WHO ARE THE VOTERS IN ALACHUA COUNTY AND WHAT PART OF THE COMMUNITY DO THEY REPRESENT? Presented By Team 2 – Ursula Garfield, Leanna Woods, Melissa Lail,

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Presentation transcript:

WHO ARE THE VOTERS IN ALACHUA COUNTY AND WHAT PART OF THE COMMUNITY DO THEY REPRESENT? Presented By Team 2 – Ursula Garfield, Leanna Woods, Melissa Lail, Chris Baran, Mike Roblin

Flowchart of Team 2 GIS Analysis

Data Sets Blocks by Precincts 2004 (URP data set) Census Block 2000 (US Census Bureau) Median Household income by Census Block 2000 (US Census Bureau, SF3 summery file provided by Alachua County) Registered Voters and Voters in the 2004 Election by Precinct (Alachua County Elections Office)

Blocks by Precinct 2004 Census Blocks 2000 Join Median Income By census blocks 2000 Precincts by Census Blocks Join

Census data and Income by Precinct Dissolve by Precinct, edit precinct # to 2 digit, Dissolve again Voters Voted Income by Precinct Join

to calculate Demographics Income, Voters, Ages, Race data set Duplicate data set to calculate Demographics Voters Voted Age Race Gender Income Add field to Calculate % Demographic by Precinct

data to specify largest % Races by Precinct % Gender by Precinct % Ages by Precinct % income By Precinct Add field and edit data to specify largest group in each precinct Largest Race group by Precinct Largest Gender group by Precinct Largest Age group by Precinct Voters Voted Overlay Final maps

Final Maps Map by Precinct of High voter turnout (>= 47%)AND high income (>= $32,000), High voter turnout AND low income (< $32,000) Low voter turnout (< 47%) AND high income Low voter turnout AND low income

Final Maps 3. Map by precinct of largest race group and voter turnout 2. Map by precinct of largest gender group and voter turnout 3. Map by precinct of largest race group and voter turnout 4. Map by precinct of largest age group and voter turnout

Demographic Map of Alachua County Showing Largest Age Group by Precinct and Percent Voting

Ages of Voters by Precinct in Gainesville

18 to 29 year olds tend to be of greatest number around University of Florida

Older on the Outside, Younger on the Inside

High Springs Waldo Newberry Districts are drawn in order to maintain an equal representation on the basis of population Micanopy

Summary Points on Age Distribution Across Alachua County and Percent of Registered Voters that Voted in November 2004 Election • Precincts surrounding the University of Florida are dominated by a population 18 to 29 years of age Those two precincts with the smallest percent of registered voter turnout (30 – 36 %) had a dominate population of 18 to 29 years and were primarily located in South Gainesville Those precincts with the highest voter turnout (58 – 60%) surrounded Newberry and Micanopy and were outside of Gainesville, High Springs, and Waldo The age groups that had the highest percent of registered voter turnout were 40 to 49 and 50 to 64 years of age

Demographic Map of Alachua County Precincts by Gender and Percent Voter Turnout

Gender Summary We tried to analyze who’s voting based on gender, but the proportions of males and females ended up being statistically equal in all blocks. Based on the voting and census data that we have, we were unable to conclude significant differences of voting between males and females in Alachua County.

Income of Voters by Precinct

Summary of Income In this map we have tried to determine if having a higher income and education level correlated with a high percentage of voters voting by precinct. The precincts highlighted in blue represent high income level and high voter turnout (30 precincts). The precincts highlighted in red represent low income level and high voter turnout (13 precincts). Yellow corresponds to low income and low turnout (22 precincts), and Black indicates high income and low voter turnout (4 precincts).

Income cont. Thru this data we can see that our initial assumption was approximately correct. With the exception of 4 precincts that were Black, the high income college educated voters were the majority of voters in Alachua county. The next highest number of precincts on this map was the low income low voter turnout. This shows with some certainty that the people making the decisions in Alachua county are the voters with higher income and higher education levels.

Demographic Map of Alachua County Precinct by Dominant Race and Percent Voter Turnout

Race of Voters by Precinct

Summary of Voter Turnout Based on Race Most of Alachua county is predominantly white. Areas with a high black population are located in east Gainesville. Precincts with a high population of white voters had a wide range of voter turnout, from 30-60%. Precincts with a high black population had low voter turnout 36-46%. With the exception of north Gainesville the precincts within the city limits had a lower turnout than in the surrounding areas.