Omkar Specialty Chemicals

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Presentation transcript:

Omkar Specialty Chemicals A Micro Cap Spin-Off Situation Presentation By Girish Deshpande

Disclaimer The presentation is based on the data available at this point in time This is not a Buy Recommendation or Report. Objective is to present this case study to explain my investment process and share my learning I am NOT authorized or qualified to recommend stock investments I own this stock. That means I may be biased towards this stock. Always do your own due diligence before you invest in any stock. Micro cap stocks can be high risk - high reward kind and may not be for all

Investment Thesis in Nutshell Specialty Chemical and Veterinary API (Lasa Supergenerics) divisions Both businesses have strong tail winds for long term growth Spin off of Lasa will unlock considerable value due to higher valuation Momentum in Fundamentals visible – WC days, Margins, Growth, rating upgrade etc Reduction in debt and de-pledging may lead to rerating of stock

Omkar - Company At A Glance Develops and manufactures complex chemical molecules R&D driven (15 DMFs and 18 process patents filed and 3 granted) 80+ products. Export to 40+ countries 40% sales from repeat customers. Top 30% customers contribute < 30% sales Capacity of 5400 MT operational & 5300 MT capacity coming up this year 8 production facilities. 25 member DSIR approved R&D Lab Recent rating upgrade – From BB+ to BBB

Segment & Geographical Revenue Split – Q1FY17 Segment break - up Geographical break 11 Domestic % 90 Exports 10 Q1 FY17 FY16 Selenium Derivatives 6 Intermediates 38 API 31 Resolving Agents 2 Iodine Derivatives 23 3 27 35 Resolving Agents & Others 1 33

Company (Consolidated) Financials P&L Balance Sheet FY16 (Cr) Q1 FY17 (Cr) Q1 FY16 Sales 415 112.7 90.5 Sales Growth 56% 24.5% Ebidta 81 23.2 17.3 Ebidta Margin 19.6% 20.6% 19.1 NP 31 11 8.2 EPS 14.9 5.3 4 Cash from Ops 67 FY16 (Cr) Shareholder funds 195 LT Debt 115 ST Debt 113 Current Assets 272 Current Liabilities 279 Total Assets 583 WC days 117 YoY growth for NP for FY16 is 26% Receivable days – 84 days Pietroski F score – 7 FY17 NP ~ 44 to 45 FY 17 EPS ~ 22 to 24 Debt Ratios FY 16 EBIDTA/Interest 4.05 Total Debt/EBIDTA 2.81 Net Debt/Equity 1.1 Profitability ROIC 27% ROCE 24.7% ROE 15.7

Return On Invested Capital EBIT ROIC = ------------------------------------------------------------------- (Beg. Invested Cap + Ending Invested Cap) / 2 Where, Invested Capital = (Current Assets - Current Liabilities) + Fixed assets

Past Performance (Consolidated)

Lasa Supergenerics

Lasa Business Model Customer Products Financials Sector Sales Growth- 25%+ Gross Margin- 40 to 50% New molecules- Higher GM EBIDTA% - 25% (Normalized) ROIC – 35% ROCE- 25% WC Days- 45 Niche & Growing Sector Growth driver - Increased Protein intake Increased Sourcing from India Regulated – India FDA, TGA, EDQM, GMP Higher Quality expectation Pharma API, Feed Additives, Reagents etc 35+ products Sold to MNC Vet Pharma Cos Now Introducing Formulations And New high margin products 35% capacity utilized Top Vet Pharma Co customers Merk Novartis Medibios ChemiFine Holden Inc Stickiness– Repeat Biz Customer Products Financials Sector

Lasa – Key Financials P&L Balance Sheet FY16 Q1 FY17 Sales 136 32 (Cr) Q1 FY17 Sales 136 32 Sales Growth 91% Ebidta 25 14 Ebidta Margin 19% 19.72% Interest cost 3.5 1.74 NP 11.21 7.69 EPS 5.44 3.73 ROIC 38% ROCE 24% FY16 (Cr) Shareholder funds 30 LT Debt 45 (72) ST Debt 12 Current Liabilities 50 Current Assets 61 Fixed Assets 66 Total Assets 127 Asset Turnover 1.25 LT debt is going to be around 72 Cr in FY17. EPS FY 17 ~ 9.5

Competitive Situation of Lasa Sequent Scientific and LGL Fine key competitors Market domination in n few products Backward integration ensures good Gross Margin Enough Capacity available. No capex for next 2 years 35% capacity utilized. Operating leverage benefit Current capacity can support sales of Rs 350 Cr for next 2 years. Lasa has opportunity to exploit global market Formulations will need different sales & Marketing strategy

Vet API - Peer Comparison FY16 (Cr) Lasa Sequent Scientific NGL Fine Hester Biosciences Sales 136 634 96.29 101 Sales Growth 91% 36% 9% 12% Gross Margin 35 % 51% 57.6% 64% EBIDTA Margin 19% 11.60% 22.4% 34% NP 11.21 -22.1 11.39 19.2 ROIC 38% 4.8% 50.5% 25% Debt/EBIDTA 1.81* 3.66 0.6 1.13 Price/Sales - 5.37 2.35 6.34 EV/EBIDTA 48.83 10.84 20.02 *This is based on FY16 data made available by Omkar.

