Come judgment day $ $ $

Scenario 1. Full funding: Still work to be done Finalize where CARMA contributes to monitoring of reference herds in respect to collection, handling, analysis of samples Finalize contribution to extensive herd monitoring Finalize “targeted” communities/co-management boards Develop CARMA-specific data management system Develop remote sensing linkages and strategy to best meet CARMA needs Develop integration and comparative analysis tools Develop decision support tools Coordinate CARMA related activities Develop communication and curriculum products

Scenario 2 – Reduced funding: Maintaining project activities Reduce # herds considered Reduce # reference herds Just do extensive herds Just do reference herds Reduce # indicators for extensive herds Reduce # indicators for reference herds Reduce # community/co-management partners Seek more “at home” analysis of samples Rely more on data management partners Rely on CBMP for remote sensing products (and thus the data management of r. s. products)

Scenario 3. Greatly reduced funding: Change scope of project Focus on CARMA value-added activities Monitoring is responsibility of agencies CARMA simply coordinates the CARMA “mission” Coordinate CARMA activities (meetings, website) Remote sensing products available Conduct retrospective analysis Develop and provide protocols Develop and maintain data management Develop decision support tools Facilitate comparative analysis

“Reference” versus “Extensive” What are current parasite loads in the Leaf River Herd? How do parasite loads relate to spring habitat conditions? Are there regional/circumpolar differences in parasite loads? What is the functional response between body condition and parasite loads? Where are there a strongest functional response between parasite loads and body condition and why? What is the role of parasites in the productivity of circumpolar wild Rangifer populations? Which populations are most vulnerable to future climate change due to the functional response between parasites and weather and parasites and herd productivity?

Criteria for reference herd selection Agency “support” Active research and monitoring program in place or planned Good retrospective data base Contributes to heterogeneity Population increasing/declining Density high/low Climate warming/cooling Predator rich/predator free Strong co-management/weak co-management Development heavy/light

Review of Current Reference Herds Agency support Trend Density Climate Pred Co-manage-ment Develop-ment WAH ? Yes M I H W Y S L TLK H(P) PCH D Blu-W Bat Bev S(bc) GRH C LRH P Aki N Kang Tai   Lena Active Historical