Performance-Based Planning: Increasing Transparency & Understanding in Decision Making 2016 AMPO Annual Conference Maria Roell Atlanta Regional Commission

Outline Background ARC’s Project Evaluation Objectives Big Data Challenges and Solutions Modelling Individual Projects in VISUM Criteria for The Atlanta Region’s Plan Project Evaluation Visualization Future Project Evaluation & SHRP2

Background 20 Counties Population: 5 Million 726 Projects 340 Programmed 114 Long Range 272 Aspirations

ARC’s Project Evaluation Objectives Understand need and performance separately Find individual projects’ significance Consider timing of projects Bring comprehensive dataset to public and decision makers

Big Data Challenges Solutions Choosing a provider Cost Collection Methodologies Different Networks/Coverage Solutions Try to fill current data gaps Set aside time to analyze

Isolated Data Sources Model RTP ASTRO RTN CRASH NHS/ NPMRDS GASTARS, TMC NAVTEQ & INRIX

Example of Uncombined Data

Combined All Data 2015 Key Network Model RTP ASTRoMaP CRASH RTN COUNT NAVTEQ NHS TMC 2015 Key Network Now able to analyze all data at project level

Data Sources and Networks Project Data Estimated Real World Data Project ID Project Cost Model Crashes NAVTEQ & INRIX Equity Other Resources B/C Volume, VMT, VHT, Accessibility Crash Rate TTI ETA RTN ASTRO NHS Separate Networks Model Network 2015 Key Network

Modelling Individual Projects Which projects to run 163 out of 726 Limited to capacity projects using Federal funding VISUM Macroscopic & Mesoscopic Capacity & Operational projects Can be converted to Microscopic (VISSIM) User interface Easy to edit network and manage scenarios Running time less < 1hr Each project run for 2015 and 2040 File size 8GB Flow Bundle Analysis Percent volumes to and from all activity centers automatically Compatible with GIS and Excel

Criteria for The Atlanta Region’s Plan Need Metrics- Current Variable Measure Calculation Source Congestion Travel Time Index Avg. TTI by Project NAVTEQ and INRIX Accessibility Percent Volume Flow Bundle Analysis VISUM Safety Crash Rate Crash Rate/ Avg Crash Rate By Facility Type CARE Air Quality Particulate Matter Avg. Level of PM by Project AREES Reliability Buffer Index 95th Percentile Avg Travel Time Equity Equitable Target Area Inside or Outside ETA Index Freight Truck Network On or Off Network ASTRoMaP Performance Metrics- Future Variable Measure Calculation Congestion Vehicle Hours Delay VHD Project Build (PB)-VHD No Build (NB) Accessibility Percent Volume PB-NB Freight Truck VMT Air Quality Particulate Matter PM kg/year 2040 PB-NB Deliverability Environmental Impacts Avg. Number of Environmental Obstacles Impact Volume/Mile Categorized

Benefit Cost, Need & Performance Cost of Project Change in emissions Change in congestion Need and Performance Each measure indexed Each measure weighted to reflect region’s policies and goals

Visualization Decision Makers Public Graphics help understand differences Between need and performance Between projects Can focus on what is most important to them By customizing chart Public Increased transparency of public spending Can look for projects in their area

Visualization

Summary Understand need and performance separately Kept observed data & modeled data separate Used interactive graphs Find individual projects’ significance Each project run separately Consider timing of projects Projects run through multiple years Bring comprehensive dataset to public and decision makers Created interactive visualization

Strategic Highway Research Program 2 (SHRP2) TIP Prioritization Taskforce County Planners, Non-Profits, Consultants, State Planners April – September Small working groups Each Key Decision Point and Metric Process ongoing

New Project Evaluation Process Universal TIP Project Call Policy Filter (KDP 1) Performance Evaluation (KDP 2) Projects Prioritized by Type CMAQ TAP STP Qualitative Evaluation (KDP 3) Consolidate all programs into a universal process No min or max funding levels Funding distribution evaluated using RTP distribution GDOT projects that are federal funded should be evaluated

Performance Evaluation Criteria World Class Infrastructure Healthy Livable Communities Competitive Economy Mobility/Congestion Safety Freight Supportive Reliability Air Quality & Climate Change Employment Accessibility Network Connectivity Cultural & Environmental Sensitivity Multimodalism Social Equity Asset Mgt. & Resiliency Land Use Compatibility Each criteria calculated for every mode, using different data and calculations

Projects Ranked by Type Transit Transit 1 Transit 2 Transit 3 Trail Trail 1 Trail 2 Trail 3 Roadway Roadway 1 Roadway 2 Roadway 3

Project Recommendations MAP-21 National Goals Safety Infrastructure Condition Congestion Reduction System Reliability Freight Movement & Economic Vitality Environmental Sustainability Reduced Project Delivery Delays

Thank you! Maria Roell- MRoell@atlantaregional.com Project Evaluation Visualization http://atlregional.github.io/proj-eval/#