Real-time Flood Forecasting in China Using TOPKAPI

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

FLOOD FORECASTING IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA TRAINING WORKSHOP ON FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT September 27 – October , Istanbul, TURKEY FLOOD FORECASTING.

Advertisements

4 th International Symposium on Flood Defence Generation of Severe Flood Scenarios by Stochastic Rainfall in Combination with a Rainfall Runoff Model U.

Hydrological Modeling for Upper Chao Phraya Basin Using HEC-HMS UNDP/ADAPT Asia-Pacific First Regional Training Workshop Assessing Costs and Benefits of.

Lucinda Mileham, Dr Richard Taylor, Dr Martin Todd

Rudolph Williams Jr. Hydrologist Hydrology Unit National Meteorological Service - Belize LIMA Water Cycle Capacity Building Workshop November 30 – December.

Flood Forecasting System for Changjiang River Yan Huang Bureau of Hydrology Changjiang Water Resources Commission China 8 Dec, 2009 Geneva, WMO 长江 Changjiang.

IPCC Projection (AR 4, 2007) The annual mean rainfall exhibits increasing trends in Bangladesh. Decadal rain anomalies are above long term averages since.

GISP Meeting November 2003,Khon Kaen Thailand Country Report Climate and Flood Pattern in Lao P.D.R By Khanmany KhounPhonh Head of Technical Division.

Eduardo Mondlane UniversityInstitute for Water Resource, Rhodes University PhD Proposal-Progress Agostinho Vilanculos Supervisors: - Prof. Denis Hughes.

For the lack of ground data the verification of the TRMM performance could not be checked for the entire catchments, however it has been tested over Bangladesh.

CARPE DIEM Centre for Water Resources Research NUID-UCD Contribution to Area-3 Dusseldorf meeting 26th to 28th May 2003.

Contents Interpolated Rainfall :« simple to complexe » methods

EARS Satellite data for Climate Water and Food Meteosat Flow Forecasting and Drought Monitoring Mark de Weerd, MSc. EARS Earth Environment Monitoring BV.

Rainfall Interpolation Methods Evaluation Alejandra Rojas, Ph.D. Student Dept. of Civil Engineering, UPRM Eric Harmsen, Associate Prof. Dept. of Ag. and.

Satellite precipitation estimates and the CAFFG system By Rosario Alfaro.

August 20th, CONTENT 1. Introduction 2. Data and Characteristics 3. Flood analysis 1. MOUSE 2. SOBEK 3. ARC-SWAT 4. Conclusions and suggestions.

Assessment of Hydrology of Bhutan What would be the impacts of changes in agriculture (including irrigation) and forestry practices on local and regional.

FLASH FLOOD PREDICTION James McDonald 4/29/08. Introduction - Relevance  90% of all national disasters are weather and flood related  Central Texas.

Effect of Climate Change on Sewer Overflows in Milwaukee WEFTEC 2012 October 2012 Bridging the gap between climate change research and the risk of overflows.

Non-structural Measures for Flash Flood and Debris Flow Disaster Prevention Non-structural Measures for Flash Flood and Debris Flow Disaster Prevention.

3° ICTP Workshop “The Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models” May 29 – June 9 CETEMPS, Physics Department, University of L‘Aquila

1 Drainage and Environment, Results of the Monitoring of Non Point Source Pollution Viesturs Jansons Department of Environmental Engineering and Water.

WUP-FIN training, 3-4 May, 2005, Bangkok Hydrological modelling of the Nam Songkhram watershed.

Conceptual Models for Non-stationarity Hong Li 1, Stein Beldring 2 & Chong-Yu Xu 1 1. Department of Geosciences,

CE 424 HYDROLOGY 1 Instructor: Dr. Saleh A. AlHassoun.

FLOOD MANAGEMENT By: Joyce Mathole Directorate: Hydrological Service Department of Water Affairs and Forestry.

Effect of Spatial Variability on a Distributed Hydrologic Model May 6, 2015 Huidae Cho Water Resources Engineer, Dewberry Consultants Part-Time Assistant.

Gabriele Coccia (1)(2) and Ezio Todini (1)(2) (1) University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy (2) Idrologia e Ambiente s.r.l, Napoli, Italy Probabilistic flood.

Assessment of Runoff, Sediment Yield and Nutrient Load on Watershed Using Watershed Modeling Mohammad Sholichin Mohammad Sholichin 1) Faridah Othman 2)

Outline of the training. 6 October 2005, TNMC, Bangkok.