Strategic Plans For Lasa Backward and forward integration to ensure margins Grow formulations business. 15 dosage forms in next one year Formulations will need different sales strategy Opportunity in Export markets Innovation- At least 2 high margin molecules every year. Make Compliance with regulatory & customer standards into competitive strength LT debt payment in next 4 years

Specialty Chemicals Business Note- This entity will retain the name Omkar Specialty Chemicals Ltd post spin-off

Specialty Chemicals Business Model Sales Growth - 15 to 20% Gross Margin - 35% EBIDTA% - 16 to 19% (Normalized) Vertically Integrated New molecules - Higher GM ROIC – 30% ROCE- 20% WC Days – 130 or so Increasing Sourcing from India by MNCs Environmental regulations R&D and knowledge intensive Higher Quality WC intensive 68 Specialty Chemicals Sold for function. Not for chemical composition Iodine derivatives, Intermediates, Selenium derivatives, resolving agents Intermediates for Innovators Intermediates GM – 50% Top Pharma Cos Customers Top 5 customers: Mylan, API Solutions, SIEGFRIED GmbH, Netchem, Dr. Reddy’s 40% sales repeat business Export to 43 countries Customers Products Financials Sector

Source-Allied market research

Sp. Chemical – Key Financials P&L Balance Sheet FY16 (Cr) Q1 FY17 Sales 300 71 Sales growth 55% 9.2% Ebidta 45.3 12.3 Ebidta Margin 15.1 % 16.9 % Interest cost 16.5 4.6 NP 22.2 5.6 EPS 10.8 2.7 ROIC 26% ROCE 12% FY16 (Cr) Shareholder Funds 181.4 LT Debt 79 ST Debt 95.5 Current Assets 215.7 Current Liabilities 175.6 Total Assets 320 Asset Turnover 0.72 EPS FY 17 ~ 12

Competitive Situation of Sp. Chemicals China is not a Threat to Omkar No competition for Advanced Intermediates, Selenium and resolving agents products in India Large customer base. No dependence on few Some barrier to entry – Knowledge intensive and research driven. Experience matters. Takes long time to gain trust & Approvals from Customers Some customer captivity – Omkar in DFMs Vertical Integration right after petrochemicals stage ensures efficiency, quality and profitability

Strategic Plans for Specialty Chemicals Backward integration yielding results Rising share of intermediates- High GM products New high margin molecules- 15 DMFs filed. Innovation to improve process efficiency - process patents filed Outsourcing to avoid capex and improve ROIC Improve WC days- Brought down from 200+ days in FY15 to 130-140 in FY16 Grow exports - Low interest loans, Import hedge, Better terms LT Debt repayment in next 4 years Current export is 16% total sales as of Q1 FY17

Sp. Chemicals - Peer Comparison FY16 Data (Cr) Omkar (Sp Chem Only) Navin Fluorine Aarti Drugs Sales 283 661 1166 Sales Growth 38% 15% -0.32% Gross Margin 35% 54% 33% EBIDTA Margin 16-19% 21.3% 14.72 % NP 22.21 86.5 66.28 ROIC 22-25% 26.7% 18 % Debt/EBIDTA 3 0.21 2.52 Price/Sales - 3.55 1.03 EV/EBIDTA 19.16 9.32

Key Risks to investment thesis Debt reduction as planned WC cycle in chemicals biz De-pledging as promised Interest cost Increased competition for Lasa Competing in global market Formulations sales & marketing different than API Vet API – FDA Regulatory risk Sp. Chemicals - environmental regulations Stringent Customer audits Raw material price rise Key raw material iodine imported Management depth & process maturity to scale up the business Operational Regulatory Financial Competitive

Key Management Personnel CMD - Mr. Pravin Herlekar CFO - Mr. Pravin Agrawal Director- Mr. Omkar Herlekar

So In Nutshell LASA Specialty Chemicals Spin off of Lasa will unlock value due to higher valuation Lasa is high profit, high growth, high FCF business Formulations will improve margins & Growth further Enough capacity to grow Marquee customers & repeat business. Good Export potential Sp. Chemicals business will grow @15-20% in next 2-3 years New molecules will improve GM WC issues coming under control. Marquee customers. No competition in many intermediates & selenium derivatives Specific time bound plan to repay debt in 4 years 100% De-pledging by Nov 2016

Thank You