2525 Space Research Building (North Campus) Climate Change: An Inter-disciplinary Approach to Problem Solving (CLIMATE 480 // NRE 480) Richard B. Rood Cell: 301-526-8572 2525 Space Research Building (North Campus) rbrood@umich.edu http://clasp.engin.umich.edu/people/rbrood Winter 2016 Class 1, January 7, 2016 Syllabus: Introduction: Course Outline; Student Backgrounds; Introduction to a Warming Planet

Class Information and News Ctools site: CLIMATE_480_001_W16 Record of course Rood’s Class MediaWiki Site http://climateknowledge.org/classes/index.php/Climate_Change:_The_Move_to_Action

Today Course Description Overview Who are we? Some Questions and Discussion Glimpse in the Climate Change Problem

From Course Description This is not a math-oriented course Identify the important elements of science, policy, economics, public health, etc. Where should we pay attention? What do we know versus what do we believe? Identify and map the interactions between these elements and connections to other external elements How big is the problem? How is all of this changing?

Readings, Class Participation, Response Readings and Participation I (and possible guest lecturers) will assign small “reading” requirements Response questions and polls in Ctools “Readings” Papers Descriptions of key figures Lectures

Focus / Project This year we are going to think about the results of the Conference of the Parties in Paris, COP 21 What are the challenges of meeting the goals of COP 21? Scenarios of what the world will look like in 30 to 50 years How do these scenarios help us plan

Series of lectures and introduction to climate science. Course strategy Series of lectures and introduction to climate science. Break into groups focused on different subject areas, e.g. energy, sea level rise, agriculture, health, waste management, etc. Readings/lectures that provide entre into the field will be assigned, but groups will take on learning and introducing these subjects to the class Focus on the use of scientific knowledge in planning and decision making

Who Am I? Richard (Ricky) Rood, Department Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering (CLaSP) with an appointment in Natural Resources and Environment Current research – improving the use of knowledge about climate change in policy and planning Advisor CLaSP Masters of Engineering in Applied Climate and undergraduate degree in Climate Impacts Engineering Wunderground.com “expert” blogger Teaching this course for the tenth time. Teaching, overseeing projects in several other courses

Who are we? Name: Major or Interest: Any course or background expertise that you think might be important for this course Any particular reason you wanted to take this course Where do you get your news?

James Apfel, Mechanical, Vahid Arefi, Mechanical, Phoebe Aron, Earth and environmental science, Jason Bohrer, computer science, Erika Fluehr, SNRE, history, Dean Fogarasi, SNRE, atmospheric science, Hayden Hedman Samuel Jagodzinski, Chemical Engineering,

Ishi Keenum – CEE - Nurie Kim – CEE - Erik Kostrzewa – CLaSP, Met, Pratik Lakhani, CEE, El Nino interest, Ashley Lucier, PiTE, Jack Magri, CEE, Ben Mallernee, CLaSP, Climate, Kelly McDonald, Cognitive Science,

John Mirandette, International Studies, sustainability, Sarah Paleg Jasmine Sholapurwalla, IOE, PiTE, Jayson Toweh, PiTE, Nathan Wallace, Chem Engineer, PiTE, emission reduction, Trevor, IOP Wen Juan, Visiting Scholar,

Let’s see if we will talk Some questions for motivation: Is there anything in the recent news that alerts you to climate change as an important issue? When some one asks you about global warming, or you hear about global warming, what is your first reaction? Do you think that the planet is warming? Is this warming consequential? Is this warming manmade? Can we do something about it? Are we cooked?

End of 2016 1st Class

The motivator: Increase of CO2 (Keeling et al., 1996)

Climate Change Relationships Consumption // Population // Energy ENERGY CLIMATE CHANGE POPULATION SOCIETAL SUCCESS CONSUMPTION

Projected Global Temperature Trends 2071-2100 temperatures relative to 1961-1990. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios Storyline B2 (middle of the road warming). IPCC ‘01

IPCC 2007: The last ~100 years Figure SPM.3. Observed changes in (a) global average surface temperature, (b) global average sea level from tide gauge (blue) and satellite (red) data and (c) Northern Hemisphere snow cover for March-April. All changes are relative to corresponding averages for the period 1961–1990. Smoothed curves represent decadal average values while circles show yearly values. The shaded areas are the uncertainty intervals estimated from a comprehensive analysis of known uncertainties (a and b) and from the time series (c). {FAQ 3.1, Figure 1, Figure 4.2, Figure 5.13}

What parameters/events do we care about? Temperature Water Precipitation Evaporation Humidity Air Composition Air quality Aerosols Carbon dioxide Winds Clouds / Sunlight Droughts Floods Extreme Weather The impact of climate change is Water for Ecosystems Water for People Water for Energy Water for Physical Climate

Thanks