Russia and CIS Economic statistics for your business planning

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Copyright © 2007 Global Insight, Inc. The U.S. Economic Outlook: How Much Fallout from The Housing Meltdown? Nariman Behravesh Chief Economist NAHB April.
Advertisements

A2 Economics PowerPoint Briefings 2009 Euro Area in Charts tutor2u ™ tutor2u ™
J.P.Morgan Chase S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L Challenges to the Euro System Astana Economic Forum Astana, Kazakhstan May.
U.S. Economic Outlook A Relatively Fast Manufacturing Growth Pace Amid Modest Gains In The Overall Economy Presented by: Daniel J. Meckstroth, Ph.D. Vice.
20 Indicators Everyone Should Know C2ER’s 52 nd Annual Conference Oklahoma City June 7, 2012 Jenny Hsu Manager of Economic Research 20 Indicators Everyone.
Chapter 2: A Tour of the BookBlanchard: Macroeconomics Slide #1 Chapter Topics Aggregate Output The Other Major Macroeconomic Variables.
Chapter 5: Monetary Theory and Policy. 1-2 Chapter 5: Monetary Theory and Policy Chapter Outline: Monetary Theory. Economic Indicators Monitored by the.
This afternoon’s exercise Collective bargaining between the social partners on wages Three groups: Employers Trade unions Government Each group has 45’
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
WHAT’S IN GDP? An activity for “The ABCs of GDP” (Extra Credit Spring 2009)
THE FIVE-YEAR ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND REMARKS ON U.S. STIMULUS PROGRAMS REBALANCING THE ECONOMY SO MORE GROWTH COMES FROM INVESTMENT AND EXPORTS Presented.
Aggregate Supply and Demand EQUILIBRIUM AGGREGATE SUPPLY AGGREGATE DEMAND or Real GDP.
Warmup  What is unemployment?. Unit 5 Measuring Economic Performance GDP, Business Cycle, Inflation, Unemployment.
PORTFOLIO AND SELECT COMMITTEES ON FINANCE March 2006.
Fifth Edition Update 2005–2006. Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2 Figure 1 Personal Savings Rate Chapter 2 Update: Wealth.
Lecture 2 The Data of Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Accounts 1 1.Measuring the Value of Economic Activity: GDP 2.Measuring the Cost of Living: The CPI.
Economic Indicators Lauren Rudd January 9, Same store sales 01/9/20142.
PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE OF FINANCE March INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY.
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
1 Copyright  2000 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved The US Economic Outlook: The Pause That Refreshes Waterville Valley, New Hampshire.
The Outlook for the U.S. Economy and Home Improvement Spending James Gillula Managing Director, Consulting Services IHS Global Insight April 2014.
College of Business Administration The Economic Outlook for Nebraska and the United States Is Growth Sustainable? Presentation to The Midlands Chapter.
Warm-Up: What do you think the term “Economic Indicator” means?
2-1Measuring Economic Activity 2-2Economic Conditions Change 2-3Other Measure of Business Activity.
Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1 All Images Compliments of
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
Jason Henderson Vice President and Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City – Omaha Branch September 28, 2009 The.
 A piece of economic data (statistic)  indicates the direction of an economy.
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies 6-1 Assessing the Economy’s Performance Two Approaches to GDP Expenditure Approach GDP Approaches Compared Income.
Copyright 2010, The World Bank Group. All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2010, The World Bank Group. All Rights Reserved Economic statistics, part 1 Business.
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND MONETARY POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS November 2, 2012 New York, NY.
2 3 GDP growth in Russia and in other G8 countries, GDP growth in Russia and in other G8 countries,
 Bond  Budget deficit  Budget surplus  Business cycle  Capital project  Deflation  Depression  Gross domestic product  Retail sales  stock 
William F. Fox, Director Center for Business and Economic Research The University of Tennessee, Knoxville November 17, 2015 The 2016 Economy Looks Like.
Belarus Business outlook Quarterly update – October 2015 by Dr Daniel Thorniley.
WHAT’S IN GDP? An activity for “The ABCs of GDP” (Extra Credit Spring 2009)
Summary results of our bi-annual Central Eastern Europe business benchmarking survey June 2015.
ESSENTIAL STANDARD 1.00 UNDERSTAND THE ROLE OF BUSINESS IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY. 1.
PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE ON FINANCE September INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY.
Macedonia Business and economic outlook Quarterly update – July 2013 Final analysis by Nenad Pacek.
Chapter 30 From the New Frontier to the New Millennium.
Gross Domestic Product Definition of Gross Domestic Product Why are Changes in Real Gross Domestic Product Important? Explanations of GDP and its Components.
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
Objective 1.02 Understand economic conditions 1 Understand the role of business in the global economy.
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
Copyright 2007 – All rights reserved Economic Key Performance Indicators GigaWealth Corporation.
Aim: How is the economy measured? Do Now: How do we know if the US is performing well or poorly?
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
Federal Planning Bureau Economic analyses and forecasts Economic budget 2008 Evaluation of risks and uncertainties.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.1 | 1 Measuring Economic Performance Productivity –The average level of output per worker per hour Economic.
Economic Fact File on New Zealand Economy.
Executive Board meeting 1 July 2004
Summary results of our bi-annual Central Eastern Europe business benchmarking survey December 2016.
Understand the role of business in the global economy
AD/AS Model and Growth.
Economic Policy Division
BETTER SOFT DATA WITH TRUMP, BUT HARDER DATA is lagging
The Circular Flow and Gross Domestic Product and Interpreting Real Gross Domestic Product Lesson 23 Sections 10, 11.
Understand the role of business in the global economy.
6 Measuring Domestic Output and National Income.
ECN 200: Introduction to Economics Macroeconomic Aggregates
Measuring the Economy’s Performance Macro Economics Unit 5
វិទ្យាស្ថានខ្មែរជំនាន់ថ្មី Institute of New Khmer
Chapter 10: Measuring Aggregate Performance
Chapter 10: Measuring Aggregate Performance
Three Economic Scenarios
Understand the role of business in the global economy.
6 Measuring Domestic Output and National Income.
Understand the role of business in the global economy.
Presentation transcript:

