Section 4.3 Day 3.

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Presentation transcript:

Section 4.3 Day 3

Factors and Levels Factor: explanatory variable, usually categorical, in a randomized experiment or observational study

Factors and Levels Factor: explanatory variable, usually categorical, in a randomized experiment or observational study Level: one of the values or categories making up a factor

Factors and Levels

Factors and Levels

Factors and Levels

Factors and Levels Levels

Combinations of levels are the ?

Treatments

If you only have one factor, then the levels and treatments are the same things.

For next example, identify: a) factors b) levels c) treatments d) experimental units e) response variable

A botanist was interested in determining the effects of scheduled watering (three days a week or daily) and the use of fertilizer (no fertilizer, traditional, or organic) in hopes of increasing the heat rating of jalapeño peppers. The botanist conducted his own experiment, assigning each combination of watering schedule and type of fertilizer to three plots at each of four chosen locations that had similar soil and full sun. The average final heat rating for each plot was then recorded at the end of the growing season.

For next example, identify: a) factors b) levels c) treatments d) experimental units e) response variable

A botanist was interested in determining the effects of scheduled watering (three days a week or daily) and the use of fertilizer (no fertilizer, traditional, or organic) in hopes of increasing the heat rating of jalapeño peppers. The botanist conducted his own experiment, assigning each combination of watering schedule and type of fertilizer to three plots at each of four chosen locations that had similar soil and full sun. The average final heat rating for each plot was then recorded at the end of the growing season.

For next example, identify: a) factors b) levels c) treatments d) experimental units e) response variable

A botanist was interested in determining the effects of scheduled watering (three days a week or daily) and the use of fertilizer (no fertilizer, traditional, or organic) in hopes of increasing the heat rating of jalapeño peppers. The botanist conducted his own experiment, assigning each combination of watering schedule and type of fertilizer to three plots at each of four chosen locations that had similar soil and full sun. The average final heat rating for each plot was then recorded at the end of the growing season.

For next example, identify: a) factors b) levels c) treatments d) experimental units e) response variable

Treatments

For next example, identify: a) factors b) levels c) treatments d) experimental units e) response variable

A botanist was interested in determining the effects of scheduled watering (three days a week or daily) and the use of fertilizer (no fertilizer, traditional, or organic) in hopes of increasing the heat rating of jalapeño peppers. The botanist conducted his own experiment, assigning each combination of watering schedule and type of fertilizer to three plots at each of four chosen locations that had similar soil and full sun. The average final heat rating for each plot was then recorded at the end of the growing season.

Experimental units are the 72 plots (assigning each combination of watering schedule and type of fertilizer to three plots at each of four chosen locations) 6(3)(4) = 72

For next example, identify: a) factors b) levels c) treatments d) experimental units e) response variable

A botanist was interested in determining the effects of scheduled watering (three days a week or daily) and the use of fertilizer (no fertilizer, traditional, or organic) in hopes of increasing the heat rating of jalapeño peppers. The botanist conducted his own experiment, assigning each combination of watering schedule and type of fertilizer to three plots at each of four chosen locations that had similar soil and full sun. The average final heat rating for each plot was then recorded at the end of the growing season.

Designing Experiments to Reduce Variability Section 4.4 Designing Experiments to Reduce Variability

Why do we perform experiments?

To establish cause and effect. Why do we perform experiments? To establish cause and effect.

What is the fundamental principle of good design for experiments?

Random assignment of treatments to experimental units What is the fundamental principle of good design for experiments? Random assignment of treatments to experimental units

Two Types of Variability

Two Types of Variability 1) Between-treatment difference: we want this one because it reveals differences between treatments --which treatment actually is better

Two Types of Variability 1) Between-treatment difference: we want this one because it reveals differences between treatments 2) Within-treatment variability: we do not want this one because it obscures differences between treatments

Treatment Made Difference?

Between-treatment difference Probably yes. All results for short days are higher than for any long day.

Treatment Made Difference?

Treatment Made Difference? Not so certain here.

Within-treatment variability

In order to conclude treatments make a difference, the difference between treatments has to be large enough to overshadow the variation within each treatment.

