Responsible member: Hungarian Meteorological Service Period:

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Presentation transcript:

C-SRNWP (SHORT RANGE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION NETWORK): PROGRESS REPORT Responsible member: Hungarian Meteorological Service Period: 2008-2011 Andras Horanyi (horanyi.a@met.hu)

C-SRNWP: MAIN OBJECTIVES Improved scientific cooperation between the 5 LAM Consortia (ALADIN, COSMO, HIRLAM, LACE, Met Office) in Europe for numerical weather prediction (NWP) through the initiation and execution of joint projects Expert Teams and their workplans Enhanced operational cooperation through harmonisation of standards and increased interoperability between models Interoperability (SRNWP-I) and verification (SRNWP-V) programmes Effective diffusion of NWP knowledge and enhanced practical cooperation in NWP Thematic SRNWP workshops Webpage: srnwp.met.hu

SRNWP CONSORTIA (5) and MODELS (4) ALADIN ALADIN (ALARO, AROME, HARMONIE) COSMO HIRLAM HIRLAM, HARMONIE (ALADIN, ALARO, AROME) LACE Met Office Unified Model Remark: ALADIN (LACE) and HIRLAM are working on code collaboration around the IFS/ARPEGE/ALADIN/ALARO/AROME (HARMONIE) code

Latest news: Russia became full member of COSMO!

PARTICIPATION (CONSORTIA and PARTICIPATING STATES) Consortia: ALADIN, COSMO, HIRLAM, LACE, Met Office Participating states EUMETNET members: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Luxemburg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Serbia, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom (all EUMETNET countries except Poland!!) Non-EUMETNET members: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Turkey, (Lithuania) C-SRNWP members, but not member of any of the Consortia: Cyprus, Luxemburg, Serbia

LIST OF EXPERT TEAMS (CROSS-CONSORTIA WORKING GROUPS) Data assimilation and use of observations Diagnostics, validation and verification ( SRNWP-V) Dynamics and lateral boundary coupling Link with applications Physical parameterisation (upper air) Predictability and EPS Surface and soil processes (model and data assimilation) System aspects ( SRNWP-I)

SRNWP-I: EXAMPLE OF ADAPTOR SOFTWARE (Temperature at the lowest COSMO level: GME, IFS, UM)

SRNWP-V: Some preliminary results for 2009 (6 hours precipitation >= 0,5 mm; two models separately for different forecast ranges)

SOME NEWS FROM EUMETNET EUMETNET became Economic Interest Group (last year) Legal entity, which can take part in bids (EU projects), procurements and can employ personnel New structure of EUMETNET is going to be proposed EUMETNET Strategy is accepted and going to be translated into specific actions (roadmaps) SESAR (Single European Sky Aviation Requirements) are going to be specified  optimisation and reorganisation of air traffic management (strong requirements towards meteorology)

PROPOSED NEW EUMETNET GOVERNANCE (DRAFT, NOT YET ACCEPTED!!)

OBSERVATIONAL STRATEGY AND SRNWP Programme Board on Observations (PB-OBS) invited the SRNWP community to present the observation requirements of NWP The „answer” was coordinated through the Consortia leaders and the chairpersons of the data assimilation and verification Expert Teams Presentations at the ECSN Advisory Committee and the PB-OBS meeting (end of March)

BRIEF SUMMARY OF REQUIREMENTS High resolution NWP models need detailed information on the planetary boundary layer (including the classical model state variables, but also surface characteristics) In the future (especially for km-scale modelling) more and more information about the hydrological cycle is needed (humidity, hydrometeors) Local high resolution data should be also made available (which are not in the GTS at the moment  data policy issues) New instruments (lidars, polarimetric radars for instance) should be exploited and their use would be welcome!

NWP STRATEGY (DISCUSSED BY THE SRNWP ADVISORY COMMITTEE, thanks to Jeanette for drafting the document) Relation to EUMETNET Strategy Improved efficiency with shared services Collective investment in science, technology and skills Essential partnership with EU/EC Position of SRNWP within Europe Recent target: convection-permitting models Relations with „observations” (requirements) NWP models to be used for nowcasting Climate (change) services (regional climate modelling)

NWP STRATEGY (DISCUSSED BY THE SRNWP ADVISORY COMMITTEE, thanks to Jeanette for drafting the document!) Shared services Towards convection-permitting models  no any more interest to run neither a common deterministic nor an EPS system over a pan-European domain Strategic extension possibilities Towards nowcasting: rather emerging field Towards regional climate modelling: possible on the longer time scale

EUMETNET ASSEMBLY IN MAY – SRNWP RELATIONS Report of the C-SRNWP programme –presentation of the „Strategy and roadmap for SRNWP” Report of the SRNWP- V programme (ending this autumn) and proposal for the continuation (Met Office) New EUREPS proposal (LAMEPS) Two phases (feasibility study as preparatory phase and then the project itself) Concentrating on convection resolving EPS (operational targets for shared services in one stage?) Possible relation with SESAR (funding opportunity)

SUMMARY, CONCLUSIOS We are in a very active phase of EUMETNET (SRNWP too) New governance of EUMETNET is going to be accepted and realised soon (super-programmes, new advisory bodies) EUMETNET strategy is accepted and now the SRNWP strategy (and roadmap) is going to be compiled Our DRAFT observational requirements are collected and presented SRNWP-V is going to be finished soon and the follow-on project will be proposed by the Met Office (the details are not yet known) A new LAMEPS proposal is going to be submitted soon to the EUMETNET Assembly

Thank you for your attention! horanyi.a@met.hu / srnwp.met.hu