well as drift due to demographic and life-style changes. C: It is highly unlikely that SUSTAINABILITY in economic, environmental and social terms can be achieved at all scales on the basis of conventional market mechanisms. Alternative mechanisms for economic redistribution of will be required to achieve sustainability. BALANCED and sustainable development will only be achieved on the basis of a knowledge based approach to the development of competitive knowledge driven rural economies. Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development The Blueprints Process 18/05/2018 - Brussels - Oldenburg - Galway Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development Foresight Schema for Sustainable Territorial Development BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development 18/05/2018 Barcelona 2010 Gothenburg 2030 Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

Foresight as a Knowledge Creating Process 3 Essential Inputs 3 Essential outputs Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development The Regional Governance Challenge 18/05/2018 … for a redistribution of resources that ensures the global sustainability of the system Flows of Knowledge … … for Knowledge-Driven Policy Flows of finance … Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'

BLUEPRINTS for Sustainable Territorial Development A ‘Maturity Model’ for the Governance of Rural Regions 18/05/2018 1) Addresses Immediate Needs Arising from the Impact of CAP Reform, Shock of Accession, Global Competition … 2) Manages longer term structural change processes Demographics, Diversification of rural economies, Development of appropriate Knowledge Infrastructures … 3) Establishes a governance of ‘renewal’ that recognizes universally accepted principles of sustainable development balances economic, social & environmental goals, supports renewal via self-organization, manages new ‘social’ contracts, ensures the production of knowledge for sustainable policy development Barcelona – 3% The Gothenburg Agenda ‘Sustainable’ Europe Foresight Bridge - Brussels - 6 July 2004 Patrick.Crehan@cka.be 'Agriblue'