Russia and CIS Economic statistics for your business planning by Dr Daniel Thorniley 19 September 2016

Central Scenario - 2017 economic outlook (oil averages $46-55) GDP 1.3% Inflation (year-end) 5.5% Inflation (average) 6.2% Consumer spending 1.6% Investment 2.2% Industrial output 1.7% Rouble to US dollar average 64-69 Rouble to the Euro average 72-77

Economic scenarios and the rouble for 2017 at different oil prices Average oil price 2016 GDP Inflation average Rouble/US$ Rouble/€ Average $80-85 3.3% 5.4% 45-52 52-58 $70-80 2.8% 52-57 58-64 $60-70 2.4% 5.8% 57-60 64-66 $55-60 1.8% 6.1% 60-63 66-69 $50-55 1.3% 6.3% 62-67 69-73 $45-50 0.3% 7.5% 64-69 72-77 $35-45 -1.3% 8.2% 63-69 74-78 $25-35 -2.5% 11.5% 80-84 86-92

Macro-economic indicators 2009-2020   2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 GDP -7,9 4,3 3,4 1,3 0.6 -3,8 -0,7 1,4 1,8 1,9 2,0 Retail sales -5,5 6,3 7,2 5,7 3,9 2,5 -8,8 -3,5 2 2,6 2,8 2,9 Household spending -7,6 5,5 6,8 7,9 4,7 -8,5 -2,6 Real wages -2,8 4,4 4,9 8,2 5,2 -9,2 -1,3 2,2 2,7 3,2 Disposable income 1,0 3,7 3,3 2,1 -4,0 -2,5 Inflation (year-end) 8,8 8,7 6,1 6,6 6,5 11,4 12,9 5,3 5,0 Unemployment rate 7,6 5,4 5,8 5,6 Gross fixed investment -17,9 9,8 6,0 -0,3 -4,8 -3,7 3,6 Industrial output -10,8 8,3 0,3 1,1 -3,4 0,2 1,7 3,1 FX reserves ($bn) year-end 447 485 510 528 509 385 365 410 390 400 415,0 420,0 Rouble/$ (year-end) 30,3 30,4 32,1 32,9 58,0 73,0 68,0 71,0 76,0 78,0 79,0 Rouble/Euro (year-end) 43,4 40,0 41,5 40,1 45,1 72,0 74,0 77,0 82,0 84,0 Budget balance (% of GDP) -6,3 -0,2 0,0 -0,5 -3,6 -4,1 -3,2 -2,2 -1,8 Current-account balance (% of GDP) 3,8 1,6 4,1

Key statistics by year and monthly

Ukraine - economic outlook: statistics

Kazakhstan - economic outlook: statistics

Belarus - economic outlook: statistics

Disclaimer, copyright, sources © 2016 DT Global Business Consulting GmbH DT-Global Business Consulting GmbH Address: Keinergasse 8/33, 1030 Vienna, Austria, Company registration: FN 331137t Source: DT Global Business Consulting GmbH. This material is provided for information purposes only. It is not a recommendation or advice of any investment or commercial activity whatsoever. DT Global Business Consulting GmbH accepts no liability for any commercial losses incurred by any party acting on information in these materials. Contact: Dr Daniel Thorniley, President, DT Global Business Consulting GmbH, E: danielthorniley@dt-gbc.com

Feedback: Privacy Policy Feedback
Do Not Sell My Personal Information
About project: SlidePlayer Terms of Service

© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc. All rights reserved.