In order to conclude treatments make a difference, the difference between treatments has to be large enough to overshadow the variation within each treatment. We want a large mean difference and a low variability.

In order to conclude treatments make a difference, the difference between treatments has to be large enough to overshadow the variation within each treatment. We want a large mean difference and a low variability. If the mean difference is near zero, the treatments did not make a difference.

3 Basic Designs for Experiment 1) Completely Randomized Design 2) Randomized Paired Comparison Design 3) Randomized Block Design

Completely Randomized Design Treatments randomly assigned to units without restriction Treatment groups should be about equal in size

Randomized Paired Comparison Design 1) using matched pairs: pairs of similar units are randomly assigned different treatments

Randomized Paired Comparison Design 1) using matched pairs: pairs of similar units are randomly assigned different treatments 2) using repeated measures: each treatment is assigned in random order to each unit

Blocking Process of setting up an experiment by dividing the units into groups (blocks) of similar units and then assigning treatments at random within each block What does blocking help control in the experiment?

Blocking Process of setting up an experiment by dividing the units into groups (blocks) of similar units and then assigning treatments at random within each block Blocking used primarily to reduce the within-treatment variation

Blocking

Which of the three designs do you think is least suitable? What makes this design less effective than the other two designs?

Which of the three designs do you think is least suitable? Completely randomized design is the least suitable. What makes this design less effective than the other two designs?

Which of the three designs do you think is least suitable? Completely randomized design is the least suitable. What makes this design less effective than the other two designs? All of the individual variability remains as nothing is done to reduce the within-treatment variation.

Page 274, P29

Page 274, P29 a. randomized paired comparison with repeated measures

Page 274, P29 b. randomized paired comparison with matched pairs

Page 274, P29 c. randomized paired comparison with matched pairs because there may be a residual effect of one or both of the drugs—that is, the drug does not clear out of the bloodstream in the time allowed between treatments

Blocking in an experimental design is used primarily to A.eliminate the need for random assignment B.reduce confounding C.reduce the within-treatment variation D.eliminate the need for replication E.reduce the between-treatment variation

Blocking in an experimental design is used primarily to A.eliminate the need for random assignment B.reduce confounding C.reduce the within-treatment variation D.eliminate the need for replication E.reduce the between-treatment variation

The three components of a well-designed experiment are A. comparison, randomization, and double- blindness B. comparison, randomization, and replication C. comparison, replication, and simple random sampling D. randomization, replication, and homogeneity E. comparison, randomization, and homogeneity

The three components of a well-designed experiment are A. comparison, randomization, and double- blindness B. comparison, randomization, and replication C. comparison, replication, and simple random sampling D. randomization, replication, and homogeneity E. comparison, randomization, and homogeneity

When the effects of two variables on a response variable cannot be distinguished from each other, the variables are said to be A. biased B. blocked C. confounded D. stratified E. outliers

When the effects of two variables on a response variable cannot be distinguished from each other, the variables are said to be A. biased B. blocked C. confounded D. stratified E. outliers

What is the main difference between an observational study and an experimental study?

What is the main difference between an observational study and an experimental study? In an experiment, treatments are randomly assigned to the subjects under study. In an observational study, the conditions of interest (treatments) are already built in to the subjects.

Page 276, E33

Page 276, E33 The modified SAT study is a completely randomized design, where each student is randomly assigned to one of two groups, one group for each treatment.

Page 276, E33 The modified SAT study is a completely randomized design, where each student is randomly assigned to one of two groups, one group for each treatment. Experimental units: high school students who want to take the special course

Page 276, E33 Factor and levels: The only factor is course taking behavior, and the levels are course or no course

Page 276, E33 Factor and levels: The only factor is course taking behavior, and the levels are course or no course Treatments: course or no course (control) Only one factor so levels and treatments ar the same

Page 276, E33 Factor and levels: The only factor is course taking behavior, and the levels are course or no course Treatments: course or no course (control) Response variable: SAT score

Page 276, E33 Factor and levels: The only factor is course taking behavior, and the levels are course or no course Treatments: course or no course (control) Response variable: SAT score Blocks: none

Questions? Read through Activity 4.4a on pages 264- 265 before class tomorrow