Mexican Economic Strategy beyond NAFTA

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Presentation transcript:

Mexican Economic Strategy beyond NAFTA April 2017

Economic growth annual growth rate */ Percent change from the same quarter of the previous year; seasonally adjusted series. Source: INEGI

National Accounts (real growth*) *Percentage change of the same quarter of the previous year. C =Private consumption, G= Government expenditure, I=,Investment X=Exports Source: INEGI

Industrial production (series, cycle-trend) Source: Inegi

Mexico’s exports (annual growth rate) Source: Inegi and USDOC

Gross Fixed Investment (annual change) Source: Inegi

Inflation (annual change) Source: Inegi

Inflation Tradable & non tradable goods (Base 100 = January 2011) 18.1 Source: Own with data from Inegi

Mexican peso appreciation (Base 100 = January 19, 2017) Dollar appreciation Dollar depreciation Source: Own with IMF

Great Recession Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, US Census Bureau and INEGI

Market share of US imports Source: Own with US Census Bureau

Market share of US exports Source: Own with US Census Bureau

WTO tariff Mexican exports to the United States Applied MFN weighted average Agricultural products 0.1 5.3 Non-agricultural products 2.1 U.S. exports to Mexico Applied MFN weighted average Agricultural products 25.1 Non-agricultural products 2.9 The NAFTA has fostered foreign and domestic investment and contributed to the strengthening of supply chains across North American. Together we produce goods and services for world markets. On average 40 percent of the content in Mexican exports of final goods is US made; that is 40 cents of every dollar spent on Mexican products supports US jobs. Today highly competitive industries like: auto, aerospace, electronics, and machinery industries create and support jobs in all three countries. The high integration of our counties’ auto sector helped mitigate the effects of the 2008 recession and contributed to its successful recovery. This sector continues to receive strong investments and has experienced double-digit export growth in Mexico every year since 2010. Mexico is the 8th producer and 4th exporter globally of new light vehicles in the world, and its US main auto-parts supplier. Auto parts cross the US-Mexico border 8 times before becoming a complete a vehicle. Mexico is the United States’ third largest agricultural export market. Likewise, Mexico’s agricultural sector has become a key supplier for US and world consumers. Practically every traditional breakfast, salad or happy hour served in the US has fresh produce or products made in Mexico or from Mexican companies. Applied tariff base on trade profile Source: WTO

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/cmm.mx www.cmmsc.com.mx buzon@cmmsc.com.mx @eledece Twitter: @cmm_mx Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/cmm.mx