PROBLEM SOLVING MODULE

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Presentation transcript:

PROBLEM SOLVING MODULE TIME MANAGEMENT DECISION ANALYSIS PROBLEM SOLVING TOOLS PROBLEM SOLVING CONFLICT RESOLUTION 2-1 1-1

Decision Analysis 2-2

PITFALLS 1. WE CONSIDER POSSIBLE CHOICES BEFORE CLARIFYING WHAT WE HOPE TO ACHIEVE. 2. WE FOCUS ON OUR FAVORITE ALTERNATIVE. 3. WE IGNORE THE CONSEQUENCES OF A CHOICE. 4. WE BASE THE DECISION ON INADEQUATE INFORMATION. 2-3 2-3

ENHANCES GOAL ACCOMPLISHMENT. EO: (A) DECISION ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES TO MAKE AN INFORMED DECISION THAT’S EFFECTIVE AND EFFICIENT. (C) AN EFFECTIVE DECISION STATEMENT ... (C) EFFECTIVE ESTABLISHMENT OF OBJECTIVES ... (C) EFFECTIVE CLASSIFICATION OF OBJECTIVES ... (C) EFFECTIVE GENERATION OF ALTERNATIVES ... (C) EFFECTIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES ... ENHANCES GOAL ACCOMPLISHMENT. 2-4 2-4

DECISION ANALYSIS 6. Decision Analysis 5. Evaluate 4. Generate Alternatives 4. Generate Alternatives 3. Classify Objectives 2. Establish Objectives 1. Decision Statement 2-5 2-5

DECISION ANALYSIS 1. Decision Statement - Purpose - Level Decision 2-6 2. Establish Objectives 3. Classify 4. Generate Alternatives 5. Evaluate Decision Analysis 1. Decision Statement - Purpose - Level 2-6

DECISION ANALYSIS 2. Establish Objectives - Specific Measures Statement 3. Classify Objectives Into MUSTS/WANTS. 4. Generate Alternatives 5. Evaluate Decision Analysis 2. Establish Objectives - Specific Measures - Clear Measures 2-7 2-7

DECISION ANALYSIS 3. Classify Objectives - MUSTS - WANTS Decision Statement 2. Establish Objectives 4. Generate Alternatives 5. Evaluate Decision Analysis 3. Classify Objectives - MUSTS - WANTS 2-8 2-8

DECISION ANALYSIS 4. Generate Alternatives - Number - Range Decision 2-9 1. Decision Statement 2. Establish Objectives 3. Classify 5. Evaluate Alternatives Decision Analysis 4. Generate Alternatives - Number - Range 2-9

DECISION ANALYSIS 5. Evaluate Alternatives - Evaluate MUSTS Statement 2. Establish Objectives 3. Classify 4. Generate Alternatives Decision Analysis 5. Evaluate Alternatives - Evaluate MUSTS - Weigh WANTS - Tentative Choice - Adverse Consequences 2-10 2-10

ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES - CONSIDER THE ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES IN RELATION TO THE PROBABILITY AND SERIOUSNESS OF THE CONSEQUENCE OCCURING. - EVALUATE IN TERMS OF “WILL IT HAPPEN?” AND “HOW SERIOUS IS THE IMPACT IF IT DOES HAPPEN?” 2-11

DECISION ANALYSIS 5. Evaluate 4. Generate Alternatives Alternatives 3. Classify Objectives 2. Establish Objectives 1. Decision Statement 2-12 2-12

PRACTICE EXERCISE 2-13 2-13

ENHANCES GOAL ACCOMPLISHMENT. EO: (A) DECISION ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES TO MAKE AN INFORMED DECISION THAT’S EFFECTIVE AND EFFICIENT. (C) AN EFFECTIVE DECISION STATEMENT ... (C) EFFECTIVE ESTABLISHMENT OF OBJECTIVES ... (C) EFFECTIVE CLASSIFICATION OF OBJECTIVES ... (C) EFFECTIVE GENERATION OF ALTERNATIVES ... (C) EFFECTIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES ... ENHANCES GOAL ACCOMPLISHMENT. 2-14 2-14