Flash Floods in a changing context: Importance of the impacts induced by a changing environment.

River flow modeling of the Mekong River Basin A.W. Jayawardena Department of Civil Engineering The University of Hong Kong

Modeling the Dynamics of River-Groundwater Interaction: Experiences from own Case Studies Prof. Dr. Manfred Koch Department of Geohydraulics and Engineering.

Dr. Naira Chaouch Research scientist, NOAA-CREST Nir Krakauer, Marouane Temimi, Adao Matonse (CUNY) Elliot Schneiderman, Donald Pierson, Mark Zion (NYCDEP)

Understanding hydrologic changes: application of the VIC model Vimal Mishra Assistant Professor Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Gandhinagar

The NOAA Hydrology Program and its requirements for GOES-R Pedro J. Restrepo Senior Scientist Office of Hydrologic Development NOAA’s National Weather.

WISKI Open Water and Ice Bernard Trevor, M.Eng. P.Eng. River Forecast Section Environment and Sustainable Resource Development WISKI ESRD Users Conference.

Urban Flood Risk Management in a Changing Climate : Sustainable and Adaptation Challenges August, , 2009 Urban Flood Risk Management in a Changing.

Carpe Diem HELSINKI Meeting 23/24 June 2004 NUID CWRR Report Bruen, Parmentier.

Chaiwat Ekkawatpanit, Weerayuth Pratoomchai Department of Civil Engineering King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, Thailand Naota Hanasaki.

International Workshop on Flash Flood Forecasting – Costa Rica March 2006 WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION Weather, Climate and Water INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP.

Nathalie Voisin 1, Florian Pappenberger 2, Dennis Lettenmaier 1, Roberto Buizza 2, and John Schaake 3 1 University of Washington 2 ECMWF 3 National Weather.

MESUREMENT OF PORE WATER PRESSURE IN A GROUND, TEMPERATURE AND RAINFALL AT SLOPE FAILURE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREA CHIEN-WEN HUANG DOCTORAL STUDENT TOKYO METROPOLITAN.

DOWNSCALING GLOBAL MEDIUM RANGE METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTIONS FOR FLOOD PREDICTION Nathalie Voisin, Andy W. Wood, Dennis P. Lettenmaier University of Washington,

VERIFICATION OF A DOWNSCALING SEQUENCE APPLIED TO MEDIUM RANGE METEOROLOGICAL PREDICTIONS FOR GLOBAL FLOOD PREDICTION Nathalie Voisin, Andy W. Wood and.

The Importance of Snowmelt Runoff Modeling for Sustainable Development and Disaster Prevention Muzafar Malikov Space Research Centre Academy of Sciences.

Dr. Thomas Hardy Chief Science Officer River Systems Institute Texas State University.

Tayba Buddha Tamang Meteorology/Hydromet Services Division Department of Energy Ministry of Economic Affairs South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-1)‏

Sandeep Bisht Assistant Director Basin planning

WATER RESOURCES DEPARTMENT

Latin American and Caribbean Flood and Drought Monitor – What it does and does not do Figure showing current system Coarse resolution 25km, daily Satellite.

Application of Models in Beles Sub Basin by Moges Berbero Nov 12,2012

By KWITONDA Philippe Rwanda Natural Resources Authority

The National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management

Digital model for estimation of flash floods using GIS

INTERREG IIIB CADSES HYDROCARE

Hydrologic Considerations in Global Precipitation Mission Planning

Olga Semenova1,2, Lyudmila Lebedeva3,4, Anatoly Zhirkevich5

Rainfall-Runoff Modeling

Using Quantitative Precipitation Estimates in Flash Flood Forecasting

Streamflow Simulations of the Terrestrial Arctic Regime

Application of satellite-based rainfall and medium range meteorological forecast in real-time flood forecasting in the Upper Mahanadi River basin Trushnamayee.

USING NUMERICAL PREDICTED RAINFALL DATA FOR A DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL TO ENHANCE FLOOD FORECAST: A CASE STUDY IN CENTRAL VIETNAM Nguyen Thanh.

Flood Forecasting as a tool for Flood Management

Paimionjoki River Basin

Hydrological Forecasting Service

WRE-1 BY MOHD ABDUL AQUIL CIVIL ENGINEERING.

