Group differences in Party support

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Presentation transcript:

Group differences in Party support Oct 20, 2016

Early 20th Century Religion/ethnicity Region Economic issues Relation to urban/rural Region The “solid South” Economic issues Major division was within parties

New Deal Growing importance of social class White south remains Democratic Blacks begin shift towards Democrats Parties more distinct on economic issues

1960s-1970s Blacks become overwhelmingly Democratic Southern whites turn Republican Educated move towards Democrats Growing division by religiosity Rising importance of civil rights; appearance of “cultural issues”

More recent “Gender gap” Large difference by education in 2016 Traditional pattern Modern (after about 1980) pattern Large difference by education in 2016 Winners vs. losers in globalization? Specific features of the candidates? Implications of the two explanations