Real-time Sierra Nevada water monitoring system

Assessment of climate change impacts on semi-arid watersheds in Peru

Presentation transcript:

Real-time Flood Forecasting in China Using TOPKAPI International Symposium on Distributed Hydrological Modelling To mark the 70th birthday of Prof. Ezio Todini Real-time Flood Forecasting in China Using TOPKAPI Cinzia Mazzetti ProGeA Srl, Bologna, Italy (cinzia.mazzetti@progea.net)

GREETINGS FROM A COUPLE OF FRIENDS IN CHINA… Dr. LIU Zhiyu Dr. LU Feng Vice-president of the Commission for Hydrology at WMO Deputy Chief Engineer and Professor of Hydrology and Water Resources at the Bureau of Hydrology, Ministry of Water Resources,PR China Chief Engineer, Department of Water Resources, Zhejiang Province, P.R. China www.progea.net

WHERE TOPKAPI model runs inside operational real-time flood forecasting systems in Henan and Zhejiang Provinces. www.progea.net

YELLOW RIVER (HUANG HE) 黄河 Client Yellow River Conservancy Commission, Henan Province, PRC TOPKAPI model area 41’605 Km2 TOPKAPI cells size 1000 m Real-time flood forecasting system EFFORTS Year of installation 2008 Calibration period 1996 - 2005 Simulation time step 1 hour Meteorological model MM5 Forecasting horizon 48 hours Computation time (72 hours) 40 sec Status Running autonomously www.progea.net

FUCHUN RIVER (QIANTANG JIANG) 钱塘江 Client Bureau of Hydrology, Zhejiang Province, PRC TOPKAPI model area 26’142 Km2 TOPKAPI cells size 1000 m Real-time flood forecasting system EFFORTS Year of installation 2011 Calibration period 1992 - 2009 Simulation time step 1 hour Meteorological model JMA GSM Forecasting horizon 48 hours Computation time (72 hours) 30 sec Status Running with maintenance www.progea.net

TOPKAPI MODEL CALIBRATION ON FUCHUN RIVER RAINFALL DATA (1992 - 2009) 61 rain-gauges 1 hour time steps Data interpolation using ISD method Rainfall maps resolution 2000 m SOME PROBLEMS… Different time steps resolution between seasons and during events (daily) A lot of missing data No distinction between missing data and no rainfall No data validation TEMPERATURE DATA (1992 - 2009) 7 gauges Rain-gauges location on Fuchun catchment 1 hour time steps Data interpolation using ISD method Temperature maps resolution 2000 m www.progea.net

DISCHARGE DATA (1992 - 2009) SOME PROBLEMS… www.progea.net 11 gauges 1 hour time steps Xinanjiang reservoir China’s first hydropower station (construction started in 1956). The first dam constructed in China with a height greater than 100 m. The Qiandao lake covers an area of 573 km² and has a storage capacity of 17.8 km3. SOME PROBLEMS… Discharge is often not measured during non-flood season A lot of missing data Daily data during non-flood season and smaller events Rating curves can change very rapidly No data validation A lot of very large reservoirs www.progea.net

SOIL TYPES MAP LAND USE MAP www.progea.net FAO soil types map Modified soil types map SOIL TYPES MAP FAO soil types map 6 different soil types Very few information LAND USE MAP AVHRR map 13 different land uses Sub-tropical climate www.progea.net

SOME RESULTS FROM THE CALIBRATION PERIOD QUZHOU CATCHMENT (Area 5539 km2) www.progea.net

SOME RESULTS FROM THE CALIBRATION PERIOD JINHUA CATCHMENT (Area 5967 km2) www.progea.net

SOME RESULTS FROM THE CALIBRATION PERIOD LANXI CATCHMENT (Area 18329 km2) www.progea.net

RESULTS FROM THE REAL-TIME SYSTEM (12-23 June 2011)

Quzhou

2011-06-20 00:00 2011-06-19 12:00 2011-06-19 09:00 2011-06-19 06:00

6 hours in advance www.progea.net

12 hours in advance www.progea.net

24 hours in advance www.progea.net

Jinhua

2011-06-19 18:00 2011-06-20 00:00 2011-06-19 15:00 2011-06-19 12:00 2011-06-19 09:00

6 hours in advance www.progea.net

12 hours in advance www.progea.net

24 hours in advance www.progea.net

CONCLUSIONS OF THE «TOPKAPI EXPERIENCE» IN CHINA Going operational 8’000 Km from home requires a robust and very reliable model Research innovations need to confront with data availability Culture and background of clients cannot be ignored Training is a fundamental part of the job www.progea.net

Thank you for your attention. PROGEA srl - Via Santo Stefano 6- 40125 Bologna - ITALY Phone: +39 051 6389099 Email: segreteria@progea.net www.progea.net